The future of global warming is grim. Stresses of increased populations, increased hydrocarbon energy use, increased gross domestic product (GDP), and resulting increased global temperatures is evident. Most probable response projections over time include uncontrolled population growth, limited technology changes, increased rates of energy use, critical political decisions not made, increases in national high-energy GDPs, limited funding for effective clean nuclear energy, limited hydrologic energy development, water resources under developed, and too often proposed by untoward politicians and surrogates are impossible legislated changes to fundamental laws of physics.
By 1866, resulting from the accumulations of a combination of natural and human greenhouse gases, global temperature increase produced a clear “thumbprint” of human impacts on climate change. Spaceship Earth control systems for continued human life is exceeded, human life ends too soon past 2050 CE. All theories about the Modern Global Warming Era that are to the contrary to this presentation, and are not based upon acceptable supporting evidence, are falsehoods.
Note that transitions between fundamentally different regional and global climates can occur within only decades. Politicians most significantly increased global warming gases from the 1980s forward, when powerful world leaders assured that use of nuclear energy would be reduced and coal, oil, and natural gas energy economies would increase. Later, President Obama and left progressive Democrats' nuclear energy policy is to completely discontinue nuclear energy in favor of coal energy (with some natural gas increase). Left Democrats are active in retaining the U.S. economy dependent upon coal energy, imported OPEC oil energy, Chinese economic loans, and printing U.S. money. Within U.S. and Germany, nuclear energy was politically phased out while the 1992 CE alternatives to energy diversions were developed to enable politicians and their special interests to appear responsive to "climate change." Politicians talk the talk of climate change, but their political walk is to retain huge trillion dollar investments within multinational global warming hydrocarbon economies (coal, oil, natural gas).
Global warming is on a political "business as usual" human hydrocarbon energy path and natural methane emissions path. For politicians global warming is a political game that is no more than a finding a way to keep their well paid jobs and win next elections. For human races, global warming is a life and death cause and effect response of the laws of physics.
Although politicians may have their way, Mother Nature has the last say. Politicians control national energies and human greenhouse gas emissions, but it is the laws of Mother Nature's physics that control global warming temperature increase. Positive atmospheric energy imbalance (measured in W/m2) increases global warming temperature that exceeds Earth’s capacity to sustain any of the lives of 9 billion people post 2050 CE.
If all human hydrocarbon emissions were to stop now, Earth's temperature will continue to rise from existing atmospheric excesses of global warming gases for more than 50-years. Since ambient 1750 CE introduction of the Industrial Age, Modern Global Warming concentrations of greenhouse gases has increased significantly. Greenhouse gas increased above natural global warming concentration of carbon dioxide (CO2) is increased ~39% and methane (CH4) concentration is increased ~164%. 1750 CE pre-industrial interglacial tropospheric concentration greenhouse concentrations levels was 280 ppm and methane peak level was 700 ppb. Current carbon dioxide concentrations levels are ~390 ppm and are for methane ~1,850 ppb.
It took 260 years of Industrial Age greenhouse gas accumulations to get where we are. The global warming course is set; changes will be difficult, costly, and need to be timely; the longer the mitigation implementations are delayed the more difficult it becomes to change; the rate-of-change of global warming temperature increase is accelerating.
For more than 40-years U.S. politicians have severely impeded the growth of clean nuclear. By the 1970s U.S. hydroelectric energy development was phased out, promoting continued use of coal energy. Construction within public water right-of-ways prevented expansion of hydroelectric power. In the U.S. we produce, close to 20 tons carbon per person primarily resulting from having a high GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP), a energy inefficient LIFESTYLE, and economic employment patterns. A French report in 2006 deemed that humanity must freeze its annual carbon emissions at 4-billion tons (to maintain a 450 ppm limit and +2 C Limit) or 0.6 tons for each of the planet's 6.8 billion people. The U.S. produces 20 tons carbon per person. Therefore, the U.S. is either producing 10x too much carbon (according to earlier estimates) or 30x too much carbon (based on the French report). Either way the U.S. carbon footprint is causing a serious threat to continued human races survival past 2050 CE .
The Arctic Sea is warming faster resulting from warmer freshwater flow, trapping more solar heat instead of reflecting it back into space, since ice reflects about 90 per cent of the indecent solar radiation compared to the absorption of 60 per cent of solar radiation by an open ocean surface devoid of ice. Due to the Arctic Region positive warming feedback and methane hydrate-clathrate release, powerful global warming methane is becoming a more significant global warming force.
Thanks to the abysmal and unforgivable failure of the world’s leadership, 20-years and 17 rounds of U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) "climate change" negotiations have failed to give full effect and deliver any fair, ambitious, and a binding GLOBAL WARMING deal for maintaining "climate" at a livable level. The fate of humanity is in the hands of political systems, multinational political machines, and Earth’s unyielding geophysical balance. Current "official" reporting reporting of global warming temperature increase leads to the destruction of the human races.
A NASA study underscores the fact that greenhouse gases generated by human activity are the primary force driving global warming. Since the 1990s, Europe-U.S. politicians economically locked-in funding “alternative fuels renewable green energy,” eliminating nuclear energy, and retaining coal economies. China-India governments are also creating hydrocarbon “infrastructure lock-in.” Curbing global warming involves preventing 2017 CE “infrastructure lock-in” of the “carbon budget.” In 2030-2040 CE, unless there are changes, the 450 ppm carbon limit and +2 C Limit is exceeded.
Nuclear energy and hydrologic energies are the only energies with sufficient clean energy capacity to help curb global warming temperature increase. If greenhouse gas emissions do not plateau by 2020 CE and declines thereafter, a sequence of global temperature increase natural and human events occurs. These events must be reasonably identified and reported to formulate an effective global warming response plan.
It is necessary for the U.S. Congress to task U.S. military and U.S. intelligence agency resources to provide timely global warming assessments and projections and necessary global warming reduction planning to sustain and support human races existence past 2050-2099 CE (but more closely to 2050-2055 CE).
Keep in mind that to prevent excessive global warming temperature increase involves global economies shifting from hydrocarbon economies (coal, oil, natural gas) to nuclear energy or the more limited hydroelectric energy, which involves trillions of dollars in economic exchanges. For that reason, implementing trillions of dollars of proper responses to global warming are politically unpopular, which introduces decades more delay to political responses. After delayed global warming responses are installed, Earth may respond decades later. Meanwhile, Mother Nature's environment and laws of physics responds with total disregard of politicians' reelection worries. Mother Nature's global warming mostly responds to global warming gas levels, and time.
Acts against humanity's survival are authorities ignoring or dismissing necessary timely implementation of corrections to global warming temperature-increase. Unless there are changes to human greenhouse gas emissions, all those who are not yet born, and those who are now children and young adults under the age of 30-years, shall soon die post 2050 CE, ending the 160 thousand year 'journey of mankind.'
We live in a dynamic and changing world. Sometimes truth is more exciting and stranger than fiction. No nation maintains a viable organization or life support planning necessary to direct global warming changes. While politicians oppose information dissemination about global warming, very few scientist have access to valid global warming modeling with projections; there is no public access to valid global warming modeling. No nation has projected the cause and effects of global warming. No nation has proposed a plan or a process that is necessary to prevent many more centuries of global warming temperature increase. As it now stands, global warming temperature increase is a no win political "business as usual" scenario for human races.
There may be solutions to the global warming temperature increase, we just have to identify and timely implement those solutions.
"We travel together, passengers on a little spaceship, dependent on its vulnerable reserves of air and soil" -Adlai Stevenson (D), U.N. Ambassador, 1965
Increasing atmospheric natural and human (anthropomorphic) greenhouse gases (GHGs) result in a cataclysmic global temperature increase. The first step to a solution is to acknowledge that global warming temperature increases result in human races’ life or death epic destiny. Without a world leader who will resolve implementing effective global warming mitigation, the human races and their economies terminate 2050-2099 CE -- but more closely to 2050-2055 CE.
Showing posts with label Spaceship Earth. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Spaceship Earth. Show all posts
Wednesday, March 14, 2012
Tuesday, February 14, 2012
Spaceship Earth’s global warming energy
Global warming temperature increase is a response to atmospheric accumulations of human and natural carbon dioxide and methane emission since the 1750 CE start of the industrial revolution. The most important reason the world has not responded to to global warming is the result of the U.S. political machinery suppressing for more than 30-years the expansion of nuclear energy as a replacement energy for the U.S. carbon economy.
The future progress of Earth’s temperature increase is basically established. Unless there is a huge conversion from energy “business as usual” use of hydrocarbon energy (coal, oil, natural gas), Earth’s infrastructure carbon budget lock-in occurs around 2017 CE, atmospheric carbon level 450 ppm is exceeded, +2 oC limit is exceed around 2030-2040 CE, sometime 2050-2099 CE Earth’s average temperature increase exceeds +5 oC, and the resulting end of all human life.
All those who are not yet born, and those who are now children and young adults under the age of 30-years, shall die 2050-2099 CE, ending the 160 thousand year journey of mankind.
Global Warming - This Lifespan
Earth’s human survival is as a spaceship flying through space. Spaceship Earth life support system is a closed system with finite capacity to sustain a finite amount of human life over a finite lifespan, within a finite livable temperature range: "We travel together, passengers on a little spaceship, dependent on its vulnerable reserves of air and soil" -Adlai Stevenson (D), U.N. Ambassador, 1965
In the 1960s, Spaceship Earth was a concern to many. Then the U.S. political leadership decided to shutdown clean nuclear energy. Instead of using clean nuclear energy to expand the U.S. economy, 1970s-2010s leaders stopped nuclear energy expansion in order to continue expanding U.S. coal and oil economies. Since the 1973 Arab (OPEC) oil embargo, U.S. oil importation became a U.S. diplomatic foreign exchange tool. (On October 16, 1973, OPEC announced a decision to raise the posted price of oil by 70%, to $5.11 a barrel.) On January 18, 2012, President Obama rejected Keystone XL oil application to limit domestic oil supply and keep OPEC oil imports at agreement levels (imports are around 20% of U.S. oil consumed). Much of the Middle East depends upon U.S. importing oil.
The global population grew and gross domestic product (GDP) grew, thus grew the demand for more energy, more coal, oil, natural gas, resulting in more human and natural global warming greenhouse gas emissions. There is now no end in sight for Earth’s temperature increase. Scientists suggest that left unchecked, too soon Modern Global Warming accumulated warming forces will exceed natural carbon dioxide and methane heating effects produced by the 252.28 Ma Siberian Traps volcanic eruptions that resulted in End-Permian Mass Extinction.
The following below article discusses the 2007 CE release UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Working Group I Report. UN IPCC has produced much valuable information, but the body of work has been politically corrupted to deflect increased concern about global warming temperature increase. For more than two decades politicians have covertly obfuscated and negated UN IPCC’s global warming reporting. Under the Obama administration many U.S. government departments, agencies, colleges, and universities under report and misreport global warming and energy. Covert obfuscation of global warming is done by many nations and by much of the biased news media. Much of the public body of global warming knowledge has been politically corrupted, leaving the whole global warming knowledge base and media reporting as unreliable.
UN IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, “Climate Change 2007 (AR4)” is made up of four sections: Working Group I Report - "The Physical Science Basis," Working Group II Report - "Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability," Working Group III Report - "Mitigation of Climate Change," and summary “The AR4 Synthesis Report.” Parts of IPCC AR are significantly corrupted leaving the whole document unreliable.
On 02 February, 2007, the UN IPCC Working Group I Report, an international group of scientists charged with reviewing the evidence on global climate change, issued "Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis," a summary for policymakers. It was written as part I of the IV parts of the IPCC panel's Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). Working Group I summary describes progress in understanding the human and natural drivers of global warming (aka, climate change). The following Working Group I 2007 CE statement was released:
Unfortunately, most people only look at UN IPCC "The AR4 Synthesis Report." By political design, the Synthesis Report downplays and subdivides the intensity of the global warming problem.
The 2007 CE IPCC Working Group I Report within below article does contain valuable information and has been fairly critiqued:
Global Warming Future
The global warming path is clear - Thanks to the abysmal and unforgivable failure of the world’s leadership, 20-years and 17 rounds of UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) "climate change" negotiations have failed to give full effect and deliver a fair, ambitious, and binding GLOBAL WARMING deal for maintaining climate at a livable level. The fate of humanity is in the hands of political machines and Earth’s unyielding geophysical balance.
If greenhouse gas emissions do not plateau by 2020 and rapidly decline thereafter a sequence of global temperature increase occurs:
U.S. Global Warming Politics
In 1988, James Hansen, director of NASA Goddard Institute of Space Studies, testified before the U.S. Senate that, based on computer models and temperature measurements, he was “99 percent” certain “...the [human-caused] greenhouse effect has been detected and it is changing our climate now.” His statement was widely covered by the media and first brought the term “global warming” to the general public attention. Typical of Senate politicians they ignored the scientific warning and there were no political responses to global warming temperature increase. The only response the U.S. Senate provided was to undermine global efforts to respond respond to the peril that global warming poses. Disruptive and skilled gangs were and still are organized to discredit global warming reality.
ON February 2007, South Africa's Environmental Affairs said failure to act upon global warming would be "indefensible." Global warming failure to act was not only indefensible, failure to act by political machinery leadership has created a situation that is criminal in intent to destroy human civilization in order to receive profits from multinational government supported “carbon cap and trade” and alternative renewable green energy. UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon’s remarks:
In the 1960s-2010s, global warming was known to be a growing problem caused by massive use of hydrocarbon energies (coal, oil, natural gas) expelling global warming gases since 1750 CE. Self serving politicians ignored the global warming scientific advice and set a course to keep the U.S. dependent upon a hydrocarbon economy.
There are only two sources of clean energy that might curb enough global warming to save the human races: nuclear reactor energy and hydroelectric energy.
In the U.S., suitable hydroelectric sites either contain constructed dams or the politicians gave up public water rights to expand 1970s commercial development and to prevent water and electrical use with dam-construction. Water dam construction continues to be opposed by environmentalist and lawyers. That dam opposition gave the politicians their excuses to restrict surface water development, sell the land and water rights for district growth, development, and profits.
Since the 1970s, to encourage expansion of the existing global domestic hydrocarbon economies of coal, oil, and natural gas. U.S. nuclear reactor energy has been opposed by politicians. Not only did the untoward politicians oppose nuclear expansion, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) stopped issuing new licences for nuclear facilities since 1978 CE. As politicians, lawyers and political parrots, NRC members for the last 30-years has been decommissioning nuclear reactors.
In the 1990s special political interest took over UN responses to global warming, which resulted in 20-years and 17 UN “climate change” meetings during which nothing was accomplished that had anything to due with global warming. Than in 2005 CE, the left Democrats activated left progressive political “grassroots” support of alternatives to energy and continued to close down U.S. nuclear energy. In December 2009 CE, at Denmark UN COP-15 meeting, President Obama promoted a transfer of wealth scheme that has derailed global responses to global warming. European-U.S. neo communist 2011 CE shutdown of Germany nuclear energy with a “Atomics Law.” In the place of nuclear energy the German-U.S. politicians promoted dependence upon alternatives to energy. However, in fact, U.S. and Germany politicians expanded dependence upon the economy of coal, oil, natural gas.
Alternatives to energy was just a political front for USD $100s of billions shift to domestic and international political corruption. Stopping global warming temperature increase involves many trillions of dollars over many years and many elections. With corruption “adapting” to global warming temperature increase, political corruption within the global warming industry is going to remain an expensive political fixture for a long time.
In 2009, to add to preventing further global/U.S. nuclear development, President Obama’s political machinery took over the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) membership and also shut down the completed Yucca Mountain geologic nuclear repository. In effect, the U.S. neo communist left Democrats (with help from some congressional Republicans) have politically nationalized U.S. energy and stopped the global effort to reduce global warming temperature increase.
With many political claims of “safety,” resulting from the 1970s politics, nuclear plant construction costs skyrocketed from a reactor estimated at $660 million to $8.87 billion. The congressional political machinery approach to eliminating U.S. nuclear energy is to make nuclear facilities so expensive for “safety” reasons that nuclear energy cannot compete in the energy market with cheaper coal, oil, and natural gas. Over the decades to eliminate nuclear energy as a energy competitor, as costs for hydrocarbon energy increase, the NRC members imposed more costly and unnecessary nuclear “safety” requirements. Therefor, there was never a timely global switch to nuclear energy that is necessary to save human races from 2050-2099 CE destruction.
Phasing out nuclear energy was typical of U.S. politics after the 1979 CE Three Mile Island accident. Since 1979, NRC members have been building a political government nuclear energy energy “regulated monopoly” by denying nuclear construction with NRC members’ unwarranted and costly “safety” demands. For more than 30-years, the NRC members job was to decommission nuclear energy sights for high level politicians.
According to the U.S. Department of Energy, the last reactor built was the "River Bend" plant in Louisiana. Its construction began in March of 1977 CE. The last plant to begin commercial operation is the "Watts Bar" plant in Tennessee, which came online in 1996 CE. Although new nuclear reactors have been built in this country within the last three decades the NRC members have not issued a license to build a new reactor since 1978 CE. The reactors that have opened in the last decades were approved prior to 1978 CE. There are currently 104 operating nuclear reactors at 64 plants across the country. Half of the nuclear reactors are over 30-years old. February 09, 2012, NRC members have issued the COL license to Plant Vogtle in Georgia, which is a too little, too late, and too much of a political act on the part of the NRC member politicians and lawyers and President Obama.
As a share of total U.S. energy: Total U.S. energy: nuclear electric is 8%, conventional hydroelectric power 2.7%, coal 23%, natural gas 23%, and petroleum 40%. Nuclear energy produces about 20% of U.S. electrical energy. The core global warming task is to reduce global energy share of coal, natural gas, and petroleum, to be replaced with hydrocarbon free nuclear and hydroelectric energy.
Neither President Obama nor the Republican candidates or the U.S. Congress have established a viable national or multinational response plan to counter global warming temperature increase. A response plan for global warming would take about ten-years to develop. Earth does not have ten-years, it only has five years till 2017 CE to stop building hydrocarbon-energy infrastructure.
Global hydrocarbon infrastructure lock-in occurs around 2017 CE, and it takes about 3-4 years to build a large nuclear facility. How is the U.S. going to produce enough clean nuclear energy soon enough to cap and reduce carbon emissions so that human races are saved from total destruction 2050-2099 CE?
The start of any Republican or Democrat global warming recovery plan is to expand U.S. nuclear energy. To properly expand U.S. nuclear energy it is necessary to replace the politics of the NRC members with an experienced panel of three military nuclear officers and one presidential appointee. To meet Earth’s 2017 CE carbon budget infrastructure criteria it is required to quickly expand U.S. and global nuclear capacity. To quickly expand U.S. nuclear capacity it is necessary that the existing NRC memberships be replaced with leaders who are experienced with organization skills, military nuclear design, construction, and operation. Not doing so results in the destruction of 9 billion people.
Global warming is a political and economic force involving global trillions to dollars of energy change. Who will win the coming elections based upon their global warming solutions? Political greed and corruption is too large to be effectively opposed--political corruption has sucked the life out of this world. The lives of more than 9 billion people in 2050-2099 CE are of little concern to the current anti-response political machines and special interest forces.
The first step to problem resolution is recognition of the problem. Enough world leaders have yet to acknowledge global warming as a problem.
The first applied step to global warming success is a new NRC membership makeup of three senior military nuclear representatives and one President appointed representative. Shifting to a military nuclear structure for expanding commercial nuclear reactors will provide much needed professional U.S. clean energy direction. Nuclear energy is the only energy source that might produce enough clean energy to prevent human races destruction.
Unless there is change, all those who are not yet born, and those who are now children and young adults under the age of 30-years, shall die 2050-2099 CE, ending the 160 thousand year journey of mankind.
The future progress of Earth’s temperature increase is basically established. Unless there is a huge conversion from energy “business as usual” use of hydrocarbon energy (coal, oil, natural gas), Earth’s infrastructure carbon budget lock-in occurs around 2017 CE, atmospheric carbon level 450 ppm is exceeded, +2 oC limit is exceed around 2030-2040 CE, sometime 2050-2099 CE Earth’s average temperature increase exceeds +5 oC, and the resulting end of all human life.
All those who are not yet born, and those who are now children and young adults under the age of 30-years, shall die 2050-2099 CE, ending the 160 thousand year journey of mankind.
Global Warming - This Lifespan
Earth’s human survival is as a spaceship flying through space. Spaceship Earth life support system is a closed system with finite capacity to sustain a finite amount of human life over a finite lifespan, within a finite livable temperature range: "We travel together, passengers on a little spaceship, dependent on its vulnerable reserves of air and soil" -Adlai Stevenson (D), U.N. Ambassador, 1965
In the 1960s, Spaceship Earth was a concern to many. Then the U.S. political leadership decided to shutdown clean nuclear energy. Instead of using clean nuclear energy to expand the U.S. economy, 1970s-2010s leaders stopped nuclear energy expansion in order to continue expanding U.S. coal and oil economies. Since the 1973 Arab (OPEC) oil embargo, U.S. oil importation became a U.S. diplomatic foreign exchange tool. (On October 16, 1973, OPEC announced a decision to raise the posted price of oil by 70%, to $5.11 a barrel.) On January 18, 2012, President Obama rejected Keystone XL oil application to limit domestic oil supply and keep OPEC oil imports at agreement levels (imports are around 20% of U.S. oil consumed). Much of the Middle East depends upon U.S. importing oil.
The global population grew and gross domestic product (GDP) grew, thus grew the demand for more energy, more coal, oil, natural gas, resulting in more human and natural global warming greenhouse gas emissions. There is now no end in sight for Earth’s temperature increase. Scientists suggest that left unchecked, too soon Modern Global Warming accumulated warming forces will exceed natural carbon dioxide and methane heating effects produced by the 252.28 Ma Siberian Traps volcanic eruptions that resulted in End-Permian Mass Extinction.
The following below article discusses the 2007 CE release UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Working Group I Report. UN IPCC has produced much valuable information, but the body of work has been politically corrupted to deflect increased concern about global warming temperature increase. For more than two decades politicians have covertly obfuscated and negated UN IPCC’s global warming reporting. Under the Obama administration many U.S. government departments, agencies, colleges, and universities under report and misreport global warming and energy. Covert obfuscation of global warming is done by many nations and by much of the biased news media. Much of the public body of global warming knowledge has been politically corrupted, leaving the whole global warming knowledge base and media reporting as unreliable.
UN IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, “Climate Change 2007 (AR4)” is made up of four sections: Working Group I Report - "The Physical Science Basis," Working Group II Report - "Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability," Working Group III Report - "Mitigation of Climate Change," and summary “The AR4 Synthesis Report.” Parts of IPCC AR are significantly corrupted leaving the whole document unreliable.
On 02 February, 2007, the UN IPCC Working Group I Report, an international group of scientists charged with reviewing the evidence on global climate change, issued "Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis," a summary for policymakers. It was written as part I of the IV parts of the IPCC panel's Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). Working Group I summary describes progress in understanding the human and natural drivers of global warming (aka, climate change). The following Working Group I 2007 CE statement was released:
"The new report powerfully underscores the need for a massive effort to slow the pace of global climatic disruption before intolerable consequences become inevitable. The report is far clearer and less equivocal in its description of how Earth's climate is changing—and in attributing the bulk of these changes to human activities—than the last IPCC report in 2001. That was to be expected, because since 2001 there has been a torrent of new scientific evidence on the magnitude, human origins, and growing impacts of the climatic changes that are underway. In overwhelming proportions, this evidence has been in the direction of showing faster change, more danger, and greater confidence about the dominant role of carbon dioxide from fossil-fuel burning and tropical deforestation in causing the changes that are being observed.”
Unfortunately, most people only look at UN IPCC "The AR4 Synthesis Report." By political design, the Synthesis Report downplays and subdivides the intensity of the global warming problem.
The 2007 CE IPCC Working Group I Report within below article does contain valuable information and has been fairly critiqued:
Global Warming Shock Wave Awakens World Leaders
WASHINGTON, DC, February 2, 2007 (ENS) - This morning in Paris, hundreds of scientists from around the world released a report showing that global warming is accelerating, that human activity is responsible for this warming, and that it is likely irreversible for centuries, even if greenhouse gas emissions are stabilized.
The report, entitled "The Physical Science Basis: a Summary for Policymakers," (Working Group I Report) was adopted in a line-by line review by the governments of 113 countries, including the United States.
The new Working Group I Report report says that warming during the last 100 years was 0.74 oC (1.3 oF), with most of the warming occurring during the past 50 years. The warming for “business as usual” energy use over the next 20 years is projected to increase 0.4 oC (0.6 oF) for a total preindustrial temperature increase of about 1.2 oC (1.9 oF) by 2027 CE. Global warming greenhouse gas atmospheric concentrations continue to rise.
[NOTE: Over the years more than a hundred nations have agreed not to exceed the +2 oC limit, which shall be exceeded 2030-2040 CE. Also, Earth atmosphere exceeds the carbon 450 ppm limit in 2030-2040 CE. Arctic Region methane hydrate (aka, clathrate) gas is increasing its methane vent. Energy infrastructure carbon budget lock-in is exceeded 2017 CE (which is a pivotal point). The last point at which to stop global warming temperature increase is by peaking human production of carbon dioxide at 2017 CE and reducing carbon dioxide levels. --DGE]
Mid-range climate change scenarios predict severe droughts and floods, more intense hurricanes and cyclones, pressure on fresh water and food supplies, increased spread of diseases, and rising sea levels that could displace hundreds of millions of people worldwide and affect the growing world population of billions of people.
Reaction to the 2007 IPCC AR4 report, the first report in six years from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), has ranged across the spectrum.
Dr. Sharon Hays, leader of the U.S. delegation at the Paris meeting and chief science official in the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, said the IPCC report "reflects the size able and robust body of knowledge regarding the physical science of climate change, including the finding that the Earth is warming and that human activities have very likely caused most of the warming of the last 50 years."
U.S. Energy Secretary Samuel Bodman said the United States embraces the findings of the IPCC report. "We agree with it, and the science behind it is something that our country has played a very important role in," he told journalists today in Washington.
The Bush administration continues to rely on technology to counter global warming rather than the limits on emissions adopted by other industrialized nations under the Kyoto Protocol. Reportedly, the United States has invested nearly $29 billion since 2001 in climate-related science and technology programs.
"We estimate that the U.S. has invested more in climate change science than the rest of the world combined," Bodman said.
In Congress, Chairman of the Senate Energy Committee Jeff Bingaman, a New Mexico Democrat said, "This U.N. report is only the latest in a series of signals that increase the urgency of our efforts to deal with global warming," Bingaman said. "Today I am again urging the President to show leadership and work with Congress to implement a mandatory, market-based cap and trade program to address this challenge." "The consequences so clearly spelled out in this report, and many others, compel us to act now," he said.
Responsible environmental groups generally welcomed the IPCC's information in hopes that it may prompt swift action to limit global warming.
"The good news is that the political climate in Washington is changing as well." "Congress needs to enact comprehensive emission limits that will steadily reduce global warming pollution. We have an opportunity to fix this problem, but only if we act before it’s too late."
On Tuesday, 44 Greenpeace activists scaled the Eiffel Tower in Paris to hang banners proclaiming, "It's Not Too Late."
"The more we know, the worse it is," said Greenpeace climate campaigner Stephanie Tunmoore. "We're in Paris to urge the governments of the world to act, while there's still time. To date, the world's governments have done far too little to face up to the reality of climate change and to combat it."
Conservative U.S. think tanks brought out an arsenal of arguments to counter the IPCC findings. The Center for Science and Public Policy produced a report claiming that greenhouse gas emissions are rising faster in European countries which are bound by the Kyoto Protocol than in the United States, which has rejected the international treaty in 25 June 1997 with the US Senate passage of the Byrd-Hagel Resolution (the vote was 95-0).
[NOTE: The Kyoto Protocol WAS REJECTED by the U.S. Senate on 25 June 1997, with the US Senate passage of the Byrd-Hagel Resolution (the vote was 95-0). However, President Clinton did sign the agreement as a symbolic gesture. In 2012, the U.S. Senate continues to oppose the UN Kyoto Protocol energy commitments. U.S. Senators also oppose and do not respond to the accurate parts of UN IPCC scientific reporting. The U.S. House members say nothing about everything unless you are in the correct 9 digit zip code.
In the 1990s, the UN effort to curb global warming temperature increase was covertly hijacked by political special interests intent upon keeping up investments in global hydrocarbon economies. On the surface the Kyoto Protocol and IPCC reporting appears helpful, but in reality much of the UN reporting and all of the high-level UN “negotiations” are counter productive to reducing global warming greenhouse gases or reducing global temperature increase; as witnessed by the 20-years and 17 rounds of UNFCCC "climate change" negotiations that has produced no global warming reductions.
The 1990s U.S. political machinery (and others) intentionally undermined the process of saving human races from complete destruction at 2050-2099 CE. While politicians and special interests have been undermining real global warming responses; the covert political leadership was staging huge criminal profits capers with paper trading carbon-cap-and-trade scams and the construction of under productive/limited output renewable green energy. Of great investigative U.S. interests is the political federal and state funded alternative renewable green energy funding game. --DGE]
National Center for Policy Analysis Senior Fellow H. Sterling Burnett said the new IPCC "shows less expected warming and lower estimated sea level rise than previous reports."
"We can expect this news to be lost among dramatic claims of impending disaster by politicians and environmental lobbyists alike," said the conservative, whose main point is that the United States must not join the Kyoto Protocol.
"You'd never know it from watching the news, but every time the IPCC releases a new report, future warming is reduced and the impacts are less severe and more distant," Burnett said.
But at the Center for Global Development in Washington, which works to reduce global poverty and inequality, senior fellow David Wheeler warned that a recent World Bank study of sea level rise to which he contributed, found that "even a one meter rise will force 60 million people to relocate."
"We confront a stark reality here," Wheeler said. "Millions of poor people will be displaced by sea-level rise that has been caused by the affluent West. When this happens, current international turbulence may seem placid by comparison."
Corporate Reaction
The DuPont corporation, one of the 10 companies in the newly formed U.S. Climate Action Partnership, called again today on the federal government to enact climate change legislation to create a national cap on carbon dioxide emissions and a market in carbon credits.
DuPont Vice President and Chief Sustainability Officer Linda Fisher said, "Climate change is a serious global issue that must be addressed through concerted global action. We believe that the science on climate change is sufficiently strong and the risks serious enough to merit a timely action."
"We believe that voluntary measures, while constructive, are not sufficient to address an issue of this magnitude by themselves," Fisher said. "The challenge is global and requires broad and coordinated action across all sectors of the economy."
Politicians saw economic and political opportunity in the need to combat climate change. They are closely associated with company manufactures materials for photovoltaic solar panels and fuel cells and a new breathable roofing membrane that creates an energy saving seal around a home.
[NOTE: Multinational Playground for Political and Special Interest Corruption - Carbon trading markets across the world were valued at 96 billion euros (US$122.63 billion) in 2011, up 4 percent on 2010. The carbon markets’ shuffle of carbon credits. Major multinational carbon market funds appear to be sourced from U.S. federal funding. Although the carbon markets are huge, none of the carbon trading has resulted in any REDUCTION of global warming temperature increase. Left progressive Democrats “stimulated” the U.S. economy with an expensive ‘American Recovery and Reinvestment Act’ (ARRA 2009) that included over $90 billion in unproductive “climate change” alternative renewable energy green investments. Yucca Mountain project is necessary for the U.S. clean nuclear fuel cycle. Although construction is competed, Yucca Mountain was stopped by the U.S. Senate political machinery of left Democrat neo communists. Nuclear energy is the only energy available that is capable of replacing hydrocarbon energy that might prevent carbon budget infrastructure lock-in. --DGE]
The world's largest and most profitable petroleum giant, acknowledged today, "Many global ecosystems, especially the polar areas, are showing signs of warming. CO2 [carbon dioxide] emissions have increased during this same time period - and emissions from fossil fuels and land use changes are one source of these emissions." "Because the risks to society and ecosystems could prove to be significant, it is prudent now to develop and implement strategies that address the risks, keeping in mind the central importance of energy to the economies of the world."
The company said it is working to curb global warming through "partnerships with auto and engine makers on programs that could significantly reduce vehicle emissions, conducting internal research on potential for hydrogen-fuelled vehicles, investing in energy efficiency in our facilities, and working with organizations such as the European Union and Stanford University on groundbreaking research to reduce greenhouse gas emissions."
International Reaction
Newly appointed UN Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon said today that climate change will be one of his "top priorities" over the next five years of his term.
"The report highlights the scientific consensus regarding the quickening and threatening pace of human-induced climate change," said Ban. "The global response therefore needs to move much more rapidly as well, and with more determination."
"Protecting the global environment is largely beyond the capacity of individual countries," Ban said in a video message to the Conference for Global Ecological Governance in Paris. "The natural arena for such action is the United Nations."
Ban said the world is witnessing an "assault on the global environment" that risks undermining the many advances human society has made in recent decades. "It is undercutting our fight against poverty. It could even come to jeopardize international peace and security," he said.
Last month, Ban called for a special summit of heads of state to address global warming.
"We need clear objectives and strong ecological governance at the global level, a concept that continues to elude us," UN General Assembly President Sheikha Haya Rashed Al Khalifa told conference delegates.
She asserted that the General Assembly is the best forum for the international community to work to combat climate change.
European Environment Commissioner Stavros Dimas called for "an urgent start to international negotiations on a comprehensive new global climate change agreement."
"I am deeply concerned at the accelerating pace and the increasing extent of climate change," Commissioner Dimas said.
"To stabilize global emissions of greenhouse gases," he said, "the next step must be for developed countries to cut their emissions to 30 percent below 1990 [greenhouse gas] levels by 2020, as the Commission proposed last month."
[NOTE: To reverse global warming there needs to be a implemented a greenhouse gas reduction plan. No nation has a global warming plan, much less an effective plan to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Powerful politicians such as President Obama and within the U.S. Senate have opposed global warming planning necessary to save human races from sure mass suicide 2050-2099 CE. -DGE]
"We are on the historic threshold of the irreversible," warned French President Jacques Chirac, who convened a meeting today to plan for a new international body to protect the global climate.
"In the face of this urgency, it is no longer the time for half-measures. It is time for a revolution," Chirac said as he opened the conference.
"While climate changes run like a rabbit, world-wide politics move like a snail: either we accelerate or we risk a disaster," said Italy's environment minister, Alfonso Pecoraro Scanio.
The Italian minister called for urgent action to impose a global tax on carbon emissions and create a United Nations organization to deal with climate change.
Canadian Environment Minister John Baird said today that the government accepts the IPCC's findings, and he called on Canadians "to get ready for some tough decisions on reducing greenhouse gas emissions."
Malcolm Turnbull, Australia's new minister of environment and water resources, said the science in the IPCC report "is important, but it's not new."
“We know our Australian climate is volatile we have always been the land of droughts and flooding rains. But while it isn’t possible to say that any particular drought, or flood, is caused by global warming, the overall warming trend means that we must assume that, at least in Southern Australia, we will be living in drier and hotter times," said Turnbull. South Africa's Environmental Affairs Minister Arthinus van Schalkwyk said failure to act would be "indefensible."
In particular, van Schalkwyk said in a statement, "the new IPCC report is a wake-up call to the world’s largest emitter, the United States.”
"We applaud the unilateral climate actions taken by the State of California and others and strongly encourage the federal government of the USA to hear the growing groundswell of opinion in that country, and act on their moral obligation to join the global effort under the Kyoto Protocol and future negotiations to combat climate change," he said.
[NOTE: After the 2005 promotion-start of wind, solar energy, and ethanol to feed cars, in 2006, the California left Democrat Legislature passed AB 32, the Global Warming Solutions Act (2006). The act later became President Obama’s model for federal global warming law, to be imposed by the left Democrats’ Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). California AB 32 promoted alternative renewable green energy and carbon-cap-and-trade, both of which over the years have proven to be sources of great U.S. and global corruption by politicians and special interests. -DGE]
Indonesian Environment Minister says that his country could lose about 2,000 islands by 2030 due to climate change. Ocean water level rising "is very, very serious," reporters were told Monday at a press conference attended by Yvo de Boer, executive secretary of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).
Witoelar said the science presented by the IPCC shows that sea levels are expected to rise about 89 centimeters (35 inches) by 2030, which means that about 2,000 mostly uninhabited islands would be inundated.
Today, de Boer called for "speedy and decisive international action" to combat global warming.
"The findings, which governments have agreed upon, leave no doubt as to the dangers mankind is facing and must be acted upon without delay," said de Boer. "Any notion that we do not know enough to move decisively against climate change has been clearly dispelled."
Fin
Global Warming Future
The global warming path is clear - Thanks to the abysmal and unforgivable failure of the world’s leadership, 20-years and 17 rounds of UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) "climate change" negotiations have failed to give full effect and deliver a fair, ambitious, and binding GLOBAL WARMING deal for maintaining climate at a livable level. The fate of humanity is in the hands of political machines and Earth’s unyielding geophysical balance.
If greenhouse gas emissions do not plateau by 2020 and rapidly decline thereafter a sequence of global temperature increase occurs:
+2.0°C: Unless natural and human greenhouse gases peak by 2020 CE, in 2030-2040 CE Earth global warming temperature increase shall exceed +2.0°C limit above preindustrial average temperature. Atmospheric carbon dioxide content exceeds 450 ppm.
Groundwater - There has been very little research on the impact of global warming on groundwater, including the question of how climate change will affect the relationship between surface waters and aquifers that are hydraulically connected. Postulated is wipe out of agriculture and cattle ranching occurs as sand dunes and dust bowls appear across five US states, from Texas in the south to Montana in the north. Major to massive dust storms sweep the U.S. Midwest. Saltwater inundation of coastal groundwater stores will expand. Groundwater pollution such as saltwater encroachment associated with over drafting of aquifers or natural leaching from natural occurring deposits are natural sources of pollution.
Rising sea levels - Rising sea levels accelerate as the Greenland ice sheet tips into irreversible melt, submerging atoll nations and low-lying deltas. In Peru, disappearing Andean glaciers mean 10 million people face water shortages. Warming seas wipe out the Great Barrier Reef and make coral reefs virtually extinct throughout the tropics. Worldwide, a third of all species on the planet face extinction. In the 20th century, sea level rise has been accelerating and over the last decades. Warming Weather - Temperature, humidity, altitude, ocean currents, and pressure differences fuels the mid-latitude storms affect Earth’s most populated regions. At mid latitudes, conditions are hot and humid. At the poles the air is cold and dry; with a little extra heat, water vapor, and Arctic Regional methane clathrate breakdown creates a great temperature raise. Remedial global warming action has become ineffectual to prevent catastrophic temperature increase.
Rain forest turns to desert - The Amazonian rain forest burns in a firestorm of catastrophic ferocity, covering South America with ash and smoke. Once the smoke clears, the interior of Brazil has become desert, and huge amounts of extra carbon have entered the atmosphere, further boosting global warming. The entire Arctic ice cap disappears in the summer months, leaving the North Pole ice-free for the first time in 3 million years. Water supplies run short in California as the Sierra Nevada snow pack melts away. Tens of millions displaced as the Kalahari Desert expands across southern Africa.
+4.0°C to +4.4°C: Post 2050-2055 CE, scientists warn only one-tenth of the world’s people might survive to 2099 CE. Students now enrolled in schools and universities face this future.
WATER - Rapidly rising temperatures in the Arctic Region (like Siberia) sea and land permafrost in the melt zone, releasing vast quantities of methane (CH4) and carbon dioxide (CO2) producing a temperature rise. Melting ice caps and sea level rises have displace more than 100 million people, particularly in Bangladesh, the Nile Delta, and Shanghai. Heat waves and drought make much of the sub-tropics uninhabitable: large-scale migration even takes place within Europe, where deserts are growing in southern Spain, Italy, and Greece. More than half of wild species wiped out, in the worst mass extinction since the end of the dinosaurs. Agriculture collapses in Australia. Decreasing water availability and increasing drought in mid-latitudes and semi-arid low latitudes. Groundwater is increasingly over drafted and surface water is in critical short supply in some locations.
ECOSYSTEMS – There are major extinctions around the globe. Coral mortality is spreading due to ocean acidification and surface/mid-depth ocean warming. Terrestrial biosphere tends toward a net carbon source, as ~40% of ecosystems affected.
FOOD - All production of cereals decrease. There is increased ocean acidification, increased water hypoxia, and a devastating decreases in fish biomass. Food chain disruptions occur.
COAST – There is increased damage from floods and storms, with about 30% loss of coastal wetlands. Additional 2 to 15 million people are at risk of coastal flooding each year. There is increased loss of groundwater storage capacity from saltwater inundation into coastal aquifers. “500-year floods” and storm surges occur once every 25 to 240 years while "100-year" flood/storm surge events occur every 3-20 years.
HEALTH – There are increased health burdens from malnutrition, diarrhoeal, cardio-respiratory, and infectious diseases with increased morbidity and mortality from heat waves, floods, and droughts. Substantial increased burden on health services.
ECONOMIC INVESTMENTS - Investment in the world economy is like being a frog in a pot of slowly heated water. The point at which the frog dies is understood. The question is how much will the the investment advisers and media keep turning up the heat under uninformed investors.
SOCIAL STABILITY – Society’s social structure will increasingly breakdown as life support systems break down under the demands of increased population, increased climate change, increased regional temperatures, decreased food supplies, and increased life support distribution issues.
SINGLE EVENTS - Long-term commitment to several meters of sea-level rise due to ice sheet loss, leading to reconfiguration of coastlines worldwide and inundation of low-lying areas. It is to be noted that the (<10%) likelihood in the 21st century Meridional Overturning Circulation (MOC) shutdown may still be significant given the high consequences of an abrupt shutdown. MOC shutdown includes adverse effects on food production and terrestrial vegetation, changes in fisheries and effects on oceanic carbon dioxide uptake and oceanic oxygen concentrations, an increased warming of southern hemisphere high latitudes and tropical drying. Weather change patterns are also associated with MOC and Thermohaline Circulation (THC) activity.
+5.4°C: This global temperature increase is reached prior to 2099 1.1-meter (3.6 feet) rise of sea level by 2099. Only a very small fraction of the 9-10 billion could continue to exist at the Polar Regions.
+6.0°C: Long-term effects on global warming “climate change” are largely "irreversible" for more than millions of years. Anthropogenic and natural global warming greenhouse gas concentrations previously exceeded critical temperature stabilization “trip points.” Human races have been extinguished. After this point no one is around to care about what happens next.
U.S. Global Warming Politics
In 1988, James Hansen, director of NASA Goddard Institute of Space Studies, testified before the U.S. Senate that, based on computer models and temperature measurements, he was “99 percent” certain “...the [human-caused] greenhouse effect has been detected and it is changing our climate now.” His statement was widely covered by the media and first brought the term “global warming” to the general public attention. Typical of Senate politicians they ignored the scientific warning and there were no political responses to global warming temperature increase. The only response the U.S. Senate provided was to undermine global efforts to respond respond to the peril that global warming poses. Disruptive and skilled gangs were and still are organized to discredit global warming reality.
ON February 2007, South Africa's Environmental Affairs said failure to act upon global warming would be "indefensible." Global warming failure to act was not only indefensible, failure to act by political machinery leadership has created a situation that is criminal in intent to destroy human civilization in order to receive profits from multinational government supported “carbon cap and trade” and alternative renewable green energy. UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon’s remarks:
"For most of the last century, economic growth was fuelled by what seemed to be a certain truth: the abundance of natural resources. We mined our way to growth. We burned our way to prosperity. We believed in consumption without consequences. Those days are gone. In the twenty-first century, supplies are running short and the global thermostat is running high. Climate change is also showing us that the old model is more than obsolete. It has rendered it extremely dangerous. Over time, that model is a recipe for national disaster. It is a global suicide pact. ..." World Economic Forum session on redefining sustainable development, in Switzerland, 28 January 2011.
In the 1960s-2010s, global warming was known to be a growing problem caused by massive use of hydrocarbon energies (coal, oil, natural gas) expelling global warming gases since 1750 CE. Self serving politicians ignored the global warming scientific advice and set a course to keep the U.S. dependent upon a hydrocarbon economy.
There are only two sources of clean energy that might curb enough global warming to save the human races: nuclear reactor energy and hydroelectric energy.
In the U.S., suitable hydroelectric sites either contain constructed dams or the politicians gave up public water rights to expand 1970s commercial development and to prevent water and electrical use with dam-construction. Water dam construction continues to be opposed by environmentalist and lawyers. That dam opposition gave the politicians their excuses to restrict surface water development, sell the land and water rights for district growth, development, and profits.
Since the 1970s, to encourage expansion of the existing global domestic hydrocarbon economies of coal, oil, and natural gas. U.S. nuclear reactor energy has been opposed by politicians. Not only did the untoward politicians oppose nuclear expansion, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) stopped issuing new licences for nuclear facilities since 1978 CE. As politicians, lawyers and political parrots, NRC members for the last 30-years has been decommissioning nuclear reactors.
In the 1990s special political interest took over UN responses to global warming, which resulted in 20-years and 17 UN “climate change” meetings during which nothing was accomplished that had anything to due with global warming. Than in 2005 CE, the left Democrats activated left progressive political “grassroots” support of alternatives to energy and continued to close down U.S. nuclear energy. In December 2009 CE, at Denmark UN COP-15 meeting, President Obama promoted a transfer of wealth scheme that has derailed global responses to global warming. European-U.S. neo communist 2011 CE shutdown of Germany nuclear energy with a “Atomics Law.” In the place of nuclear energy the German-U.S. politicians promoted dependence upon alternatives to energy. However, in fact, U.S. and Germany politicians expanded dependence upon the economy of coal, oil, natural gas.
Alternatives to energy was just a political front for USD $100s of billions shift to domestic and international political corruption. Stopping global warming temperature increase involves many trillions of dollars over many years and many elections. With corruption “adapting” to global warming temperature increase, political corruption within the global warming industry is going to remain an expensive political fixture for a long time.
In 2009, to add to preventing further global/U.S. nuclear development, President Obama’s political machinery took over the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) membership and also shut down the completed Yucca Mountain geologic nuclear repository. In effect, the U.S. neo communist left Democrats (with help from some congressional Republicans) have politically nationalized U.S. energy and stopped the global effort to reduce global warming temperature increase.
With many political claims of “safety,” resulting from the 1970s politics, nuclear plant construction costs skyrocketed from a reactor estimated at $660 million to $8.87 billion. The congressional political machinery approach to eliminating U.S. nuclear energy is to make nuclear facilities so expensive for “safety” reasons that nuclear energy cannot compete in the energy market with cheaper coal, oil, and natural gas. Over the decades to eliminate nuclear energy as a energy competitor, as costs for hydrocarbon energy increase, the NRC members imposed more costly and unnecessary nuclear “safety” requirements. Therefor, there was never a timely global switch to nuclear energy that is necessary to save human races from 2050-2099 CE destruction.
Phasing out nuclear energy was typical of U.S. politics after the 1979 CE Three Mile Island accident. Since 1979, NRC members have been building a political government nuclear energy energy “regulated monopoly” by denying nuclear construction with NRC members’ unwarranted and costly “safety” demands. For more than 30-years, the NRC members job was to decommission nuclear energy sights for high level politicians.
According to the U.S. Department of Energy, the last reactor built was the "River Bend" plant in Louisiana. Its construction began in March of 1977 CE. The last plant to begin commercial operation is the "Watts Bar" plant in Tennessee, which came online in 1996 CE. Although new nuclear reactors have been built in this country within the last three decades the NRC members have not issued a license to build a new reactor since 1978 CE. The reactors that have opened in the last decades were approved prior to 1978 CE. There are currently 104 operating nuclear reactors at 64 plants across the country. Half of the nuclear reactors are over 30-years old. February 09, 2012, NRC members have issued the COL license to Plant Vogtle in Georgia, which is a too little, too late, and too much of a political act on the part of the NRC member politicians and lawyers and President Obama.
As a share of total U.S. energy: Total U.S. energy: nuclear electric is 8%, conventional hydroelectric power 2.7%, coal 23%, natural gas 23%, and petroleum 40%. Nuclear energy produces about 20% of U.S. electrical energy. The core global warming task is to reduce global energy share of coal, natural gas, and petroleum, to be replaced with hydrocarbon free nuclear and hydroelectric energy.
Neither President Obama nor the Republican candidates or the U.S. Congress have established a viable national or multinational response plan to counter global warming temperature increase. A response plan for global warming would take about ten-years to develop. Earth does not have ten-years, it only has five years till 2017 CE to stop building hydrocarbon-energy infrastructure.
Global hydrocarbon infrastructure lock-in occurs around 2017 CE, and it takes about 3-4 years to build a large nuclear facility. How is the U.S. going to produce enough clean nuclear energy soon enough to cap and reduce carbon emissions so that human races are saved from total destruction 2050-2099 CE?
The start of any Republican or Democrat global warming recovery plan is to expand U.S. nuclear energy. To properly expand U.S. nuclear energy it is necessary to replace the politics of the NRC members with an experienced panel of three military nuclear officers and one presidential appointee. To meet Earth’s 2017 CE carbon budget infrastructure criteria it is required to quickly expand U.S. and global nuclear capacity. To quickly expand U.S. nuclear capacity it is necessary that the existing NRC memberships be replaced with leaders who are experienced with organization skills, military nuclear design, construction, and operation. Not doing so results in the destruction of 9 billion people.
Global warming is a political and economic force involving global trillions to dollars of energy change. Who will win the coming elections based upon their global warming solutions? Political greed and corruption is too large to be effectively opposed--political corruption has sucked the life out of this world. The lives of more than 9 billion people in 2050-2099 CE are of little concern to the current anti-response political machines and special interest forces.
The first step to problem resolution is recognition of the problem. Enough world leaders have yet to acknowledge global warming as a problem.
The first applied step to global warming success is a new NRC membership makeup of three senior military nuclear representatives and one President appointed representative. Shifting to a military nuclear structure for expanding commercial nuclear reactors will provide much needed professional U.S. clean energy direction. Nuclear energy is the only energy source that might produce enough clean energy to prevent human races destruction.
Unless there is change, all those who are not yet born, and those who are now children and young adults under the age of 30-years, shall die 2050-2099 CE, ending the 160 thousand year journey of mankind.
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Working Group I Report
Monday, January 23, 2012
Global Warming - US Energy Accounting
Rev: 23 Jan 2012
Access to affordable energy is a key to any developed nation’s existence. Only increasing nuclear energy by 2020 CE can help human races survive the global warming temperature increase 2050-2099 CE.
President Obama proposed a Clean Energy Standard (CES) (March 21, 2011) to require that 80% of the nation’s electricity come from clean energy technologies by 2035. The U.S. Senate Energy and Natural Resources (ENR) Committee faced general policy identification threshold questions for electric base load and renewable energy sectors, and whether a CES would most effectively achieve them. President Obama’s CES standards would become part of the Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA’s) long-term regulations.
President Obama did not create current left Democrat energy policies, those policies were there long before he came into office.
Clean Energy Standard (CES) (March 21, 2011) review request contains fraudulent data reporting. If that CES request was recorded in a U.S. stock market exchange, instead of within the left Democrat U.S. Senate, by omissions and misrepresentations the co conspirator authors would now be serving time in jail.
Misrepresentation Reporting of U.S. Energy Sector
Electrical energy flow consumed in 2002 U.S. used about: 54.4% coal, 21.2% nuclear, 3.5% natural gas, 8.5% renewable (renewable is identified as 6.5% hydroelectric, 2% biomass/other).
The CES data reported to be from the U.S. Energy Information Administration information identifies 2010 U.S. “domestic electricity generation was comprised of:” 45% coal, 25% natural gas, 20% nuclear, 10% renewable (renewable identified as hydroelectric power, wind, solar, geothermal, and biomass).
CES 2010 energy usage information is not correct: coal, natural gas, nuclear and renewable statements are improper. The left Democrat political movement is lying about energy usage and consider lies to continue Congressional opposition to global warming reform. Nuclear energy overstatement (8% vs 20%) identifies left Democrat’s reluctance to permit nuclear industry growth. Politicians misrepresenting U.S. energy data has several significant negative domestic and international repercussions, which leads to human life terminations.
When 2002 hydroelectric power 6.5% is excluded from overall 8.5% renewable energy, what is left is 2% portion of renewable energy. In spite of being very expensive, left Democrat promoted renewable energies do not produce any significant amounts of energy or reduction in global warming greenhouse gases.
Since the 1990s, wind, solar, geothermal, and alcohol fuels (corn ethanol) are developed as corruption schemes for politicians to channel US$ 100s of billions dollars government money to special interests while controlling political special interest US$ trillions within national hydrocarbon economies. The pretext is that renewable energy investments are a solution to global warming temperature increase. For more than three decades the pretext for not building nuclear facilities is that nuclear facilities are “unsafe.” The reality is green energy, hydrocarbon energy, and political special interests destroyed human races while nuclear energy could save human races.
2003 U.S. Energy Consumption by Major Sources (all energy sectors)
Left Democrat administration continues to tinker with government departments’ data and the reporting of national energy and global warming. All U.S. federal government data and reporting are now considered unreliable. Much of university and college global warming R&D is controlled by left Democrats through control of state and federal government grants and funding. Colleges, universities, and government departments’ reporting is considered unreliable when it comes to left Democrat foundation topics and social history. The Internet has and is being falsified to favor the causes of left Democrats. Media corporations are extremely politically biased, oriented to presenting the public with unrealistic biased views. A significant amount of left Democrat smoke and mirrors political misdirections has been directed at building up U.S. special interest funding for expanding “renewable alternative green energy.” In effect, since the early 1990s, left Democrat leadership are the cause of delaying real global warming responses.
With the exception of expanding nuclear power, all other U.S. national energy proposals and policies are NOT viable. U.S. energy policies simply do not reflect real clean energy needs and real energy growth demands. Life-cycle process of all human energies (except nuclear energy and hydroelectric) emit large amounts of carbon dioxide. For example, electric cars may require more coal plants. Proposals for alternative energy may also, like hydrogen, require more (coal) energy to produce than alternatives provide. Renewable energy does not provide net new jobs—replacing efficient energy with inefficient sources will no more advance the economy than replacing trucks with horses. Clean inexpensive nuclear energy CAN provide new jobs if political nuclear construction and operating costs are reduced for nuclear energy expansion and the replacement of existing dirty hydrocarbon energy sources. Added benefits of nuclear energy are it reduces greenhouse gas emissions and therefore reduces global warming temperature increase.
Unlike renewable energy, inexpensive nuclear energy is a tangible long-term economic stimulus. Inexpensive nuclear energy provides economies and increase employment while helping human races survival.
Expense of Renewable Energy Corruption
Since the 1990s, “renewable” has been promoted, costly, produced insignificant energy, increased global warming, and has been a vehicle for European-U.S. special interest political corruption. Politics and government associated with the global energy sector involving trillions of dollars annually is the makings of a global disaster.
As a result of their systemic deficiencies, alternative renewable green power sources require massive government subsidies in the form of tax breaks and requirements that utilities and public buy inefficient power.
Furthermore, while not reducing fossil fuel use, poorly run European “cap and trade” programs will effectively ration our primary hydrocarbon and nuclear energy sources, resulting in energy demands exceeding supplies. Alternative energy policies result in direct and indirect increased cost to the world economy, while producing very little energy and no net reduction of greenhouse gases. Congress and individual U.S. states make long-term energy rules that unnecessarily increase costs to industry rate payers.
Infrastructure coal plants and hydrocarbon extraction methods in countries of China, India, Europe, Canada, Russia, Japan and the U.S., and other nations are rapidly being constructed right now with the hydrocarbon infrastructure lasting at least another 50 years. Many nations are locking-in the global carbon budget. Infrastructure “carbon budget” lock, expected 2017, results in 2050-2099 human races termination.
World leaders are to rapidly reduce human carbon dioxide emissions prior to 2020 CE or human races terminate 2050-2099 CE.
Limited Renewable Energy
Renewable energy is “alternatives” to primary energy of petroleum, coal, natural gas, nuclear, and conventional hydroelectric. Renewable alternative green energies are costly and counter-productive to survival of human races. Nuclear energy is expandable with existing technology and resources nationally and globally. How much nuclear and how quickly nuclear energy is expanded defines how long humans survive.
In response to the global warming challenges, UN’s 1992 ‘Earth Summit’ formed the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) that has helped create “alternative renewable energy” and political special interests. Green alternative has been promoted with U.S. Congressional legislation: U.S. ‘Energy Policy Act’ (1992), ‘Energy Policy Act’ (2005), and ‘American Recovery and Reinvestment Act’ (ARRA 2009). ARRA contains US$ 90 billion in alternative renewable green energy funding. In 2011, carbon cap-and-trade markets involving alternative renewable green energy across the world were valued at ₡ 96 billion euros (US$ 122.63 billion), up 4 percent on 2010. Shutdown of Yucca Mountain geologic nuclear repository identifies congressional left Democrat opposition to the U.S. nuclear industry. 1990s global political greed and corruption over took the 1960s concern about global warming.
Carbon cap-and-trade markets are trading paper to justify corruption of receiving taxpayer money for constructing hydrocarbon facilities with a promise of future reduced greenhouse gases. None of the cap-and-trade markets result in reduction of greenhouse gases. Carbon cap-and-trade markets are part of global political corruption involving multinational government supporters, the U.N., and US$ 100s billions in global warming funding going to special interest energy frauds. A large portion of ARRA (2009) US$ 90 billion alternative renewable green energy funding promotes global carbon cap-and-trade. Necessary expansion of nuclear energy has for decades been politically suppressed to continue political special interest frauds while expanding national hydrocarbon economies.
U.S. renewable Wood (2.1%), Waste (0.6%), Geothermal (0.3%), Alcohol Fuels (corn ethanol) (0.2%), Wind (0.1%), Solar (0.1%) provided a very small (total 3.4%) amount of energy to the 2003 energy consumed. Taxpayer and user costs for renewable energy are very large.
Biomass - Wood, waste, corn ethanol exceeding 2.7% of provided national energy is very unlikely. There are five basic categories of biomass material.
Ethanol - Corn requires 29% more fossil energy to produce corn ethanol than the corn-ethanol fuel returns. Switch grass-ethanol requires 45% more fossil energy and wood-biomass ethanol requires 57% more than the fuel returnes. In all cases of biomass energy, Earth’s carbon sinks quickly transfer carbon into the atmosphere and warms Earth. Ethanol energy yield per-volume is very low.
We are feeding cars corn that should be feeding people and reducing the cost of U.S. food stock. The grain required to fill an SUV tank with ethanol one time equals what a person eats in a year. About 40% of U.S. harvested corn feeds cars. It takes a great deal of groundwater irrigation water to make corn-ethanol. Groundwater reserves are generally being depleted from irrigation groundwater over drafting. Groundwater is being transferred to oceans via the hydrological cycle.
The government spends more than $3 billion a year to subsidize ethanol production while ethanol does not provide a net energy balance or gain, is not a renewable energy source, and is not an economical fuel. Ethanol production and use contribute to air, water, and soil pollution and global warming. The vast majority of the subsidies do not go to farmers but to large ethanol-producing corporations.
Ethanol fuel is widely used in Brazil and in the United States. Together both countries were responsible for 88 percent of the world's ethanol fuel production in 2010; U.S. with 13.2 billion U.S. liquid gallons (bg) (50 billion liters) and Brazil 6.92 bg (26.2 billion liters). 7 billion gallons of ethanol consumes 20% of 2007 corn production. U.S. corn ethanol in 2022 is legislated to burn about 43 billion gallons pre year, requiring about 123% of the U.S. farmland to produce.
The removal of large tracts of land from food production to make ethanol has dramatically raised world food prices by reducing supplies. There have been food riots, with millions of people exposed to hunger. Corn-ethanol is a “crime against humanity.” Ethanol from corn requires fertilizers that increase nitrous oxide emissions that are themselves greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide, only more powerful. More frequent Gulf of Mexico huge hypoxia events are caused by increased corn-ethanol fertilization leaching into tributaries, Mississippi, and on to the Gulf. Riparian hypoxia is an increasing problem within all countries, coastlines, and oceans.
U.S. Congress is to eliminate ethanol requirements and reinstate gasoline additives MMT (methyl cyclopentadienyl manganese tricarbonyl) and MTBE (methyl tertiary butyl ether).
Hydrogen - Hydrogen as a energy source is not freely available, but must be extracted from molecules such as water. To do so requires more energy than hydrogen product returns. Hydrogen is also flammable, hard to contain, and hard to transport.
Wind and Solar Energy - Thousands of wind turbines are required to provide the power of a standard fossil fuel or nuclear plant. Turbines must be spaced widely apart to prevent the air flow of one from interfering with that of the next, meaning that wind farms must consume hundreds of times the land that standard energy plants require. Wind farm siting must consider migratory bird flights. Solar and wind electrical power must be transported from energy farms to cities. Because wind and solar are highly variable source of energy, wind and solar energy must be backed by traditional base-load electrical sources.
Solar-panel energy farms work best in warm climates and with long hours of direct sunlight. Due to panel designs, manufacture, and installation, solar efficiencies can vary greatly with rapid reliability reductions of solar panel electrical output. Interestingly, environmentalists themselves have recently opposed these installations due to environmental damage and land requirements. Accumulations of installed solar and wind energy have significant unsolvable electrical synchronization issues with the nation’s standard base-load electrical generation.
Wind and solar are limited in capacity, reliability, locations, expandability, and connection to national base load generators.
Hydro power - River dams offer a modest contribution to national clean energy needs (about 2.8% at 2003 level), but the most productive sites are already used up, and dams radically alter the environment. Canada may offer additional hydrological sites along the north-south Rocky Mountain Range. However, hydroelectric water storage capacity can be quickly affected by climate changes.
Nuclear Energy - I see no alternatives to fossil fuels greenhouse gas emissions other than expanding nuclear energy. Because nuclear alone utilizes the energy in the nucleus of the atom, nuclear energy-yield exceeds fossil fuel yields by a factor of billions. Nuclear is about 8% of U.S. energy flow.
Nuclear plants are safer than coal plants and produce less radiation. Furthermore, they can directly produce electricity and power our cars by providing electricity for batteries, making a hydrogen infrastructure unnecessary. Nuclear energy is the only energy source suitable for large capacity desalination plants.
1, 2, 3 Steps to Rescue
Saving human races from 2050-2099 Christin Era (CE) global warming temperature increase involves three steps:
Step 1 - Acknowledge global warming temperature increase as a critical problem.
Increasing rate of natural and human greenhouse gases carbon dioxide and methane releases results in increased global average temperature that exceeds a life terminating temperature increase. Resulting is human races termination 2050-2099 CE with death of all who are now under the age of 30 years. Termination of all human life is a critical problem that might be resolved only by world leaders’ coordinated rapid responses.
Step 2 - Identify causes. Propose solutions.
Earth’s human survival is as a spaceship flying through space. Spaceship Earth life support system is a closed system with finite capacity to sustain a finite amount of human life over a decreasing lifespan, "We travel together, passengers on a little space ship, dependent on its vulnerable reserves of air and soil" -Adlai Stevenson (D), U.N. Ambassador, 1965
Causes - The predominant scientific opinion on global warming is that Earth's climate system is unequivocally warming, caused by humans’ use of fossil fuels (coal, oil, natural gas) and also deforestation, which increase human and natural atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases.
1750 CE Industrial Age start was the start of massive amounts of human global warming gas carbon dioxide emissions. By 1866 CE, global warming accumulations of human gases produced a clear “thumbprint” of human impacts on “climate change.” Earth’s normal biosphere cycle of carbon dioxide had been exceeded. The population and gross domestic product (GDP) growth directly increased hydrocarbon (coal, oil, natural gas) energy consumed. The Arctic Region responded with natural global warming gas release of methane. Earth’s global warming temperature increased and has not stopped increasing. Current dip in human greenhouse gas emissions is the result of the global recession GDP drop.
Although it is not easy to know with precision how long it takes greenhouse gases to decrease their global warming properties by carbon cycle exchange, there are estimates. More than half of the carbon dioxide emitted is currently removed from the atmosphere within a century (giving carbon dioxide lifetime estimated in the order of 30–95 years) with some fraction (about 20%) of emitted carbon dioxide remains in the atmosphere for many thousands of years. Molecule-for-molecule basis, the direct radiative effects of methane is about 72 times stronger greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide over a 20 years. Reducing greenhouse gases over time to 1750 CE pre industrial levels will never be achieved as long as humans remain on Earth.
The global “carbon budget” is the balance of the exchanges (incomes and losses) of carbon between the carbon reservoirs or between one specific loop (e.g., atmosphere ↔ biosphere) of the carbon cycle. With accumulations of human/natural carbon dioxide, temperature increase, and deforestation; Earth is moving from a carbon-cycle sink to carbon source, which results in greater and more rapid global temperature increase.
Infrastructure coal, oil, and natural gas plants and hydrocarbon extraction methods in countries of China, India, Europe, Canada, Russia, Japan and the U.S., and other nations are rapidly being constructed right now. Nations are locking-in the global carbon budget. Nations’ economic hydrocarbon infrastructures are going to last more than 50 years; possibly longer than human races’ survive. Global carbon budget’s lock-in is expected around 2017 CE, which would result in human races termination 2050-2099 CE.
To avoid 2017 CE locking-in the global carbon budget, rapid and large expansion of nuclear energy replacing proposed and existing hydrocarbon facilities is required. Following is 2009 CE listing of annual carbon dioxide emissions estimates (in thousands of CO2 metric tonnes): China 7,037,864, United States 5,290,006, European Union 3,623,402, India 1,629,959, Russia 1,528,568, Japan 1,092,878, and Germany 755,140. Quickly reducing hydrocarbon economies emissions of global warming greenhouse gas is a very large political task.
Solution - Solution to global warming temperature increase is to reduce global warming by reducing human and natural greenhouse gas emissions.
Step 3 - Implement in a timely manor enough solutions to prevent human races destruction.
Prior to 2020 CE, world leaders are to rapidly reduce human carbon dioxide emissions, or human races terminate 2050-2099 CE. Since solutions for shifting away from national hydrocarbon economies was delayed more than three decades, implementing rapid solutions to save human races will cost many trillions U.S. dollars over many years.
The Accounting
The U.S. nuclear energy sector is a global asset too valuable to be run by politicians. No longer can human races survival depend upon the whims of appointed U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) politicians. The politically controlled untoward NRC are under complete control of CONGRESSIONAL left Democrat leadership. If human global greenhouse gases are to peak by 2020 and than be reduced, NRC members are to be fired now and replaced by three senior military nuclear representatives, one nuclear industry representative, and one representative appointed by the President.
There is no acceptable rational for government investments in alternative renewable green energy. Unfortunately, there are irrational biases against nuclear power by environmentalists, anti nukes, left and right politicians, and special interests widely opposed to nuclear energy, though some environmentalists are taking a second look. President Obama’s team is misrepresenting data to enhance left Democrat election chances, support special interest, and expand special interest political corruption.
Left Democrat’s 2009-2010 U.S. Congress achieved its legislated goals for advancing European-U.S. neo communism and global warming response. Holding onto left Democrat political gains, the 2011-2012 Congress was maneuvered by left Democrats into being a ‘do nothing Congress;’ certainly Washington DC is a dysfunctional left Democrat Obama administration and dysfunctional left Democrat Senate. To a large extent, Congressional global warming responses in 2012 determines who is elected November 2012.
All left Democrat politicians avoid responses that might shift the U.S. from its political special interests or from the U.S. hydrocarbon economy. Republicans are split on the global warming issues. Mr. Gingrich co-sponsored a 1989 bill stating that “climate change” was "resulting from human activities."
Human races terminate 2050-2099 CE, or world leaders reduce human carbon dioxide emissions prior to 2020 CE. Since the nuclear energy solutions necessary to shift away from national hydrocarbon economies was delayed for more than three decades; implementing rapid solutions to save human races will now cost trillions U.S. dollars for many years. Global warming temperature increase is a socially equal problem, there is no other choice but to accept a political priority for timely reduction of human greenhouse gas emissions.
Access to affordable energy is a key to any developed nation’s existence. Only increasing nuclear energy by 2020 CE can help human races survive the global warming temperature increase 2050-2099 CE.
President Obama proposed a Clean Energy Standard (CES) (March 21, 2011) to require that 80% of the nation’s electricity come from clean energy technologies by 2035. The U.S. Senate Energy and Natural Resources (ENR) Committee faced general policy identification threshold questions for electric base load and renewable energy sectors, and whether a CES would most effectively achieve them. President Obama’s CES standards would become part of the Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA’s) long-term regulations.
President Obama did not create current left Democrat energy policies, those policies were there long before he came into office.
Clean Energy Standard (CES) (March 21, 2011) review request contains fraudulent data reporting. If that CES request was recorded in a U.S. stock market exchange, instead of within the left Democrat U.S. Senate, by omissions and misrepresentations the co conspirator authors would now be serving time in jail.
Misrepresentation Reporting of U.S. Energy Sector
Electrical energy flow consumed in 2002 U.S. used about: 54.4% coal, 21.2% nuclear, 3.5% natural gas, 8.5% renewable (renewable is identified as 6.5% hydroelectric, 2% biomass/other).
The CES data reported to be from the U.S. Energy Information Administration information identifies 2010 U.S. “domestic electricity generation was comprised of:” 45% coal, 25% natural gas, 20% nuclear, 10% renewable (renewable identified as hydroelectric power, wind, solar, geothermal, and biomass).
CES 2010 energy usage information is not correct: coal, natural gas, nuclear and renewable statements are improper. The left Democrat political movement is lying about energy usage and consider lies to continue Congressional opposition to global warming reform. Nuclear energy overstatement (8% vs 20%) identifies left Democrat’s reluctance to permit nuclear industry growth. Politicians misrepresenting U.S. energy data has several significant negative domestic and international repercussions, which leads to human life terminations.
When 2002 hydroelectric power 6.5% is excluded from overall 8.5% renewable energy, what is left is 2% portion of renewable energy. In spite of being very expensive, left Democrat promoted renewable energies do not produce any significant amounts of energy or reduction in global warming greenhouse gases.
Since the 1990s, wind, solar, geothermal, and alcohol fuels (corn ethanol) are developed as corruption schemes for politicians to channel US$ 100s of billions dollars government money to special interests while controlling political special interest US$ trillions within national hydrocarbon economies. The pretext is that renewable energy investments are a solution to global warming temperature increase. For more than three decades the pretext for not building nuclear facilities is that nuclear facilities are “unsafe.” The reality is green energy, hydrocarbon energy, and political special interests destroyed human races while nuclear energy could save human races.
2003 U.S. Energy Consumption by Major Sources (all energy sectors)
Petroleum 40%
Coal 23%
Natural Gas 23%
NUCLEAR 8% (Recently there have been misreporting of U.S. nuclear energy share. U.S. nuclear is less than 20% of total U.S. electrical output; it is more like 8%.)
*Renewable as Share of Total Energy 6%
*Conventional Hydroelectric ~45% of Renewable 6% share (hydroelectric is largely dependent upon annual water supplies)
*Wood 34%
*Waste 9% (started in 1980s - municipal solid waste, landfill methane gas, sludge, tires, agricultural byproducts, and other biomass)
*Geothermal 5%
*Alcohol Fuels 5% (Corn ethanol funding started 1992)
*Wind 2%
*Solar 1%
Left Democrat administration continues to tinker with government departments’ data and the reporting of national energy and global warming. All U.S. federal government data and reporting are now considered unreliable. Much of university and college global warming R&D is controlled by left Democrats through control of state and federal government grants and funding. Colleges, universities, and government departments’ reporting is considered unreliable when it comes to left Democrat foundation topics and social history. The Internet has and is being falsified to favor the causes of left Democrats. Media corporations are extremely politically biased, oriented to presenting the public with unrealistic biased views. A significant amount of left Democrat smoke and mirrors political misdirections has been directed at building up U.S. special interest funding for expanding “renewable alternative green energy.” In effect, since the early 1990s, left Democrat leadership are the cause of delaying real global warming responses.
With the exception of expanding nuclear power, all other U.S. national energy proposals and policies are NOT viable. U.S. energy policies simply do not reflect real clean energy needs and real energy growth demands. Life-cycle process of all human energies (except nuclear energy and hydroelectric) emit large amounts of carbon dioxide. For example, electric cars may require more coal plants. Proposals for alternative energy may also, like hydrogen, require more (coal) energy to produce than alternatives provide. Renewable energy does not provide net new jobs—replacing efficient energy with inefficient sources will no more advance the economy than replacing trucks with horses. Clean inexpensive nuclear energy CAN provide new jobs if political nuclear construction and operating costs are reduced for nuclear energy expansion and the replacement of existing dirty hydrocarbon energy sources. Added benefits of nuclear energy are it reduces greenhouse gas emissions and therefore reduces global warming temperature increase.
Unlike renewable energy, inexpensive nuclear energy is a tangible long-term economic stimulus. Inexpensive nuclear energy provides economies and increase employment while helping human races survival.
Expense of Renewable Energy Corruption
Since the 1990s, “renewable” has been promoted, costly, produced insignificant energy, increased global warming, and has been a vehicle for European-U.S. special interest political corruption. Politics and government associated with the global energy sector involving trillions of dollars annually is the makings of a global disaster.
As a result of their systemic deficiencies, alternative renewable green power sources require massive government subsidies in the form of tax breaks and requirements that utilities and public buy inefficient power.
Furthermore, while not reducing fossil fuel use, poorly run European “cap and trade” programs will effectively ration our primary hydrocarbon and nuclear energy sources, resulting in energy demands exceeding supplies. Alternative energy policies result in direct and indirect increased cost to the world economy, while producing very little energy and no net reduction of greenhouse gases. Congress and individual U.S. states make long-term energy rules that unnecessarily increase costs to industry rate payers.
Infrastructure coal plants and hydrocarbon extraction methods in countries of China, India, Europe, Canada, Russia, Japan and the U.S., and other nations are rapidly being constructed right now with the hydrocarbon infrastructure lasting at least another 50 years. Many nations are locking-in the global carbon budget. Infrastructure “carbon budget” lock, expected 2017, results in 2050-2099 human races termination.
World leaders are to rapidly reduce human carbon dioxide emissions prior to 2020 CE or human races terminate 2050-2099 CE.
Limited Renewable Energy
Renewable energy is “alternatives” to primary energy of petroleum, coal, natural gas, nuclear, and conventional hydroelectric. Renewable alternative green energies are costly and counter-productive to survival of human races. Nuclear energy is expandable with existing technology and resources nationally and globally. How much nuclear and how quickly nuclear energy is expanded defines how long humans survive.
In response to the global warming challenges, UN’s 1992 ‘Earth Summit’ formed the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) that has helped create “alternative renewable energy” and political special interests. Green alternative has been promoted with U.S. Congressional legislation: U.S. ‘Energy Policy Act’ (1992), ‘Energy Policy Act’ (2005), and ‘American Recovery and Reinvestment Act’ (ARRA 2009). ARRA contains US$ 90 billion in alternative renewable green energy funding. In 2011, carbon cap-and-trade markets involving alternative renewable green energy across the world were valued at ₡ 96 billion euros (US$ 122.63 billion), up 4 percent on 2010. Shutdown of Yucca Mountain geologic nuclear repository identifies congressional left Democrat opposition to the U.S. nuclear industry. 1990s global political greed and corruption over took the 1960s concern about global warming.
Carbon cap-and-trade markets are trading paper to justify corruption of receiving taxpayer money for constructing hydrocarbon facilities with a promise of future reduced greenhouse gases. None of the cap-and-trade markets result in reduction of greenhouse gases. Carbon cap-and-trade markets are part of global political corruption involving multinational government supporters, the U.N., and US$ 100s billions in global warming funding going to special interest energy frauds. A large portion of ARRA (2009) US$ 90 billion alternative renewable green energy funding promotes global carbon cap-and-trade. Necessary expansion of nuclear energy has for decades been politically suppressed to continue political special interest frauds while expanding national hydrocarbon economies.
U.S. renewable Wood (2.1%), Waste (0.6%), Geothermal (0.3%), Alcohol Fuels (corn ethanol) (0.2%), Wind (0.1%), Solar (0.1%) provided a very small (total 3.4%) amount of energy to the 2003 energy consumed. Taxpayer and user costs for renewable energy are very large.
Biomass - Wood, waste, corn ethanol exceeding 2.7% of provided national energy is very unlikely. There are five basic categories of biomass material.
⇛ Wood - Virgin wood, from forestry, arbour cultural activities or from wood processing
⇛ Waste - Agricultural residues: residues from agriculture harvesting or processing
⇛ Waste - Food waste, from food and drink manufacture, preparation and processing, and post-consumer waste
⇛ Waste - Industrial waste and co-products from manufacturing and industrial processes
⇛ Ethanol - Energy crops: high yield crops grown specifically for energy applications
Ethanol - Corn requires 29% more fossil energy to produce corn ethanol than the corn-ethanol fuel returns. Switch grass-ethanol requires 45% more fossil energy and wood-biomass ethanol requires 57% more than the fuel returnes. In all cases of biomass energy, Earth’s carbon sinks quickly transfer carbon into the atmosphere and warms Earth. Ethanol energy yield per-volume is very low.
We are feeding cars corn that should be feeding people and reducing the cost of U.S. food stock. The grain required to fill an SUV tank with ethanol one time equals what a person eats in a year. About 40% of U.S. harvested corn feeds cars. It takes a great deal of groundwater irrigation water to make corn-ethanol. Groundwater reserves are generally being depleted from irrigation groundwater over drafting. Groundwater is being transferred to oceans via the hydrological cycle.
The government spends more than $3 billion a year to subsidize ethanol production while ethanol does not provide a net energy balance or gain, is not a renewable energy source, and is not an economical fuel. Ethanol production and use contribute to air, water, and soil pollution and global warming. The vast majority of the subsidies do not go to farmers but to large ethanol-producing corporations.
Ethanol fuel is widely used in Brazil and in the United States. Together both countries were responsible for 88 percent of the world's ethanol fuel production in 2010; U.S. with 13.2 billion U.S. liquid gallons (bg) (50 billion liters) and Brazil 6.92 bg (26.2 billion liters). 7 billion gallons of ethanol consumes 20% of 2007 corn production. U.S. corn ethanol in 2022 is legislated to burn about 43 billion gallons pre year, requiring about 123% of the U.S. farmland to produce.
The removal of large tracts of land from food production to make ethanol has dramatically raised world food prices by reducing supplies. There have been food riots, with millions of people exposed to hunger. Corn-ethanol is a “crime against humanity.” Ethanol from corn requires fertilizers that increase nitrous oxide emissions that are themselves greenhouse gases like carbon dioxide, only more powerful. More frequent Gulf of Mexico huge hypoxia events are caused by increased corn-ethanol fertilization leaching into tributaries, Mississippi, and on to the Gulf. Riparian hypoxia is an increasing problem within all countries, coastlines, and oceans.
U.S. Congress is to eliminate ethanol requirements and reinstate gasoline additives MMT (methyl cyclopentadienyl manganese tricarbonyl) and MTBE (methyl tertiary butyl ether).
Hydrogen - Hydrogen as a energy source is not freely available, but must be extracted from molecules such as water. To do so requires more energy than hydrogen product returns. Hydrogen is also flammable, hard to contain, and hard to transport.
Wind and Solar Energy - Thousands of wind turbines are required to provide the power of a standard fossil fuel or nuclear plant. Turbines must be spaced widely apart to prevent the air flow of one from interfering with that of the next, meaning that wind farms must consume hundreds of times the land that standard energy plants require. Wind farm siting must consider migratory bird flights. Solar and wind electrical power must be transported from energy farms to cities. Because wind and solar are highly variable source of energy, wind and solar energy must be backed by traditional base-load electrical sources.
Solar-panel energy farms work best in warm climates and with long hours of direct sunlight. Due to panel designs, manufacture, and installation, solar efficiencies can vary greatly with rapid reliability reductions of solar panel electrical output. Interestingly, environmentalists themselves have recently opposed these installations due to environmental damage and land requirements. Accumulations of installed solar and wind energy have significant unsolvable electrical synchronization issues with the nation’s standard base-load electrical generation.
Wind and solar are limited in capacity, reliability, locations, expandability, and connection to national base load generators.
Hydro power - River dams offer a modest contribution to national clean energy needs (about 2.8% at 2003 level), but the most productive sites are already used up, and dams radically alter the environment. Canada may offer additional hydrological sites along the north-south Rocky Mountain Range. However, hydroelectric water storage capacity can be quickly affected by climate changes.
Nuclear Energy - I see no alternatives to fossil fuels greenhouse gas emissions other than expanding nuclear energy. Because nuclear alone utilizes the energy in the nucleus of the atom, nuclear energy-yield exceeds fossil fuel yields by a factor of billions. Nuclear is about 8% of U.S. energy flow.
Nuclear plants are safer than coal plants and produce less radiation. Furthermore, they can directly produce electricity and power our cars by providing electricity for batteries, making a hydrogen infrastructure unnecessary. Nuclear energy is the only energy source suitable for large capacity desalination plants.
1, 2, 3 Steps to Rescue
Saving human races from 2050-2099 Christin Era (CE) global warming temperature increase involves three steps:
Step 1 - Acknowledge global warming temperature increase as a critical problem.
Step 2 - Identify causes. Propose solutions.
Step 3 - Implement in enough solutions a timely manor to prevent human races destruction.
Step 1 - Acknowledge global warming temperature increase as a critical problem.
Increasing rate of natural and human greenhouse gases carbon dioxide and methane releases results in increased global average temperature that exceeds a life terminating temperature increase. Resulting is human races termination 2050-2099 CE with death of all who are now under the age of 30 years. Termination of all human life is a critical problem that might be resolved only by world leaders’ coordinated rapid responses.
Step 2 - Identify causes. Propose solutions.
Earth’s human survival is as a spaceship flying through space. Spaceship Earth life support system is a closed system with finite capacity to sustain a finite amount of human life over a decreasing lifespan, "We travel together, passengers on a little space ship, dependent on its vulnerable reserves of air and soil" -Adlai Stevenson (D), U.N. Ambassador, 1965
Causes - The predominant scientific opinion on global warming is that Earth's climate system is unequivocally warming, caused by humans’ use of fossil fuels (coal, oil, natural gas) and also deforestation, which increase human and natural atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases.
1750 CE Industrial Age start was the start of massive amounts of human global warming gas carbon dioxide emissions. By 1866 CE, global warming accumulations of human gases produced a clear “thumbprint” of human impacts on “climate change.” Earth’s normal biosphere cycle of carbon dioxide had been exceeded. The population and gross domestic product (GDP) growth directly increased hydrocarbon (coal, oil, natural gas) energy consumed. The Arctic Region responded with natural global warming gas release of methane. Earth’s global warming temperature increased and has not stopped increasing. Current dip in human greenhouse gas emissions is the result of the global recession GDP drop.
Although it is not easy to know with precision how long it takes greenhouse gases to decrease their global warming properties by carbon cycle exchange, there are estimates. More than half of the carbon dioxide emitted is currently removed from the atmosphere within a century (giving carbon dioxide lifetime estimated in the order of 30–95 years) with some fraction (about 20%) of emitted carbon dioxide remains in the atmosphere for many thousands of years. Molecule-for-molecule basis, the direct radiative effects of methane is about 72 times stronger greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide over a 20 years. Reducing greenhouse gases over time to 1750 CE pre industrial levels will never be achieved as long as humans remain on Earth.
The global “carbon budget” is the balance of the exchanges (incomes and losses) of carbon between the carbon reservoirs or between one specific loop (e.g., atmosphere ↔ biosphere) of the carbon cycle. With accumulations of human/natural carbon dioxide, temperature increase, and deforestation; Earth is moving from a carbon-cycle sink to carbon source, which results in greater and more rapid global temperature increase.
Infrastructure coal, oil, and natural gas plants and hydrocarbon extraction methods in countries of China, India, Europe, Canada, Russia, Japan and the U.S., and other nations are rapidly being constructed right now. Nations are locking-in the global carbon budget. Nations’ economic hydrocarbon infrastructures are going to last more than 50 years; possibly longer than human races’ survive. Global carbon budget’s lock-in is expected around 2017 CE, which would result in human races termination 2050-2099 CE.
To avoid 2017 CE locking-in the global carbon budget, rapid and large expansion of nuclear energy replacing proposed and existing hydrocarbon facilities is required. Following is 2009 CE listing of annual carbon dioxide emissions estimates (in thousands of CO2 metric tonnes): China 7,037,864, United States 5,290,006, European Union 3,623,402, India 1,629,959, Russia 1,528,568, Japan 1,092,878, and Germany 755,140. Quickly reducing hydrocarbon economies emissions of global warming greenhouse gas is a very large political task.
Solution - Solution to global warming temperature increase is to reduce global warming by reducing human and natural greenhouse gas emissions.
Step 3 - Implement in a timely manor enough solutions to prevent human races destruction.
Prior to 2020 CE, world leaders are to rapidly reduce human carbon dioxide emissions, or human races terminate 2050-2099 CE. Since solutions for shifting away from national hydrocarbon economies was delayed more than three decades, implementing rapid solutions to save human races will cost many trillions U.S. dollars over many years.
The Accounting
The U.S. nuclear energy sector is a global asset too valuable to be run by politicians. No longer can human races survival depend upon the whims of appointed U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) politicians. The politically controlled untoward NRC are under complete control of CONGRESSIONAL left Democrat leadership. If human global greenhouse gases are to peak by 2020 and than be reduced, NRC members are to be fired now and replaced by three senior military nuclear representatives, one nuclear industry representative, and one representative appointed by the President.
There is no acceptable rational for government investments in alternative renewable green energy. Unfortunately, there are irrational biases against nuclear power by environmentalists, anti nukes, left and right politicians, and special interests widely opposed to nuclear energy, though some environmentalists are taking a second look. President Obama’s team is misrepresenting data to enhance left Democrat election chances, support special interest, and expand special interest political corruption.
Left Democrat’s 2009-2010 U.S. Congress achieved its legislated goals for advancing European-U.S. neo communism and global warming response. Holding onto left Democrat political gains, the 2011-2012 Congress was maneuvered by left Democrats into being a ‘do nothing Congress;’ certainly Washington DC is a dysfunctional left Democrat Obama administration and dysfunctional left Democrat Senate. To a large extent, Congressional global warming responses in 2012 determines who is elected November 2012.
All left Democrat politicians avoid responses that might shift the U.S. from its political special interests or from the U.S. hydrocarbon economy. Republicans are split on the global warming issues. Mr. Gingrich co-sponsored a 1989 bill stating that “climate change” was "resulting from human activities."
Human races terminate 2050-2099 CE, or world leaders reduce human carbon dioxide emissions prior to 2020 CE. Since the nuclear energy solutions necessary to shift away from national hydrocarbon economies was delayed for more than three decades; implementing rapid solutions to save human races will now cost trillions U.S. dollars for many years. Global warming temperature increase is a socially equal problem, there is no other choice but to accept a political priority for timely reduction of human greenhouse gas emissions.
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