Climate Change 2013-2050

A single extreme-weather event cannot be linked to global warming climate change because climate change is the condition of climate changing over decades. Weather is a daily, weekly, or seasonal event. Obviously when Earth's average temperature increases (or decreases) climate conditions change over time. As global temperature increases there is more atmospheric energy and more moisture within atmosphere. Accepted is global warming climate change produces in some locations severe weather conditions more frequently.

Prior to end of 21st Century global warming temperatures will have increased global warming temperature exceeding 6.4 degrees Celsius, created by global warming gases. Because lack of response to continuing increased greenhouse gases results in human race termination by 2050-2055. Earth's average carbon dioxide and methane level at 2050 determines climate Earth's conditions for following decades. It is global warming climate change conditions from 2013 to 2050 that is most important as it directly relates to human survival.      

With non responsive President Obama and U.S. Congress, global warming climate change proceeds as follows. Earth's  2017 'carbon infrastructure' greenhouse gas carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 'Earth carbon cycle' ability to process carbon dioxide, producing increased global warming of 3.4 degrees Celsius around 2040. Stored Arctic Region methane hydrate becomes increasingly dissociated releasing global warming gas methane. Human race ends 2050-2055.

Only acceptable response to global warming is to get rid of non responsive self serving politicians.   

The Future of Global Warming

The progress of global warming and end of human races has been established over the last 250 years through the use of hydrocarbon energy (coal, oil, natural gas). There are only about five years left to change the course of events. If greenhouse gas emissions continue at unacceptable levels a "tipping" point is exceeded around 2030-2040, beyond which there is no turning back, human races can no longer exist.  

If you are under 30-years of age -- you need to act now to correct global warming. Judging by political and media responses to issues of curtailing the threat of global warming, there would appear that few adequately understand catastrophic events. Without changes now, human races are terminated 2050-2055 CE.

Global warming is caused by about 250-years of accumulated human greenhouse gas emissions from hydrocarbon energy (coal, natural gas, and oil). At 2010, greenhouse gas increased above natural global warming of 1750 concentration of carbon dioxide is ~39%. Methane concentration increase is ~164%. These increased concentrations of greenhouse gases increase over time and if left unchecked result in exceeding a defined carbon level in 2030-2040, after which global temperatures rapidly rise. Uncontrollable temperature increase follows with undeniable 2050-2055 end of all human races.  

If global warming is mitigated there is a strong possibility that human life could exist for millions of years.

With necessary global warming mitigations not being attended to -- human life is very short lived. Because human and natural global warming greenhouse gas concentrations previously exceeded critical temperature stabilization “trip points,” after the human race terminal point is reached, no one is around to care about what happens next. Long-term effects on global warming “climate change” are largely "irreversible" for more than millions of years.  

By continually producing hydrocarbon energy infrastructures there results exceeding 'global carbon budget.' Exceeding global catastrophic energy infrastructure conditions are established about 2017. To alter the course of global warming events, there now must quickly be reductions of human and natural greenhouse gases with reductions of hydrocarbon infrastructures.   

About one-third of global warming greenhouse warming results from electrical generation gases emitted by hydrocarbon energy. Decreased hydrocarbon energy use while increasing nuclear electrical energy and increased electrical applications alters the direction of global thermal rise. Nuclear energy is the only clean energy with capacity to curb global warming. To alter the undeniable catastrophic direction, quick reduction of electrical generation hydrocarbon gases is required -- only replacement of hydrocarbon energy with nuclear energy will alter the course of global warming events.        

Understood was the global warming event by the 1960s. For more than a decade the scope and goals of global warming mitigations have been sidetracked by political process of deceit, misrepresentation, and corruption. Since 1970s political reasons, the formation of U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) Congress limited nuclear to 20% national energy. The 1990s produced political misdirection of official global warming mitigation goals. In 2009 for political reasons, NRC politics shut down Yucca Mountain Nuclear Geologic Repository, which is a vital part of U.S. Nuclear Fuel Cycle. Political disruption of very critical U.S. Nuclear Fuel Cycle systems continues: delayed development of MOX fuel, covert political policies, some needless and expensive nuclear regulations, lawsuits, lack of new nuclear site permits, covert special interest political manipulations, media manipulations, etc.  

The current major obstacles to securing a future for human races is President Obama, biased media, and a dedicated small but politically influential coal, natural gas, oil energy interests. For Congress to participate in preventing 2017 exceeding of 'global carbon budget,' NRC membership is to be replaced by four senior nuclear specialists and one presidential appointee. Revised scope of revised NRC membership is to include supervisions of U.S. 'Nuclear Fuel Cycle' and rapid expansion of U.S. nuclear energy. Global and U.S. plans for global warming reduction are to be produced by intelligence agencies with the U.S. Department of Defense (DOD). Natural and human global greenhouse gases are to peak by 2020 and decline thereafter.

Over the coming five years, the least-cost and only global warming option to lowering global warming is by steadily transforming global human energy systems to nuclear energy zero greenhouse gas emissions, which in turn lowers human and natural carbon-cycle gas emissions. Difficult to reduce are Arctic Region's huge amounts of natural methane and carbon emissions that are ocean-current temperature dependent and land surface air temperature dependent. Arctic Region natural methane and carbon emissions form a powerful reinforced positive feedback loop that is directly temperature and regional emissions related, which also results in increased global warming.  

Unfortunately, too many world leaders and national politicians remain committed to continuing hydrocarbon energy dependence. Necessary planned successful social and environmental responses to global warming temperature increase are essential, many, and varied and involve lives of more than 9 billion people. No nation maintains a viable organization to respond to countering global warming temperature increase. Not in place is the needed central organization to coordinate implementation of identified needed energy, social, and environmental responses.

To make change, all one must do is start.

Global Warming - Is A Now Under 30-years Event

Politicians and media dominate our lives. With elections more important than the lives of humans, politicians and media never identify global warming temperature increase, that which is going to kill their children.       

The phrases “climate change” and “global warming” have become all but taboo on Capital Hill. These terms are stunningly absent from the political arena, and have been since 2010. As Senator Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) SAID on October 13th, 2011, “It has become no longer politically correct in certain circles in Washington to speak about climate change or carbon pollution or how carbon pollution is causing our climate to change.” Why?

President Obama spin and reelection teams are redefining the neo communist decades of involvement in critical events. Not only is there political re-identification of global warming, the Obama team is presenting errors, omissions, distortions, and word games, by government departments and internet site/PC hacking that are rewriting history and redefining America’s future. By using many different words to describe a intentionally poorly defined global warming event, President Obama’s teams avoid public awareness of the increasingly great risks posed to all who are now under the age of 30-years.

The administration has clearly responded to increasing hostility (on one end of the political spectrum) towards the effort to address climate change, scrubbing out words like global warming, cap-and-trade, and climate change from agency communication. The media alters their articles and programing to match President Obama’s climate change in “terms and rhetoric.”

Although global warming life-terminal implications were known in the 1990s CE, U.S. political leadership decided to continue expansion of U.S. hydrocarbon (coal, oil, natural gas) economies; the global warming event was minimized by U.S. political leadership, and so it remains. U.S. and global clean nuclear energy expansion was withheld to assure that energy increases would be satisfied with national hydrocarbon expansions. Around 2005 CE, there was a push by political criminals and their special interests to promote “alternative renewable green energy.” Promotion of alternatives to energy was successful for politicians and political special interests; taxpayers payed US$ 100s of billions in alternative-renewable energy projects and paper while increases in global warming greenhouse gases continued.

The fate of global temperature increase is determined. Around 450 ppm carbon level, Earth’s atmospheric carbon results in Earth becoming a source of carbon with increased human carbon releases and increased Arctic Region methane release — sometime around 2050-2099 CE Earth temperature regulation enters Modern Global Warming Era thermo runaway; human races end shortly thereafter.  

It is the now under 30-years who are sure to die from global warming.    

The ratio of the administration’s usage of “climate change” versus “energy” has changed significantly since Obama’s 2008 campaign days. “Climate change” rhetoric saw its brief heyday in 2009, thanks to the popularity of the President, the streamlined message of the unified European-U.S. neo communist party government, and the hope for legislative action before the United Nations climate change negotiations in Copenhagen. The ratio of energy to climate rhetoric has steadily increased, and the phrase “climate change” is routinely omitted in favor of clean energy-related diction. President Obama at Copenhagen, Denmark, December 2009 (COP15), redirected global warming responses to neo communist schemes for global transfers of wealth. President Obama and left Democrats have set back valid global warming responses by more than a decade.   

President Obama and left Democrats are avoiding their responsibility in global warming temperature increase with a coordinated attempt to nationally and internationally politically redefine the Modern Global Warming Era physical events. To confuse the public and avoid responding to global warming temperature increase, President Obama’s teams are dividing global warming solutions into many different divergent thoughts.   

There is power in how language is deployed, and people setting policy agendas know this well. These political choices of word and thought are also reflected with unusually rapid changes in news coverage around the world. Now it is politicians who dominate what is said and when it will be said within the news media:   

"A dangerous shift in Obama’s ‘climate change’ rhetoric"

By Maxwell T. Boykoff

Published: January 27, 2012

Washington Post

What happened to “climate change” and “global warming”?

The Earth is still getting hotter, but those terms have nearly disappeared from political vocabulary. Instead, they have been replaced by less charged and more consumer-friendly expressions for the warming planet.

President Obama’s State of the Union address Tuesday was a prime example of this shift. The president said “climate change” just once — compared with zero mentions in the 2011 address and two in 2010. When he did utter the phrase, it was merely to acknowledge the polarized atmosphere in Washington, saying, “The differences in this chamber may be too deep right now to pass a comprehensive plan to fight climate change.” By contrast, Obama used the terms “energy” and “clean energy” nearly two dozen times.

That tally reflects a broader change in how the president talks about the planet. A recent Brown University study looked specifically at the Obama administration’s language and found that mentions of “climate change” have been replaced by calls for “clean energy” and “energy independence.” Graciela Kincaid, a co-author of the study, wrote: “The phrases ‘climate change’ and ‘global warming’ have become all but taboo on Capitol Hill. These terms are stunningly absent from the political arena.” [Brown University research project LINK: Climate and Development Lab - RUNNING FROM CLIMATE CHANGE: THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION’S CHANGING RHETORIC, December 22, 2011]

In 2009, the Obama administration purposefully began to refer to greenhouse gas emissions as “carbon pollution” and “heat-trapping emissions.” This change is evident in statements from top officials such as White House science adviser John Holdren, Energy Secretary Steven Chu, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration head Jane Lubchenco and Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Lisa Jackson. Lubchenco told a reporter that the choice of those terms “is intended to make what’s happening more understandable and more accessible to nontechnical audiences.”

These choices are also reflected in news coverage around the world. My colleague Maria Mansfield and I monitor 50 major newspapers in 20 countries, and we documented that explicit mentions of “climate change” and “global warming” dropped by more than a third from 2010 to 2011. [CSTPR LINK: MEDIA COVERAGE OF CLIMATE CHANGE/GLOBAL WARMING - World Media Coverage; 2004-2011 World Newspaper Coverage of Climate Change of Global warming]

There is power in how language is deployed, and people setting policy agendas know this well. In 2002, Republican political strategist Frank Luntz issued a widely cited memo advising that the Bush administration should shift its rhetoric on the climate. “It’s time for us to start talking about ‘climate change’ instead of global warming. . . . ‘Climate change’ is less frightening than ‘global warming,’ ” the memo said.

Luntz was not alone in wanting to change the terminology. The nonprofit group EcoAmerica issued a report in 2009 arguing that the terms “global warming” and “climate change” both needed re-branding. In their place, the group recommended the phrase “our deteriorating atmosphere.”

But what do we lose when global warming and climate change get repackaged as clean energy? We wind up missing a thorough understanding of the breadth of the problem and the range of possible solutions.

To start, talking only about clean energy omits critical biological and physical factors that contribute to the warming climate. “Clean energy” doesn’t call to mind the ways we use the land and how the environment is changing. Where in the term is the notion of the climate pollution that results from clear-cutting Amazon rain forests? What about methane release in the Arctic, where global warming is exposing new areas of soil in the permafrost?

“Clean energy” also neatly bypasses any idea that we might need to curb our consumption. If the energy is clean, after all, why worry about how much we’re using — or how unequal the access to energy sources might be?

And terms such as “carbon pollution” ignore that climate change isn’t just a carbon issue. Some greenhouse gases, such as nitrous oxide, do not contain carbon, and not all carbon-containing emissions, such as carbon monoxide, trap heat.

When the president moves away from talking about climate change and talks more generally about energy, as he did in the State of the Union, calling for “an all-out, all-of-the-above strategy that develops every available source of American energy,” the impact is more than just political.

Calling climate change by another name creates limits of its own. The way we talk about the problem affects how we deal with it. And though some new wording may deflect political heat, it can’t alter the fact that, “climate change” or not, the climate is changing.

Maxwell T. Boykoff is an assistant professor in the Center for Science and Technology Policy Research at the University of Colorado at Boulder and the author of “Who Speaks for the Climate? Making Sense of Media Reporting on Climate Change.”

NOTES:

1. “Climate” included the phrases Climate Change, Changing Climate, Climate Negotiations, Climate Bill, and Global Warming.

2. “Energy” included Clean Energy, Renewable Energy, Green Energy, Energy Economy, Energy Technology, Energy Independence, Energy Dependence, Energy Efficient, Energy Efficiency, Energy Security, Energy Capacity, Energy Supply, Energy-Saving, Energy Plan, Energy Policy, Energy Bill, Energy Jobs, Energy Industry, Energy Production, Energy Use, Energy Grid, Energy Future, Energy Development, Energy Revolution, Energy Prices, and Energy Needs

Fin

How can President Obama not know of global warming temperature increase when his administration is changing thoughts involving multinational decisions, trillions of energy dollars, and the lives of 9 billion people in 2050-2099 CE.

The president’s intentions are revealed by his weak rhetoric and avoidance of anything tainted with the terms climate change or global warming. Unfortunately, the atmosphere doesn’t understand our delicate sleights of tongue, only the gases that continue to belch from our cars and smokestacks.

Carbon budget refers to the contribution of various sources of carbon dioxide on the planet. Carbon budget has nothing to do with political agendas, climate change legislation, carbon controls, carbon storage, economic, or geopolitical carbon footprint. Carbon budget is a physical event. Infrastructure coal plants and oil extraction methods in countries of China, India, Europe, Canada, the U.S., and other nations are rapidly being constructed right now. Hydrocarbon infrastructures are going to last another 50 years plus, at least. Nations are now “locking-in the global carbon budget.” International Energy Agency’s (IEA) found we are about five years away from building enough carbon-spewing infrastructures to lock-in a hydrocarbon infrastructure and make it extremely difficult — if not impossible — to avoid greatly exceeding 450-ppm carbon dioxide. The point of global warming no-return comes around 2017 CE.  

World Leaders must establish the intent to save human races 2050-2099. This identification of intent is a Modern Global Warming Era temperature reduction goal. A greenhouse gas-reduction statement must contain identified results over time, carbon dioxide and methane atmospheric levels, units of measurements, Earth temperatures, consider all global warming forces, probabilities of achieving events, stated starting levels, and goals. Modern Global Warming Era starting goal for greenhouse natural and human gas reduction is 1750 CE historic carbon dioxide peak levels (~280 ppm) and methane peak levels (~700 ppb). The political and physical goal is to achieve human survival well past 2100 CE.  Tempus Fugit.  

Global Warming - 2009-2010 Washington DC

The European-U.S. years of “renewable alternative green energy” drive was further enabled by withholding permitting for U.S. expansion of nuclear energy and Germany leadership shutdown of its nuclear energy facilities. U.S. politicians, insiders, special interests, and global criminals all had/have access to U.S. renewable green energy funding; specifically, renewable energy political corruption of renewable green energy funding under US$ 90 billions of the $850 billion ‘American Recovery and Reinvestment Act’ (ARRA 2009).  

Added to the problems of political promotion of renewable energy crime, corruption, and special interests is the decades of information suppressed regarding the direct 260-year impact of both human and natural carbon dioxide emissions and direct impact of natural methane emissions. Arctic Region methane and carbon dioxide emissions have been increasing since 1750 CE to the point of noticeable human induced global warming impact. The combination of natural and human greenhouse gas accumulations influences global temperature increase produces a clear “thumbprint” of human impacts on climate change. A positive temperature regenerative feedback loop was and continues to be established within Arctic Region methane. Coincidentally the global carbon budget is reaching a 2017 CE saturation point. Unless there is a quick and effective political response to combined atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide and methane, there result a global warming temperature increase that terminates human life 2050-2099 CE.     

White collar political criminal activity has a long history within the U.S. Its activity rises and falls with political supplies of legislated funding. To one degree or another politicians are aware of political corrupting of the legislation system, but turn away from correcting (or reporting) criminal activity. Because government white collar crimes are part of political systems, prostitution for internal sponsored political fraud is difficult. For politicians it is better to sleep with criminals than it is act against self interests or come out and act for the best interests of humanity.  

Renewable green energy is about US$ 90 billions within the ‘American Recovery and Reinvestment Act’ (ARRA 2009). Renewable energy legislated “Stimulus” is systemically flawed; criminal monies are non recoverable; funding is (mostly) legally legislated and processed. Political white collar crime has been around longer than U.S. criminal mafia activity, and before the 1980s rise of the U.S. illegal drug industry. U.S. illegal drug industry is backed by drug cartels and has U.S. political support. Concealment and billions of dollars in money laundering of political white collar crime uses similar procedures as used by organized crime: front companies, legal companies, international trading, bank transfers, poor/fraudulent contracting, kickbacks, over charging, collusion, redundant funding, systems of government non accountability, etc. Multinational carbon cap-and-trade markets are trading paper, which requires that the whole political European-U.S. system of renewable green energy to be investigated.      

Since the 1990s, wind, solar, geothermal, and alcohol fuels (corn ethanol) are developed as corruption schemes for politicians to channel US$ 100s of billions dollars government money to special interests while controlling political special interest US$ trillions within national hydrocarbon economies. The pretext is that renewable energy investments are a solution to global warming temperature increase. For more than three decades the pretext for not building nuclear facilities is that nuclear facilities are “unsafe.” The reality is green energy, hydrocarbon energy, and political special interests destroyed human races while nuclear energy could save human races.  

U.S. Global Warming Foundation Legislation

UN’s ‘Earth Summit’ formed the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in 1992. The UN Kyoto Protocol is an agreement of UNFCCC. Significant U.S. legislated with presumed support of the 1992 UN Earth Summit: U.S. ‘Energy Policy Act’ (1992), ‘Energy Policy Act’ (2005), and ‘American Recovery and Reinvestment Act’ (ARRA 2009).

Example of Direct and Indirect Energy Funding Impacts  

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) review of the conference version of the 2005 bill estimated the ‘Energy Policy Act’ would “increase direct spending” by $2.2 billion over the 2006-2010 periods and by $1.6 billion over the 2006-2015 periods. In addition, the CBO and the Joint Committee on Taxation estimated that the legislation would “reduce revenues” by $7.9 billion over the 2005-2010 periods and by $12.3 billion over the 2005-2015 periods.  Energy Policy Act total direct and indirect costs are many billions. The CBO noted that the bill could have “additional effects on discretionary spending,” but did not attempt to estimate those effects. That was for a Congressional relatively small budget bill compared to the mother of funding bills, the ‘American Recovery and Reinvestment Act’ (ARRA 2009).     

Some ‘American Recovery and Reinvestment Act’ (ARRA) 2009 Renewable Green Energy Examples of Concern

The act, described by proponents as an attempt to combat growing (undefined) energy problems, changed US energy policy by providing tax incentives and loan guarantees for energy production of various non standard types. The rationale for ARRA was from Keynesian macroeconomic theory which argues that, during recessions, the government should offset the decrease in private spending with an increase in public spending in order to save jobs and stop further economic deterioration. In the case of Keynesian-global-warming, U.S. legislation transferred wealth without producing a product that can decrease the global temperature increase.     

● $6 billion for renewable energy and electric transmission technologies loan guarantees for solar, wind, and “smart national grid.”

● $6 billion for the cleanup of radioactive waste (mostly nuclear weapons production sites). This $6 billion useless spending and is a promotion of anti nuclear corruption and payoffs to PORK BARREL political special interests.

● $4.5 billion to the Office of Electricity Delivery and Energy Reliability (OE) as outlined in the legislation.

● $4.5 billion to increase energy efficiency in federal buildings (GSA)

● $3.25 billion for the Western Area Power Administration (WAPA) for power transmission system “smart grid.” Political power transition is intended to expand the hydrocarbon industry.  

● $3.25 billion for the Bonneville Power Administration (BPA) for power transmission system (smart SYNCHROPHASOR western grid)

● $3.4 billion for carbon capture and low emission coal research

● $3.2 billion toward Energy Efficiency and Conservation Block Grants

● $3.1 billion for the State Energy Program to help states invest in energy efficiency and renewable energy.

● $2 billion funding for manufacturing of advanced car battery-traction systems and components.

● $800 million funding for biofuel research, development, and demonstration projects

● $602 million is to support the use of energy efficient technologies in buildings and within industry.

● $400 million funding for the Geothermal Technologies Program (GTP)

● $400 million for electric vehicle technologies

● $300 million for state and local governments to purchase energy efficient vehicles

● $300 million to acquire electric vehicles for the federal vehicle fleet (GSA)

● $204 million is insignificant funding for research and testing facilities at the well managed U.S. Department of Energy National Laboratories and Technology Centers.

● $190 million in funding for wind, hydro, and other renewable energy projects

● $115 million is part of billions of dollars to develop and deploy solar power technologies in the solar panel industry.

● $110 million is for the development of high efficiency vehicles.

The 2009 CE left Democrat Congress legislated ARRA 2009 as a blank check to be filled in by President Obama. There is to be an in depth accounting of the more than US$ 90 billion 2009-2010 CE global warming renewable energy expenditures and performance.    

Tempus Fugit

Left Democrat administration continues to tinker with government departments’ data and the reporting of national energy and global warming. All U.S. federal government data and reporting are now considered unreliable. Much of university and college global warming R&D is controlled by left Democrats through control of state and federal government grants and funding. Colleges, universities, and government departments’ reporting is considered unreliable when it comes to left Democrat foundation topics and social history. The Internet has and is being falsified to favor the causes of left Democrats. Internet attacks are mounted against individuals whose expressed options that conflict with established political funding procedures. Media corporations are extremely politically biased, oriented to presenting the public with unrealistic biased views. A significant amount of left Democrat smoke and mirrors political misdirections has been directed at building up U.S. special interest funding for expanding “renewable alternative green energy.”  In effect, since the early 1990s, left Democrat leadership are the cause of delaying real global warming responses.        

With the exception of expanding nuclear power, all other U.S. national energy proposals and policies are NOT viable. U.S. and global energy policies simply do not reflect real clean energy needs and real energy growth demands. Life-cycle process of all human energies (except nuclear energy and hydroelectric) emit large amounts of human carbon dioxide and natural methane.  

Since first global warming awareness of the 1960s, a great deal of necessary response time has passed, but there is still hope for changes to global warming temperature increase. Politicians just have to soon find the time and funding to alter established global warming course of events.  

Global Warming to the End

Rev 01 Jan 2012

Scientists have declared that understanding natural methane release is a major priority.  Money and people devoted to the issue natural methane are minimal compared with the risk of 2050-2099 Christian Era (CE) destruction of human races.  

Experts have long known that northern Polar Regions were a land storehouse of frozen carbon, locked up in the form of leaves, roots and other organic matter trapped in icy soil — a mix that, when thawed, can produce methane and carbon dioxide, global warming gases that trap heat and warm the planet. In recent years scientist have come to realize just how much land organic debris there is.  Not often mentioned is Polar sea methane deposits that have vastly greater stores of methane and carbon dioxide. The source of sea methane and carbon dioxide are frozen seabed deposits of coal, oil, and natural gas.  More than 80 percent of Arctic deep water and more than half of surface water had methane levels around eight times higher than found in normal seawater, according to the study published in the journal Science.  Both land and sea storage of methane are temperature dependent.  As temperature increases, methane and carbon dioxide are released, which produces a localized temperature increase and more release of methane (a positive feedback loop).  Sea methane clathrate deposits are both temperature and pressure dependent.  A increase in temperature in shallow water releases more methane than in deeper water.  The East Siberian Arctic Shelf, in addition to holding large stores of frozen methane, is more of a concern because its methane clathrate deposits are so shallow. Recent analyses suggest that the permafrost thaw could turn the Arctic into a net source of carbon (methane and carbon dioxide), possibly within a decade or two.  Carbon that is 30,000 years old is defrosting and emerging at numerous spots around Fairbanks, Alaska, and carbon as old as 43,000 years emerging from lakes in Siberia, Soviet Union. If these carbon releases continue or increase, the “methane clathrate gun” is released. Reference: Blogger "Methane average of 1,850 parts per BILLION (ppb) is unprecedented,"   

Since ambient 1750 CE pre industrial times, Modern Global Warming concentrations of greenhouse gases has increased significantly.  The greenhouse gas increased above natural global warming concentration of carbon dioxide (CO2) is increased ~39% and methane (CH4) concentration is increased ~164%. Methane at 1,850 ppb is the highest it has ever been for more than 60 million years. Methane is a much more powerful global warming gas than is carbon dioxide. This high level of methane brings into doubt the survivability of 9 to 10 billion people.

Global Warming Response - World Leaders must establish the intent to save human races 2050-2099. This identification of intent is a Modern Global Warming temperature reduction goal. A greenhouse gas-reduction statement must contain identified results over time, carbon dioxide and methane atmospheric levels, units of measurements, Earth temperatures, consider all global warming forces, probabilities of achieving events, stated starting levels, and goals. The Modern Global Warming goal’s starting level for greenhouse natural and human gas reduction is 1750 CE historic carbon dioxide peak levels (~280 ppm) and methane peak levels (~700 ppb). The goal is to achieve human survival well past 2100 CE.  

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Population size and gross domestic product (GDP) size drives anthropogenic energy consumption and carbon dioxide levels.  From type and amount of energy used, there originates increased natural carbon and methane atmospheric levels.  The 1750 CE Industrial Age start of global warming gases (GHGs) has accumulated massive amounts of gases over time.  By 1866 CE, the combination of natural and anthropogenic GHG accumulations influences global temperature increase produces a clear “thumbprint” of human impacts on climate change. Concentrations of atmospheric GHGs and their radiative forcing and other factors have continued to increase as result of human activity.  Scientists suggest that left unchecked Modern Global Warming accumulated natural and anthropomorphic warming forces will exceed carbon and methane heating effects produced by the 252.28 Ma Siberian Traps volcanic eruptions.  There is NO SAFE greenhouse gases concentration stabilization level above 350 ppm carbon dioxide, much less above 450 ppm.  It is very important to note that most natural methane levels and some natural carbon levels are atmospheric and ocean-current temperature dependent.  The least-cost global warming option is to now lower Earth global warming and steadily transform global human energy systems over the coming decades to lower human GHG emissions and than lower to zero emissions.   

Even if greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions stopped tomorrow, climatically important amounts of carbon dioxide, methane, and other compounds emitted today continue to influence the atmosphere for thousands of years with a continued rise in temperature.  A major difference between current global warming temperature increase event and 252.28 Ma End-Permian Mass Extinction is that Modern Global Warming temperature increase during the beginning stages is about 10 times faster than the End-Permian event and there are more than 9 billion people involved.

We are about five years away from building enough carbon-spewing infrastructures to lock us in and make it extremely difficult — if not impossible — to avoid 450-ppm carbon dioxide. Global warming infrastructure lock-in point of no-return comes around 2017 CE.  Under existing world leadership's covert carbon energy policies and opposition to conversion from carbon economies to nuclear energy, all human races shall be destroyed 2050-2099 CE.  This means, no one under the current age of 30 survives global warming temperature increase.  

Begun December 1989, the UN talks held since the 1992 ‘Earth Summit’ formed the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), global warming talks are the most important negotiations ever undertaken in the history of humankind.  Catastrophic, irreversible “climate change” represents the gravest threat today to human civilization.  Thanks to the abysmal and unforgivable failure of the world’s leadership, 17 rounds of UNFCCC "climate change" negotiations have failed to give full effect and deliver any fair, ambitious, and binding GLOBAL WARMING deal that stabilizes the climate.  Climate science is unequivocal that the opportunity to limit warming to safe levels will close in this very 2010-2020 decade.  In fact, carbon-intensive infrastructure, including power stations, buildings, and factories, planned over the next five years will lock the world into a high-emissions trajectory (“business as usual”).  If emissions do not plateau by 2020 and rapidly decline thereafter, the 2 degree C target will slip out of reach.  The consequences of exceeding global warming tripping points are very severe.   

LACK OF GLOBAL WARMING PLANNING - The political responses to global warming temperature increase have been decades of planned failures.  No national leader has established a viable national or multinational response plan to counter global warming temperature increase. No nation maintains a viable organization to respond to global warming temperature increase. Necessary planned successful responses to global warming temperature increase are essential, many, and varied and involve lives of more than 9 billion people.  Because world leaders do not acknowledge global warming, the popular news media still does not recognize global warming temperature increase.   

A GLOBAL WARMING RESPONSE PLAN - With the 2010 understanding of global warming, while not fully considering increasing atmospheric methane considerations, to have any reasonable 75% chance of keeping the global warming temperature rise below +2 °C — global carbon emissions (CO2) need to peak global greenhouse gas equivalent emissions (CO2-eq) by 2015-2020, and fall at least 16% worldwide by 2030 (based on 1990 levels).  Additional global human and natural GHG emission-reductions are necessary beyond 2050 towards a zero carbon economy by the end of the century.  To remain below a +1.5 °C threshold requires greater earlier reductions of human global carbon emissions (CO2).  

No national leader has established a viable national or multinational response plan to counter global warming temperature increase. No nation maintains a viable organization to respond to global warming temperature increase. Necessary planned responses to global warming temperature increase are essential, many, and varied and involve lives of more than 9 billion people.

There are only three avenues available that might alter the course global warming, environmental, and human events: ● Stop (extremely limit) using hydrocarbon energy (coal, oil, natural gas) ● Modify land, groundwater, and sea use practices ● Limit the size of the human population rate of growth

By stopping human greenhouse gas emissions, over time temperature stabilization occurs when atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations match systems of natural methane/carbon dioxide feedback.

Human and natural global warming greenhouse gas concentrations exceed critical temperature stabilization “trip points.” Some resulting impacts are abrupt and irreversible, depending upon the rate and magnitude of the global warming temperature increase, climate change, human population impacts, energy use, and most important methane clathrates venting.  

The Kyoto Protocol

The Kyoto Protocol, adopted at the third session of the Conference of Parties (COP 3) to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in 1997 CE in Kyoto, Japan, stipulates that developed countries collective greenhouse emissions should be reduce by 5.2% from 1990 CE levels during the first commitment period (2008-2012 CE), primarily through meeting their self imposed national targets. Recent research showed that global emissions of the six Kyoto greenhouse gas emissions increased by 75% between 1970 and 2004 CE to about 45,000 megaton carbon dioxide equivalents (CO2-eq).  The greenhouse gas reduction mission of UNFCCC and Kyoto Protocol has been a complete failure caused by too many indifferent world leaders who want their nations to remain dependent upon carbon economies of coal, oil, and natural gas.

A Window of Opportunity Closes
 
Within the scientific community, there remains a long felt concern that unless global warming greenhouse gas emissions do not soon decline by 2020 CE, a window of opportunity closes.  If, having missed the window of opportunity, Earth’s new temperature regulation establishes a stabilizing point that is an unlivable temperature increase prior to 2099 CE.  

U.S. Government politics involving global warming (aka, Climate Change) has resulted in no government agency adequately identifying deep concerns about the accelerating progress of global warming temperature increase and resulting impacts upon the human life cycle.  Nor has any global leader identified pending elimination of human races.  

Contributing to the termination of the human race is a projected population expansion to 9 billion people that greatly exceeds the capacity of Earth to support at the current rate of per capita consumption increase (or GDP standard of living increase).  Projected energy consumption per capita is increasing dramatically.  The consequences of current 7 billion people, increased mechanized harvesting of Earth resources, and ineffective Earth resource management, adds to the concern that the human race will terminate within 2050-2099 CE.  

It is astonishing (and disheartening) that world leaders and U.S. Congressional mismanagement is the fate of young adults and human races.  The political understanding of the consequences of global warming temperature increase and the political understanding sciences of the Modern Global Warming Era are inadequate.  Expected is that politics will continue “business as usual” increasing atmospheric greenhouse gas emissions.  

According to the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) (Figure SPM.7) report, the world will be a much hotter place by 2099 CE.  The amount of increased unmitigated anthropomorphic and natural greenhouse gas emissions determines the date of the temperature-threshold crossing +6.0 °C.  Continuing “business as usual” human carbon energy greenhouse gas-increases result in Earth’s temperature crossing +6.0 °C temperatures 2050-2099 CE.  However, if the Polar Regions’ methane clathrate gun explodes, the crossing of +6.0 °C occurs much sooner than current projections of “business as usual” greenhouse gas emissions.  

Methane clathrate (or methane hydrates) results from millions of years of methane deposits aided by aerobic bacteria degradation of organic compounds (mainly deposits of coal, oil, natural gas, and surface organics) in low oxygen environments under reduced temperature and increased pressure.  Methane clathrate can initiate a positive carbon/methane feedback cycle and resulting methane clathrate gun effect.  The clathrate gun is the popular name given to the hypothesis that rises in sea temperatures can trigger the sudden release of methane from methane clathrate compounds buried in seabed and permafrost.  Because methane itself is a powerful greenhouse gas (with an official 20-year GWP of 53 to 75), methane leads to further regional and global temperature rise and further methane clathrate destabilization.  In effect initiating a runaway process is irreversible once started, as is the firing of a gun.  

When the methane clathrate gun triggers, Earth’s temperature quickly rises tens of degrees.  The clathrate gun is one of several MAJOR global warming “trip points.”  There is strong evidence that runaway methane clathrate breakdown may have caused drastic alteration of the ocean environment and the atmosphere of earth on a number of occasions in the past, over timescales of tens of thousands of years; most notably in connection with the End-Permian Mass Extinction 252.28 Ma.   

Runaway methane clathrate breakdown caused drastic alteration of the ocean environment and the atmosphere of earth on a number of occasions in the past, over timescales of tens of thousands of years.  Continuation of our current rates of fossil fuel burning will lead Modern Global Warming to changes that are ten times faster than End-Permian Mass Extinction.  

Since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, humans have pumped a massive amount of greenhouse gases (about 500 gigatons of carbon) into the atmosphere resulting in some releases of huge reservoirs of methane clathrate (or methane hydrate) stored in ocean marine sediments (potential 500 - 10,000 gigatons of carbon) and stored in Polar Regions permafrost (potential 7.5 - 400 gigatons). Triggered by massive human carbon releases accumulations since 1750 and resulting massive increased methane releases, current rate of global temperature increase is about 10 times faster than that of End-Permian Mass Extinction.  

Earth today is experiencing a catastrophic global change, warming rapidly changes from a Polar very cold and seemingly stable climate state to a very warm stable climate state.  Mid-level latitude is very hot.  There is no pause or slow temperature rise.  Evolutionary transitions do not occur.  “Adaption” does occur slowly for the 9 billion people inhabiting Earth.  However, like slowly boiling a frog in a pot of water, the 9 billion people die within the 2050-2099 period.  

Talks held since the ‘Earth Summit of 1992’ under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) are “the most important negotiations ever undertaken in the history of humankind.”  However, 1990s talks diverted from UNFCCC solving the global warming temperature increase crisis to that of politicians agreeing to the corruption of investors to build a large “alternative renewable energy” industry, shut down the Europe and U.S. nuclear industries, and the 2009 transfer-of-wealth of US$100 billion to “poor” nations’ leaders.  Since 1992, world leaders have sold out to political special interest the ‘time necessary’ and ‘means available’ to correct global warming temperature increase.  

In the 1990s, there was UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) “business as usual” scenario reporting.  “Businesses as usual” is the normal course of anthropomorphic and natural accelerating rate of global warming activity.  In the 2000s,  “business as usual” scenario reporting of greenhouse gas emissions lost out to the political opaqueness and diversions of building the “alternative renewable green energy” politics, bashing nuclear energy, and the politics of not reporting the important greenhouse gas methane.  This political delay in responding to the global warming event may have placed us beyond ability to respond adequately to stopping global temperature increase.  That is, we have exceeded too many critical trip points: methane/carbon greenhouse gas atmospheric considerations, aerosol density, soot density, intensity of carbon economies, public apathy, lacking capability of productive political response, to name a few trip points.  Additionally, there remains a very strong campaign by those who want to continue fossil fuel economies and "business as usual."  Scientific global warming story has not been powerful enough to offset political opposition to truth.  Mitigation is the action of reducing the severity, seriousness, or painfulness of something.  Mitigation-funding necessary to stop global warming became global/national transfer of wealth schemes and “renewable energy” corruption.  The real political purpose of “renewable energy” is to act as a public diversion and pay off the renewable energy investors while the politicians increase carbon (coal, oil, natural gas) economies.  The rest of the political global warming response is history.  There is no global warming mitigation.  The rate of global temperature increase is rapidly accelerating. The global warming path is clear - Thanks to the abysmal and unforgivable failure of the world’s leadership, 20-years and 17 rounds of UNFCCC "climate change" negotiations have failed to give full effect and deliver a fair, ambitious, and binding GLOBAL WARMING deal for maintaining climate at a livable level.  

If emissions do not plateau by 2020 and rapidly decline thereafter, the +2.0°C target will slip out of reach:    

● +2.0°C: Unless natural and human greenhouse gases peak by 2020, in 2030-2040 Earth global warming temperature increase shall exceed +2.0°C limit above preindustrial average temperature.  World population reaches 8.7 billion by 2040 and exceeds 9 billion prior to 2050. Coral reefs almost extinct - In North America, a new dust bowl bring deserts to life in the high plains states, centered on Nebraska.  In addition, wipes out agriculture and cattle ranching as sand dunes appear across five US states, from Texas in the south to Montana in the north.  Major to massive dust storms sweep the Midwest.

 Rising sea levels accelerate as the Greenland ice sheet tips into irreversible melt, submerging atoll nations and low-lying deltas.  In Peru, disappearing Andean glaciers mean 10 million people face water shortages.  Warming seas wipe out the Great Barrier Reef and make coral reefs virtually extinct throughout the tropics.  Worldwide, a third of all species on the planet face extinction.

 In the 20th century, sea has risen by an average of 2mm per year, but it is accelerating and over the last decades, the rise in sea level has gone approximately 70% faster.  Even in the most optimistic scenario, which requires extremely dramatic climate change goals, major technological advances and strong international cooperation to stop emitting greenhouse gases and polluting the atmosphere, the sea would continue to rise.  After now stop emitting greenhouse gases, by the year 2100 AD the sea will have raised by 60 cm (1.9 feet) and by the year 2500 AD the rise in sea level will be 1.8 meters (5.9 feet).  For the two more realistic scenarios, calculated based on the emissions and pollution stabilizing, the results show that there will be a sea level rise of about 75 cm (2.5 feet) and that by the year 2500 AD the sea will have risen by 2 meters (6.6 feet).  IPCC stated in AR4 that global warming should cause sea levels to rise 0.11 to 0.77 meters (0.36 to 2.5 feet) by 2100.

 Warming Weather - Temperature, humidity, altitude, ocean currents, and pressure differences fuels the mid-latitude storms affect Earth’s most populated regions.  Warmer temperatures increase the amount of water vapor that enters the atmosphere.  The result is a hotter, more humid environment.  At mid latitudes, conditions are hot and humid.  At the poles the air is cold and dry; a little extra heat, water vapor, and regional methane clathrate breakdown raises temperatures greatly, remedial action becomes ineffectual.  

 Rain forest turns to desert - The Amazonian rain forest burns in a firestorm of catastrophic ferocity, covering South America with ash and smoke.  Once the smoke clears, the interior of Brazil has become desert, and huge amounts of extra carbon have entered the atmosphere, further boosting global warming.  The entire Arctic ice cap disappears in the summer months, leaving the North Pole ice-free for the first time in 3 million years.  Polar bears, walruses and ringed seals all go extinct.  Water supplies run short in California as the Sierra Nevada snow pack melts away.  Tens of millions displaced as the Kalahari Desert expands across southern Africa.  

+4.0°C to +4.4°C: Scientists warn only one-tenth of the 2050 world’s people will survive.  Of 9 billion people only 900 million survive this point, which is a number near that of the 1785 global population.  

Melting ice caps displace millions - Rapidly rising temperatures in the Arctic put Siberian and Canada permafrost in the melt zone, releasing vast quantities of methane (CH4) and carbon dioxide (CO2).  Global temperatures keep on rising rapidly in consequence.  Melting ice caps and sea level rises displace more than 100 million people, particularly in Bangladesh, the Nile Delta, and Shanghai.  Heat waves and drought make much of the sub-tropics uninhabitable: large-scale migration even takes place within Europe, where deserts are growing in southern Spain, Italy, and Greece.  More than half of wild species wiped out, in the worst mass extinction since the end of the dinosaurs.  Agriculture collapses in Australia. Students now enrolled in schools and universities face this future:

WATER - Decreasing water availability and increasing drought in mid-latitudes and semi-arid low latitudes.  Groundwater is increasingly over drafted and surface water is in very short supply.

ECOSYSTEMS – There are major extinctions around the globe.  Food chain disruptions are widespread.  Coral mortality is spreading.  Terrestrial biosphere tends toward a net carbon source, as ~40% of ecosystems affected.  Surface and groundwater reserves are critically short of water.

FOOD - All production of cereals decrease.  There is increased ocean acidification, increased water hypoxia, and decreased fish biomass.

COAST – There is increased damage from floods and storms, with about 30% loss of coastal wetlands.  Additional 2 to 15 million people are at risk of coastal flooding each year.  There is increased loss of groundwater storage capacity from saltwater inundation into coastal aquifers.

HEALTH – There are increased health burdens from malnutrition, diarrhoeal, cardio-respiratory, and infectious diseases with increased morbidity and mortality from heat waves, floods, and droughts.  Substantial increased burden on health services.

SINGLE EVENTS - Long-term commitment to several meters of sea-level rise due to ice sheet loss, leading to reconfiguration of coastlines worldwide and inundation of low-lying areas.  It is to be noted that the (<10%) likelihood in the 21st century Meridional Overturning Circulation (MOC) shutdown may still be significant given the high consequences of an abrupt shutdown.  MOC shutdown includes adverse effects on food production and terrestrial vegetation, changes in fisheries and effects on oceanic carbon dioxide uptake and oceanic oxygen concentrations, an increased warming of southern hemisphere high latitudes and tropical drying.  Weather change patterns are also associated with MOC and Thermohaline Circulation (THC) activity.

SOCIAL STABILITY – Society’s social structure will increasingly breakdown as life support systems break down under the demands of increased population, increased climate change, increased regional temperatures, decreased food supplies, and increased life support distribution issues.

+5.4°C: Rising sea levels in the coming centuries is perhaps one of the most catastrophic consequences of rising temperatures.  Left unchanged, the sea levels rise by 5 meters (16.4 feet).  “Business as usual” emissions produce a 1.1-meter (3.6 FEET) rise of sea level by 2099.  Only a very small fraction of the 9-10 billion could continue to exist at the Polar Regions.     

+6.0°C: Long-term effects on global warming “climate change” are largely "irreversible" for more than a million years.  

Anthropogenic and natural global warming greenhouse gas concentrations previously exceeded critical temperature stabilization “trip points.”  Some resulting impacts were abrupt and irreversible, depending upon the rate and magnitude of the global warming temperature increase, climate change, human population impacts, energy use, and methane clathrates venting.  

Carbon dioxide has unique long-term effects on climate change that are largely "irreversible" for thousands of years after emissions stop (zero further emissions).  Even if carbon and methane emissions were to cease completely, current atmospheric temperatures increase will not decrease significantly.  Warming seas release of methane trapped in sub-oceanic sediments and methane clathrates.  Earth’s human races are long gone before methane fireballs tear across the Polar Region sky, causing further warming.  If human and natural greenhouse gas emissions continue unchecked, the model of global warming is similar to End-Permian Mass Extinction. Major differences between current global warming temperature increase event and End-Permian is that current temperature increase was caused by massive human energy use carbon emissions resulting from population growth from 1750 CE (that had ~900 million people) to a Modern Global Warming population of ~7 billion people.  Additionally, beginning stages of current temperature increase is about 10 times faster than that of the End-Permian Mass Extinction.  Oceans lose their oxygen and turn stagnant, releasing poisonous hydrogen sulphide gas and destroying the ozone layer.  Deserts extend almost to the Arctic.  "Hypercanes" (hurricanes of unimaginable ferocity) circumnavigate the globe, causing flash floods, which strip the land of soil.  Humanity reduced to a few survivors eking out a living in polar refuges.  Life on Earth snuffed out as temperatures rise higher and than stabilizes for more than a hundred million years. Benign neglect of Earth’s Carbon/Methane Carbon Cycle produces stress on Earth of increased populations, increased energy use, and resulting increased temperatures, which is evident.  Human factors do not change to accommodate necessary greenhouse gas reductions.  The only temperature forcing effect that could make a difference is to expanded nuclear energy, as a replacement for coal, oil, and natural gas energy.  “Renewable” energy has inadequate capacity and is unmanageable on the larger scale. “Renewable” energy projects have a history of significant large amounts of corruption.

The greatest obstacles to maintaining an Earth temperature level that can sustain human life is continuation of persistent European-U.S. communist interests, carbon economy interests, “alternative renewable energy” interests, and anti-nuclear interest.  Most certainly other global warming problems, but these listed interests are the largest manageable obstacle.

Commentary letters identifying some additional issues of global warming found at ‘Blogger “Global Warming 2050-2099”’:

(1) Blogger “Global Warming NUCLEAR 1990 to 2011 Decline of Global Clean Nuclear Energy”

(2) Blogger “Global Warming POLITICS U.S. Renewable Energy”

(3) Blogger “Global Warming PHYSICS Catastrophic Crisis”

(4) Blogger "Methane average of 1,850 parts per BILLION (ppb) is unprecedented"   

This letter is the only public document that presents an overall true image of global warming temperature increase and the politics that is obstructing solutions, PASS THESE BLOGGER ADDRESSES ALONG.  Please discuss with others and the news media as to their views on global warming temperature increase.  The liberal media has stakes in maintaining the proper image of U.S. left Democrat and European leadership while the conservative media is too concerned about their ratings to discuss Modern Global Warming.  Ask your local politicians as to their opinions concerning global warming.  Lacking a variety of reliable peer-reviewed scientific reporting of the Modern Global Warming era, too soon the global warming temperature becomes committed to being unlivable.  It is only through increased public awareness that politicians will change the course of global warming.  If there is no U.S., German, and Global Energy Policy of 2012 CE that supports global warming temperature reduction, than Earth’s humans no longer exist 2050-2099 CE.  

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