Friday, April 13, 2012

Global Warming Status

A perplexing issue with global warming is communicating the seriousness of continuing global temperature increase. At current rate of building hydrocarbon (coal, oil, natural gas) infrastructures, global carbon budget lock-in occurs very soon. Human energy greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of carbon increasingly exceed Earth's carbon budget. Latter, the critical 450 ppm carbon dioxide level is exceeded 2030-2040 CE. Resulting human races termination from global warming is 2050-2099 CE, but most likely 2050-2055 CE.

Unless global warming human and natural atmospheric GHGs peak by 2020 CE and start to reduce thereafter, human races begin to end when the carbon level exceeds 450 ppm. Unfortunately, although global warming effects are understood, necessary corrective action responses by the global political industries remain non existent.  

Briefly, we have five years to change the global energy structures to that of clean nuclear energy. Only a rapid and large nuclear energy expansion replacing hydrocarbon energy can prevent "global hydrocarbon infrastructure lock-in." Changing the political approach to energy used is a problem. Since the 1990s, the U.S. and European untoward political industries have suppressed mitigation responses to global warming temperature increase in order to promote continued union coal production. Although all humans now under the age of 30-years are certainly to be destroyed, no political system has identified any aspect of global warming temperature increase as a pressing problem or concern.

NOTE: The first step in problem solving is to identify responsible management; establish baseline metrics; possible solutions, select optimum solutions, needed resources, and identify the implementation timeline with critical paths. Global warming responses require very critical timing for mitigations to be effective. The costs associated with stopping temperature increase is not relevant, but cost efficiencies in reducing global temperatures is important. Recognizing that politics and politicians can be very counterproductive to progress is important. Responses must address the overriding issue to save human races.   

Over the coming five years, the least-cost and only global warming option to lowering global warming is by steadily transforming global human energy systems to zero emissions nuclear energy, which in turn lowers human and natural GHG emissions. Difficult to reduce are Arctic Region's huge amounts of natural methane and carbon emissions that are ocean-current temperature dependent and land surface air temperature dependent. Arctic Region natural methane and carbon emissions form a powerful reinforced positive feedback loop that is directly temperature and regional emissions related.

Unfortunately, too many world leaders and national politicians remain committed to continuing hydrocarbon energy dependence. Necessary planned successful social and environmental responses to global warming temperature increase are essential, many, and varied and involve lives of more than 9 billion people. No nation maintains a viable organization to respond to countering global warming temperature increase. Not in place is the needed central organization to coordinate implementation of identified needed energy, social, and environmental responses.    

Technology is available to mitigate global warming temperature increase, but it is the politicians who are committing Earth to human life termination. Either the politicians now respond, or we all shall terminate 2050-2055 CE.