Showing posts with label 2017. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2017. Show all posts

Thursday, May 23, 2013

Climate Change 2013-2050


A single extreme-weather event cannot be linked to global warming climate change because climate change is the condition of climate changing over decades. Weather is a daily, weekly, or seasonal event. Obviously when Earth's average temperature increases (or decreases) climate conditions change over time. As global temperature increases there is more atmospheric energy and more moisture within atmosphere. Accepted is global warming climate change produces in some locations severe weather conditions more frequently.

Prior to end of 21st Century global warming temperatures will have increased global warming temperature exceeding 6.4 degrees Celsius, created by global warming gases. Because lack of response to continuing increased greenhouse gases results in human race termination by 2050-2055. Earth's average carbon dioxide and methane level at 2050 determines climate Earth's conditions for following decades. It is global warming climate change conditions from 2013 to 2050 that is most important as it directly relates to human survival.      

With non responsive President Obama and U.S. Congress, global warming climate change proceeds as follows. Earth's  2017 'carbon infrastructure' greenhouse gas carbon dioxide emissions exceeds 'Earth carbon cycle' ability to process carbon dioxide, producing increased global warming of 3.4 degrees Celsius around 2040. Stored Arctic Region methane hydrate becomes increasingly dissociated releasing global warming gas methane. Human race ends 2050-2055.

Only acceptable response to global warming is to get rid of non responsive self serving politicians.   

Thursday, August 23, 2012

Global Warming is a Threat to Global Security

In 1983, U.S. National Academy of Sciences (NAS) called climate change "a cause for concern," which was an understatement. By the 1990s, special interests, politicians, media, and other untoward took over United Nations and national global warming responses.  

In an AUGUST 08, 2009 article 'Climate Change Seen as Threat to U.S. Security' global warming (aka, climate change) is seen as a direct threat to national security: "The world’s rising temperatures, surging seas and melting glaciers are a direct threat to the national interest."  

"Senator John Kerry, the Massachusetts Democrat who is the chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee and a leading advocate for the climate legislation, said he hoped to sway Senate skeptics by pressing that issue to pass a meaningful bill." "[Senator Kerry] did not identify those senators, but the list of undecided includes many from coal and manufacturing states and from the South and Southeast, which will face the sharpest energy price increases from any carbon emissions control program." Of course the congressional left Democrats and President Obama did nothing to alter the course of global warming.  

"The Department of Defense’s assessment of the security issue came about after prodding by Congress to include climate issues in its strategic plans — specifically, in 2008 budget authorizations by Hillary Rodham Clinton [D] and John W. Warner [R], then senators. The department’s climate modeling is based on sophisticated Navy and Air Force weather programs and other government climate research programs at NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration."

By 1974 there were 54 operating nuclear reactors in the United States with another 197 on order. The U.S. Atomic Energy Commission (AEC) in 1974 predicted that by the end of the century 50% of all U.S. electricity generation would come from nuclear power construction on existing orders. The Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) was established by the Energy Reorganization Act of 1974. Less than half of the reactors on order in 1974 under the NRC were ever completed. Politicians and coal, natural gas, and oil special interests took over the U.S. energy sector to grow use of fossil fuel -- global warming trends became more firmly established.

'The Wall Street Journal: Dismissing Environmental Threats Since 1976', AUGUST 02, 2012 -- Judging by political and media responses to issues of curtailing the threat of global warming, there would appear with consistency that few adequately communicate catastrophic events. "To forestall policy on climate change, the Wall Street Journal editorial board routinely downplays scientific consensus, overstates the cost of taking action, and claims that politics, not science, motivate those concerned about the climate. But an analysis of more than 100 editorials from 1976 to present shows that the Wall Street Journal used these same rhetorical tactics in previous decades on acid rain and ozone depletion and they did not stand the test of time." Still protecting Wall Street Journal investments in self interests, a September 2011 Wall Street editorial claimed that Al Gore and other "climate-change advocates" have "tried to bully anyone who keeps an open mind," which "is true of many political projects, but it is or ought to be anathema to the scientific method."  

For more than two decades scope and goals of global warming mitigations have been sidetracked by political process of deceit, misrepresentation, and corruption. Currently, with dictatorial powers in hand, left Democrats have furthered predicted the demise of human races. Media has intentionally played an important part misrepresenting the critical nature of need for quick global warming mitigations responses. Current major obstacles to securing a future for human races is President Obama, biased media, and a dedicated small but politically influential coal, natural gas, oil energy interests.

CHANGE IS NEEDED

Without changes now, human races are terminated 2050-2055. 


Saving human-races tasks are both time and government funding critical. Changing global climate will pose profound strategic challenges to the United States in coming decades, raising the prospect of military intervention to deal with the effects of violent storms, drought, mass migration and pandemics, military and intelligence analysts say. Currently, U.S. National Guards are now acting as forest and brush firefighters within some states.  

Climate-induced crises could topple governments, feed terrorist movements or destabilize entire regions, say the analysts, experts at the Pentagon and intelligence agencies who for the first time are taking a serious look at the national security implications of climate change.

Recent war games and intelligence studies conclude that over the next 20 to 30 years, vulnerable regions, particularly sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East and South and Southeast Asia and all water systems, will face the prospect of food shortages, water crises, and catastrophic flooding driven by climate change that could demand an American humanitarian relief or military response. Near term resulting number of lives lost will be in the millions.

An exercise in 2008 at an educational institute explored the potential impact of a destructive flood in Bangladesh that sent hundreds of thousands of refugees streaming into neighboring India, touching off religious conflict, the spread of contagious diseases and vast damage to infrastructure. “It gets real complicated real quickly,” said Amanda J. Dory (Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for African Affairs in the Office of the Secretary of Defense) who is working with a Pentagon group assigned to incorporate climate change into national security strategy planning.

Much of the public and political debate on global warming has focused on finding "green" substitutes for fossil fuels, eliminating nuclear energy, and furthering unproductive negotiations toward an international climate treaty. A growing number of policy makers say that the world’s rising temperatures, surging seas and melting glaciers are a direct threat to national interest. Public review of global warming threats and security challenges are inadequate.

If the United States does not lead the world in reducing fossil-fuel consumption and thus emissions of global warming gases, proponents of this view say, a series of global environmental, social, political and possibly military crises loom that the nation will urgently have to address -- not addressing global warming issues now and "kicking the can down the road" will make mitigations more expensive later. Lawmakers leading the debate before Congress are only now beginning to make the national security argument for approving legislation. If replacement nuclear energy is properly phased-in, significant energy price increases may not occur.

In 2009, said Senator Kerry, “I’ve been making this argument for a number of years, but it has not been a focus because a lot of people had not connected the dots.” Former conflict in southern Sudan, which killed and displaced tens of thousands of people, is a result of drought and expansion of deserts in the north. “That is going to be repeated many times over and on a much larger scale,” Senator Kerry said. He said he had urged President Obama to make the case. Former Vice President Al Gore has also urged President Obama to respond to global warming.

The Pentagon and the State Department have studied issues arising from dependence on foreign sources of energy for years but are only now considering the effects of global warming in their long-term planning documents. In February 2009, the Pentagon included a climate section in the Quadrennial Defense Review.

Military and intelligence planners are now aware of the challenge posed by global warming. Many of its critical installations are vulnerable to rising seas and storm surges. In Florida, Homestead Air Force Base was essentially destroyed by Hurricane Andrew in 1992, and Hurricane Ivan badly damaged Naval Air Station Pensacola in 2004. Military planners are studying ways to protect the major naval stations in Norfolk, Va., and San Diego from climate-induced rising seas and severe storms. Another vulnerable installation is Diego Garcia, an atoll in the Indian Ocean that serves as a logistics hub for American and British forces in the Middle East and sits a few feet above sea level. Global relocation now of some U.S. naval facilities may be required. Ocean level rise effects all coastal cities and ocean coastlines.

Global warming temperature rise has a profound effect upon marine life cycles and thus continued human existence. Needed is a great deal more clarification of impact of marine changes upon human food chains.

A lack of rain and has brought the worst drought in more than 50 years to America's Midwest that usually provides over half the corn and more than two-fifths of the soybeans to world markets, and counterproductive corn-ethanol to U.S. cars. The impact of the sustained drought goes beyond farming. Rivers in the Midwest are actually drying up, including a 100-mile stretch of the Platte River in Nebraska. In the Mississippi -- which carries 60% of the nation’s grain, 22% of its oil and gas and 20% of its coal -- the drought has dropped water levels so far that barges have been forced to carry less cargo as they try to navigate the shallow waters. River flows are maintained by groundwaters and are part of the water-cycle.

It is questionable if Midwest High Plains aquifer can sustain current irrigation rates much into the 2020s. The Colorado River is managed and operated since 1922 under numerous compacts, federal laws, court decisions and decrees, contracts, and regulatory guidelines collectively known as the "Law of the River." Satellite data aids in surface and groundwater level identification. Largely missing from media reporting is the management of California’s groundwater resources, which in dry years provide nearly 40 percent of the state’s water supplies. Changing regional water systems requires time.

Arctic Region melting presents new problems for the military. The shrinking of the ice cap, which is proceeding faster than anticipated only a few years ago, opens a shipping channel that must be defended and undersea oil, natural gas, and undersea methane resources are already the focus of international competition. Further warming of Arctic Region's huge amounts of natural methane and carbon emissions are ocean-current temperature dependent and land surface air temperature dependent. Arctic Region natural methane and carbon emissions form a powerful reinforced positive feedback loop that is directly temperature and regional emissions related, which also results in (catastrophic) increased global warming.  

Global warming by itself has significant geopolitical impacts around the world and will contribute to a host of problems, including poverty, environmental degradation and the weakening of national governments. Assessments warn near term storms, droughts and food shortages result from a warming planet in coming decades will create numerous relief emergencies. “The demands of these potential humanitarian responses may significantly tax U.S. military transportation and support force structures, resulting in a strained readiness posture and decreased strategic depth for combat operations,” a military report said.

Increased population and gross domestic product (GDP) directly increase energy used and increased greenhouse gases. In 1750, world population was estimated to be 700 million. Current global population is 7 billion and it is expected to exceed 9 billion before 2050. Energy demand is growing explosively to meet human needs and aspirations worldwide.  Much of this demand is currently being met by fossil fuels (coal, natural gas, oil). Historical energy use is unsustainable. Because most greenhouse gases come from the use of fossil fuels, the central task of a global emissions-reduction strategy must be to quickly transition to existing technology of high capacity clean nuclear energy. Natural and human global greenhouse gases are to peak by 2020 and decline thereafter.

NOTE:  Global greenhouse gas emissions must, before 2050, have an atmospheric content of carbon, methane, and nitrous oxide that averts catastrophic climate change and averts end of human races.

President Obama and left Democratic promotion of "green" alternatives to nuclear energy has been ineffective correcting 250-years of global greenhouse gas emissions. Unbiased media should report on the more than two decades of motivations for politically promoting "green" unsound, ineffective, and unsustainable diversions from proper nuclear energy responses.   

Top ten world energy consumers by country in 2012 - units in million-billion BTUs (see energy unit Quads): United States 57.227, China 50.690, Russia 18.132, Japan 13.031, India 11.891, Germany 8.556, Canada 8.360, France 6.728, Brazil 6.335, Korea 5.891, and total Worldwide is 293.110. Nuclear energy production is 5.8% of total world energy production. Current and past coal, natural gas, and oil energy production has significantly added to atmospheric carbon content that increases global warming.    

By continually producing hydrocarbon (coal, natural gas, oil) energy infrastructures there results exceeding 'global carbon budget.' Exceeding global energy infrastructure 
catastrophic conditions are established about 2017. To alter the course of global warming events, there now must quickly be reductions of human and natural greenhouse gases with reductions of coal, natural gas, and oil infrastructures.

Over the coming five-years, the least-cost and only global warming option to lowering global warming is by steadily transforming global energy systems to nuclear energy zero greenhouse gas emissions, which in turn lowers human and natural carbon-cycle gas emissions.   

Unfortunately, too many world leaders, national politicians, and media remain committed to continuing coal, natural gas, and oil energy dependence. Necessary planned successful social and environmental responses to global warming temperature increase are essential, many, and varied and involve lives of more than 9 billion people. No nation maintains a viable organization to respond to countering global warming temperature increase. Not in place is the needed central organization to coordinate implementation of identified needed energy, social, and environmental responses.  

For Congress to participate in preventing 2017 exceeding of 'global carbon budget,' Nuclear Regulatory Commission's (NRC's) membership is to be replaced by four senior nuclear specialists and one presidential appointee. Revised scope of revised NRC membership is to include supervisions of U.S. 'Nuclear Fuel Cycle' and rapid expansion of U.S. nuclear energy. Global and U.S. plans for global warming reduction are to be produced by intelligence agencies with the U.S. Department of Defense (DOD).

Monday, July 30, 2012

The Future of Global Warming

The progress of global warming and end of human races has been established over the last 250 years through the use of hydrocarbon energy (coal, oil, natural gas). There are only about five years left to change the course of events. If greenhouse gas emissions continue at unacceptable levels a "tipping" point is exceeded around 2030-2040, beyond which there is no turning back, human races can no longer exist.  

If you are under 30-years of age -- you need to act now to correct global warming. Judging by political and media responses to issues of curtailing the threat of global warming, there would appear that few adequately understand catastrophic events. Without changes now, human races are terminated 2050-2055 CE.

Global warming is caused by about 250-years of accumulated human greenhouse gas emissions from hydrocarbon energy (coal, natural gas, and oil). At 2010, greenhouse gas increased above natural global warming of 1750 concentration of carbon dioxide is ~39%. Methane concentration increase is ~164%. These increased concentrations of greenhouse gases increase over time and if left unchecked result in exceeding a defined carbon level in 2030-2040, after which global temperatures rapidly rise. Uncontrollable temperature increase follows with undeniable 2050-2055 end of all human races.  

If global warming is mitigated there is a strong possibility that human life could exist for millions of years.

With necessary global warming mitigations not being attended to -- human life is very short lived. Because human and natural global warming greenhouse gas concentrations previously exceeded critical temperature stabilization “trip points,” after the human race terminal point is reached, no one is around to care about what happens next. Long-term effects on global warming “climate change” are largely "irreversible" for more than millions of years.  

By continually producing hydrocarbon energy infrastructures there results exceeding 'global carbon budget.' Exceeding global catastrophic energy infrastructure conditions are established about 2017. To alter the course of global warming events, there now must quickly be reductions of human and natural greenhouse gases with reductions of hydrocarbon infrastructures.   

About one-third of global warming greenhouse warming results from electrical generation gases emitted by hydrocarbon energy. Decreased hydrocarbon energy use while increasing nuclear electrical energy and increased electrical applications alters the direction of global thermal rise. Nuclear energy is the only clean energy with capacity to curb global warming. To alter the undeniable catastrophic direction, quick reduction of electrical generation hydrocarbon gases is required -- only replacement of hydrocarbon energy with nuclear energy will alter the course of global warming events.        

Understood was the global warming event by the 1960s. For more than a decade the scope and goals of global warming mitigations have been sidetracked by political process of deceit, misrepresentation, and corruption. Since 1970s political reasons, the formation of U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) Congress limited nuclear to 20% national energy. The 1990s produced political misdirection of official global warming mitigation goals. In 2009 for political reasons, NRC politics shut down Yucca Mountain Nuclear Geologic Repository, which is a vital part of U.S. Nuclear Fuel Cycle. Political disruption of very critical U.S. Nuclear Fuel Cycle systems continues: delayed development of MOX fuel, covert political policies, some needless and expensive nuclear regulations, lawsuits, lack of new nuclear site permits, covert special interest political manipulations, media manipulations, etc.  

The current major obstacles to securing a future for human races is President Obama, biased media, and a dedicated small but politically influential coal, natural gas, oil energy interests. For Congress to participate in preventing 2017 exceeding of 'global carbon budget,' NRC membership is to be replaced by four senior nuclear specialists and one presidential appointee. Revised scope of revised NRC membership is to include supervisions of U.S. 'Nuclear Fuel Cycle' and rapid expansion of U.S. nuclear energy. Global and U.S. plans for global warming reduction are to be produced by intelligence agencies with the U.S. Department of Defense (DOD). Natural and human global greenhouse gases are to peak by 2020 and decline thereafter.

Over the coming five years, the least-cost and only global warming option to lowering global warming is by steadily transforming global human energy systems to nuclear energy zero greenhouse gas emissions, which in turn lowers human and natural carbon-cycle gas emissions. Difficult to reduce are Arctic Region's huge amounts of natural methane and carbon emissions that are ocean-current temperature dependent and land surface air temperature dependent. Arctic Region natural methane and carbon emissions form a powerful reinforced positive feedback loop that is directly temperature and regional emissions related, which also results in increased global warming.  

Unfortunately, too many world leaders and national politicians remain committed to continuing hydrocarbon energy dependence. Necessary planned successful social and environmental responses to global warming temperature increase are essential, many, and varied and involve lives of more than 9 billion people. No nation maintains a viable organization to respond to countering global warming temperature increase. Not in place is the needed central organization to coordinate implementation of identified needed energy, social, and environmental responses.

To make change, all one must do is start.

Sunday, July 08, 2012

RESULTS OF 250-YEARS OF BUSINESS AS USUAL GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS

Unless there are changes to global human greenhouse gas emissions, all those who are not yet born, and those who are now children and young adults under the age of 30-years, shall die 2050-2055 of global warming, ending the 160 thousand year journey of mankind. Global warming temperature is about +0.8 degrees Celsius above preindustrial temperature of about 250 years ago. Expected is global warming reaches carbon dioxide 450 ppm limit around 2030-2040, after that point Earth changes and temperature increase occurs rapidly and uncontrollably. By exceeding "global carbon budget" with coal, natural gas, and oil emissions, global catastrophic conditions in less than 25-years are established in 2017.

The EU global climate protection target of 450 ppm atmospheric carbon was established by the EU Governments in 1996 and reaffirmed since then by the Environment Council 2003, and European Council, 2005, and 2007. The International Energy Agency (IEA) found we are about five years away from building enough carbon-spewing infrastructures to lock-in a hydrocarbon infrastructure and make it extremely difficult -- if not impossible -- to avoid greatly exceeding 450-ppm carbon dioxide. Global warming carbon “infrastructure lock-in” is around 2017, five-years from 2012. To save human races, nuclear energy electrical generation is to phase out coal, oil, natural gas by 2017. Saving human races task is both time and government funding critical.   

Over the coming five years, the least-cost global warming option is lowering global warming by steadily transforming global human energy-systems to nuclear energy, which lower human/natural greenhouse gases, then lower to zero human emissions. Difficult to reduce are Arctic Region natural methane/carbon levels that are ocean-current temperature dependent and land surface air temperature dependent. Arctic Region natural methane/carbon emissions form a reinforced positive feedback loop that is directly temperature related.

OPPOSITION TO NUCLEAR ENERGY

The world was making progress developing nuclear energy under the U.S. Atomic Energy Commission (AEC) from 1946 to 1974 -- inexpensive clear nuclear energy was becoming available to drive U.S. industries. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) was formed January 1975 to date.  

Under President Ford (August 9, 1974 to 1977) and President Carter (1977 to 1981) the NRC was politically positioned to oppose and increase the costs of nuclear energy development and impose restrictive nuclear regulations. The covert purpose of NRC membership was to limit nuclear reactor electrical generation and promote coal, natural gas, and oil use. Left Democratic Presidents AND supporting cabals have been and remain the largest obstacles to curbing global warming greenhouse gases and providing for the security of human races.  

The current major obstacles to securing a future for human races is President Obama, silent media, and a dedicated small but politically influential coal, natural gas, oil energy group. For Congress to participate in preventing 2017 exceeding of "global carbon budget," NRC membership is to be replaced by four senior nuclear specialists and one presidential appointee. Revised scope of revised NRC membership is to include supervisions of U.S. 'Nuclear Fuel Cycle' and rapid expansion of U.S. nuclear energy. Global and U.S. plans for global warming reduction are to be produced by intelligence agencies with the U.S. Department of Defense (DOD). Natural and human global greenhouse gases are to peak by 2020 and decline thereafter.

The clock is ticking, end of human races comes too soon in 2050-2055.     

Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Stop Global Warming With US DOD Planning

President Obama's national energy policies is founded upon decades of left Democratic political leadership's promotion of "renewable energy" waste, fraud, and corruption by promotion of wind, solar, ethanol, and carbon-cap-and-trade. President Obama and left Democratic political leadership has assured human races 2050-2055 destruction by ignoring global warming and by enacting shutdown of nuclear energy. It is critical that global warming temperature increase be corrected or it is assured that all human races die too soon.  

Tempus Fugit

There are only three modern anthropological avenues available that might alter the course global warming, environmental, and human events: ● Reduce and stop (extremely limit) using hydrocarbon energy (coal, oil, natural gas) ● Modify long-term land, groundwater, and sea use practices ● Limit or reduce long-term human population rate of growth. Only rapidly expanding nuclear energy may produce desired global warming results.  

Nuclear electrical energy is only energy source that is clean enough and has capacity to make a global warming difference. Majority of U.S. energy is derived from fossil fuels: in 2009, EIA data showed 37% of the nation's energy came from petroleum, 21% from coal, and 25% from natural gas. Carbon free nuclear power supplied 9% and 6.5% from hydroelectric dams. Energy demand sectors are: electric power 41%, transportation 28%, industrial 20%, and residential & commercial 11%. In 2010, the U.S. electricity generation was 4361 billion kWh gross, 46% of it from coal-fired plant, 23% from gas-fired, 19% nuclear, and 6.5% from hydroelectric.  

"Renewable energy" is politically popular since 1992: biomass, geothermal, solar, and wind. Hydropower and nuclear energy should not be lumped within extremely limited category of green renewable energy. Ethanol for automobiles (MTBE is to replace ethanol), municipal waste, and biomass burning are largest energy sources within green renewable energy category. Geothermal, solar, and wind produce only a "very small fraction of U.S. energy." A nation investing in geothermal, solar, and wind has no meaning. If in ten years a very small fraction of U.S. energy is tripled you still wind up with a very small fraction of U.S. energy. Nothing is gained by investing in renewable energy. On the other hand, had political systems invested in carbon free nuclear energy, electric energy capacity is increased, U.S. energy independence is improved, and a there is a reduction in global warming greenhouse gases.         

In 1960s, electric utilities kicked-off "Total Electric Living" advertising programs promoting all electric homes. For the past 50-years politicians should have supported nuclear energy sector to produce inexpensive clean electrical energy. It is inexpensive energy that make rich nations richer. Expensive energy keeps poor nations poor. Global Warming Era destroys all nations -- be they rich or poor.  

Only realistic global warming temperature reduction method available is to vastly increase nuclear electrical generation. Core global warming task is to reduce global energy share of coal, natural gas, and petroleum, to be replaced nationally and globally with hydrocarbon free nuclear and hydroelectric energy. Hydroelectric energy expansion is limited by available dam site locations.

Stresses of increased human populations; 250-years of increased hydrocarbon energy use; increased gross domestic product (GDP); and resulting increased global temperatures is evident. Most likely response projections over time include uncontrolled population growth; limited technology changes; limited changes in types of energy used; critical political decisions not made; extensive political corruption; delays; limited funding for effective clean nuclear energy; evil politicians; and several proposed impossible legislated changes to fundamental laws of physics by untoward politicians and surrogates. No politician has proposed changes to global warming business as usual politics, corruption, and payoffs. Global warming temperature increase concerns have been known by scientists since around 1960s. There are no known formed plans to alter course or impact of life terminating global warming temperature increase. Political global warming responses to date -- nil.

Over the coming next five years, least-cost global warming option is lowering global warming by steadily transforming global human hydrocarbon energy systems to clean nuclear energy; lower human/natural greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions; and then over time lower to zero human GHG emissions. Difficult to reduce are increasing Arctic Region natural methane levels that are ocean current temperature dependent and land surface-air temperature dependent. Arctic Region natural methane/carbon emissions form a reinforced positive feedback loop that is directly proportional to temperature.

Too many world leaders, national politicians, media, and hydrocarbon industries remain committed to continuing hydrocarbon energy dependence. Therefore, not done are necessary planned successful responses to global warming temperature increase that are essential, many, varied, and involve saving lives of more than 9 billion people. No nation has identified a viable organization to respond to countering global warming temperature increase.

Electricity demand is increasing twice as fast as overall energy use and is likely to rise 76% to 2030. Nuclear energy is the only existing and foreseeable technology that has enough molecular energy to convert to clean energy that might alter rate of global warming temperature increase. As always, it is politicians who are responsible for global warming outcome -- politicians just need to act upon best scientific response plans for saving human races.   

U.S. national and global energy policies are in long-term political disarray. Other than U.S. military and intelligence agencies, there is no apparent leadership or organizations that are capable of effectively planning what it takes to alter global warming temperature increase.  

Statements

"To meet U.S. projected demand over the next two decades, America must have in place between 1,300 and 1,900 new electric plants." "National Energy Policy, Report of National Energy Policy Development Group," May 2001.  

With 2009 "stimulus" monies of more than $90 billion earmarked for renewable energy, President Obama and left Democratic leadership promised funds would be invested in solar, wind, biodiesel, ethanol, and other alternatives to energy approaches. Alternative "green energies" have failed to produce any measurable long-term global warming benefits. Also supported was counterproductive European carbon cap-and-trade systems. President Obama promised that under his carbon cap-and-trade system, "electricity rates would necessarily skyrocket." Over 48% of America's electricity comes from coal-powered plants. If somebody wants to build a coal plant, they can -- it is just that "clean coal, oil, or natural gas" (ie, carbon capture and storage) implementation bankrupts utility companies.

President Obama's approach to energy makes no sense, he phased out U.S. nuclear energy. Whatever left Democratic energy plans are, those plans are grossly inadequate: “We’re going to have to cap the [carbon] emission of greenhouse gasses. That means that power plants are going to have to adjust how they generate power … but a lot of us who can afford it are going to have to pay more per unit of electricity, and that means we’re going to have to change our light bulbs, we’re going to have to shut the lights off in our houses.” --Candidate Barack Obama, 
Iowa PBS interview, November 9, 2007.

Left Democrats' U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has regulated large carbon reductions. However, when laws of physics and economics are taken into account there is no possible way to meet EPA requirements.

Multiple global warming misstatements are blanketing internet and government information sites. To make it through elections the misinformation intent is to obfuscate and confuse public's reality of global warming. People want answers as to what is being done to address global warming.      

With turbulent times 1974 formation of U.S. Nuclear Energy Commission (NRC) nuclear energy became politically opposed. Since after 1992, everything that could be done has been done by left Democratic leadership, and later by President Obama, to delay, increase energy costs, and disrupt nuclear energy responses necessary to curb global warming temperature increase. "Renewable energy" was to be a solution, but green energy turned out to be special interest driven. Left Democratic systems have been positioning science and engineering as villains to social-program funding while left Democrats and Communists have dismantled U.S. and global ability to respond to global warming. It is science that saves human races.

Left Democratic 1990s to present Energy Activity

Left Democratic renewable energy system has identified nuclear energy as a "non renewable" energy energy source. This is ironic because all energy sources will be around longer than current projected lifespan of human races.

U.S. electricity use in 2010 was more than 13 times greater than electricity use in 1950. Historic growth of U.S. and global electricity has been fueled by use of hydrocarbon energy (coal, oil, natural gas) with more than four decades of stops placed upon nuclear energy expansions. Politicians (and therefore their political support groups) remain active opposing nuclear energy because politicians have been bribed not to support nuclear energy (bribery is a long established part of U.S. political systems). Congress and state politicians have made illegal fortunes supporting hydrocarbon energy over nuclear energy. For that reason and over time, to eliminate competition, hydrocarbon energy politicians increased costs of nuclear energy and introduced obstructing stops to nuclear energy implementation. Finally, left Democratic leadership phased out U.S. nuclear energy with President Obama's 2009 symbolic final chapter of phasing out U.S. nuclear energy and Yucca Mountain geologic nuclear repository. President Obama further reorganized and dismantled U.S. government nuclear energy departments (ie, Obama spiked his nuclear football).      

U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) members remain instruments of politicians. Termination of U.S. nuclear energy began when Congress formed the NRC under Energy Reorganization Act of 1974 (Act was a result of political self serving opportunities represented by anti Vietnam War protests and anti nuclear protests). Prior to political takeover of NRC, former U.S. Atomic Energy Commission (AEC) issued permits for construction of almost all U.S. nuclear facilities now in existence. NRC members have always been representatives for antinuclear and pro hydrocarbon corrupt political self interested movements. It is through NRC member activity that left Democratic political systems finally completed shutdown of global clean nuclear energy to make room for "renewable energy" waste, fraud, and corruption promotion of wind, solar, ethanol, and carbon cap-and-trade. Congress first legislated U.S. "green energy" push with Energy Policy Act (EPAct 1992) and later Acts.

By late 1990s, special interest politics took over structure of global warming technological reporting. UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports post 2001 improperly ignored methane as a important global warming gas and sliced-diced reports to add confusion and non viable options that obfuscated understanding global warming. IPCC documents now need revisions to present projected reality. There are only two case studies: greenhouse gas emissions "business as usual" and the case with changes to save human races.           

By 2003, increased political promotion of waste, fraud, corruption (while promoting wind, solar, green energy, ethanol, and carbon cap-and-trade) became the global warming response of left Democratic systems. President Obama spearheaded alternatives to energy and shutdown nuclear energy because it was popular.

STOP GLOBAL WARMING  

A perplexing issue with global warming is communicating the seriousness of global temperature increase. At current rate of hydrocarbon (coal, oil, natural gas) energy infrastructure buildup, Earth's 'global carbon budget' is exceeded about 2017. Critical 450 ppm carbon dioxide level is exceeded 2030-2040 (events happen very quickly after exceeding 450 ppm CO2 level).

Very large stores of Arctic Region ocean methane clathrate deposits have become unstable due to global temperature increases. Very large amounts of very powerful global warming methane is released. Climate scientists have identified that more methane clathrates in permafrost regions will be released as a result of global warming, unleashing powerful feedback forces, which cause runaway temperature increase climate change that cannot be controlled. East Siberian Arctic Shelf and other Arctic Ocean region research carried out in 2008 has shown many-many tonnes of powerful global warming methane being released with concentrations in some regions reaching up to 100 times above normal.

At 2010, greenhouse gas increased above natural pre industrial global warming concentration of carbon dioxide (CO2) is increased ~39% and powerful warming methane (CH4) concentration is increased ~164%. Rise of accumulated greenhouse gas 'global warming potential' is exponential.   

At historical trends of global warming greenhouse gas increase, human races termination from global warming is 2050-2099, but most likely termination is 2050-2055. Resulting from natural Arctic Region methane release and 250-years of human hydrocarbon emissions, expected remaining human races life span is zero-years to forty-years.    

To save all human races, combined 'global warming potentials' of human and natural greenhouse gas emissions must peak prior to 2020. The only way to peak global warming temperatures is peak global warming greenhouse gases. The only clean energy source having capacity to decrease human greenhouse gases is nuclear energy.  

Why it remains so hard to communicate this urgent life saving message to politicians and media is perplexing. Rather than accept solutions to global warming, President Obama attacks U.S. military budget and global intelligence agencies for political election reasons.

US DOD Global Warming Planning

U.S. national energy policies and global energy policies are in long-term political disarray and unable to meet needs of curbing global warming temperature increase. For now, other than U.S. military and intelligence agencies, there is no apparent leadership or organization existing, who are capable of planning what it takes to timely alter the rate of global warming. Existing U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) membership is to be replaced by four senior military nuclear specialists and one presidential appointee. Revised scope of revised NRC membership is to include supervisions of U.S. 'Nuclear Fuel Cycle' and rapid expansion of U.S. nuclear energy. Global and U.S. plans for global warming reduction are to be produced by U.S. military and intelligence agencies with U.S. Department of Defense (DOD). Natural and human greenhouse gases are to peak by 2020 and decline thereafter.    

Tuesday, February 14, 2012

Spaceship Earth’s global warming energy

Global warming temperature increase is a response to atmospheric accumulations of human and natural carbon dioxide and methane emission since the 1750 CE start of the industrial revolution. The most important reason the world has not responded to to global warming is the result of the U.S. political machinery suppressing for more than 30-years the expansion of nuclear energy as a replacement energy for the U.S. carbon economy.    


The future progress of Earth’s temperature increase is basically established. Unless there is a huge conversion from energy “business as usual” use of hydrocarbon energy (coal, oil, natural gas), Earth’s infrastructure carbon budget lock-in occurs around 2017 CE, atmospheric carbon level 450 ppm is exceeded, +2 oC limit is exceed around 2030-2040 CE, sometime 2050-2099 CE Earth’s average temperature increase exceeds +5 oC, and the resulting end of all human life.  

All those who are not yet born, and those who are now children and young adults under the age of 30-years, shall die 2050-2099 CE, ending the 160 thousand year journey of mankind.  

Global Warming - This Lifespan

Earth’s human survival is as a spaceship flying through space. Spaceship Earth life support system is a closed system with finite capacity to sustain a finite amount of human life over a finite lifespan, within a finite livable temperature range: "We travel together, passengers on a little spaceship, dependent on its vulnerable reserves of air and soil" -Adlai Stevenson (D), U.N. Ambassador, 1965

In the 1960s, Spaceship Earth was a concern to many. Then the U.S. political leadership decided to shutdown clean nuclear energy. Instead of using clean nuclear energy to expand the U.S. economy, 1970s-2010s leaders stopped nuclear energy expansion in order to continue expanding U.S. coal and oil economies. Since the 1973 Arab (OPEC) oil embargo‎, U.S. oil importation became a U.S. diplomatic foreign exchange tool. (On October 16, 1973, OPEC announced a decision to raise the posted price of oil by 70%, to $5.11 a barrel.) On January 18, 2012, President Obama rejected Keystone XL oil application to limit domestic oil supply and keep OPEC oil imports at agreement levels (imports are around 20% of U.S. oil consumed). Much of the Middle East depends upon U.S. importing oil.    

The global population grew and gross domestic product (GDP) grew, thus grew the demand for more energy, more coal, oil, natural gas, resulting in more human and natural global warming greenhouse gas emissions. There is now no end in sight for Earth’s temperature increase. Scientists suggest that left unchecked, too soon Modern Global Warming accumulated warming forces will exceed natural carbon dioxide and methane heating effects produced by the 252.28 Ma Siberian Traps volcanic eruptions that resulted in End-Permian Mass Extinction.      

The following below article discusses the 2007 CE release UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Working Group I Report. UN IPCC has produced much valuable information, but the body of work has been politically corrupted to deflect increased concern about global warming temperature increase. For more than two decades politicians have covertly obfuscated and negated UN IPCC’s global warming reporting. Under the Obama administration many U.S. government departments, agencies, colleges, and universities under report and misreport global warming and energy. Covert obfuscation of global warming is done by many nations and by much of the biased news media. Much of the public body of global warming knowledge has been politically corrupted, leaving the whole global warming knowledge base and media reporting as unreliable.       

UN IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, “Climate Change 2007 (AR4)” is made up of four sections: Working Group I Report - "The Physical Science Basis," Working Group II Report - "Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability," Working Group III Report - "Mitigation of Climate Change," and summary “The AR4 Synthesis Report.” Parts of IPCC AR are significantly corrupted leaving the whole document unreliable.

On 02 February, 2007, the UN IPCC Working Group I Report, an international group of scientists charged with reviewing the evidence on global climate change, issued "Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis," a summary for policymakers. It was written as part I of the IV parts of the IPCC panel's Fourth Assessment Report (AR4). Working Group I summary describes progress in understanding the human and natural drivers of global warming (aka, climate change). The following Working Group I 2007 CE statement was released:

"The new report powerfully underscores the need for a massive effort to slow the pace of global climatic disruption before intolerable consequences become inevitable. The report is far clearer and less equivocal in its description of how Earth's climate is changing—and in attributing the bulk of these changes to human activities—than the last IPCC report in 2001. That was to be expected, because since 2001 there has been a torrent of new scientific evidence on the magnitude, human origins, and growing impacts of the climatic changes that are underway. In overwhelming proportions, this evidence has been in the direction of showing faster change, more danger, and greater confidence about the dominant role of carbon dioxide from fossil-fuel burning and tropical deforestation in causing the changes that are being observed.”  

Unfortunately, most people only look at UN IPCC "The AR4 Synthesis Report." By political design, the Synthesis Report downplays and subdivides the intensity of the global warming problem.  

The 2007 CE IPCC Working Group I Report within below article does contain valuable information and has been fairly critiqued:

Global Warming Shock Wave Awakens World Leaders

WASHINGTON, DC, February 2, 2007 (ENS) - This morning in Paris, hundreds of scientists from around the world released a report showing that global warming is accelerating, that human activity is responsible for this warming, and that it is likely irreversible for centuries, even if greenhouse gas emissions are stabilized.

The report, entitled "The Physical Science Basis: a Summary for Policymakers," (Working Group I Report) was adopted in a line-by line review by the governments of 113 countries, including the United States.

The new Working Group I Report report says that warming during the last 100 years was 0.74 oC (1.3 oF), with most of the warming occurring during the past 50 years. The warming for “business as usual” energy use over the next 20 years is projected to increase 0.4 oC (0.6 oF) for a total preindustrial temperature increase of about 1.2 oC (1.9 oF) by 2027 CE. Global warming greenhouse gas atmospheric concentrations continue to rise.   

   [NOTE: Over the years more than a hundred nations have agreed not to exceed the +2 oC limit, which shall be exceeded 2030-2040 CE. Also, Earth atmosphere exceeds the carbon 450 ppm limit in 2030-2040 CE. Arctic Region methane hydrate (aka, clathrate) gas is increasing its methane vent. Energy infrastructure carbon budget lock-in is exceeded 2017 CE (which is a pivotal point). The last point at which to stop global warming temperature increase is by peaking human production of carbon dioxide at 2017 CE and reducing carbon dioxide levels. --DGE]  

Mid-range climate change scenarios predict severe droughts and floods, more intense hurricanes and cyclones, pressure on fresh water and food supplies, increased spread of diseases, and rising sea levels that could displace hundreds of millions of people worldwide and affect the growing world population of billions of people.

Reaction to the 2007 IPCC AR4 report, the first report in six years from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), has ranged across the spectrum.

Dr. Sharon Hays, leader of the U.S. delegation at the Paris meeting and chief science official in the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, said the IPCC report "reflects the size able and robust body of knowledge regarding the physical science of climate change, including the finding that the Earth is warming and that human activities have very likely caused most of the warming of the last 50 years."

U.S. Energy Secretary Samuel Bodman said the United States embraces the findings of the IPCC report. "We agree with it, and the science behind it is something that our country has played a very important role in," he told journalists today in Washington.

The Bush administration continues to rely on technology to counter global warming rather than the limits on emissions adopted by other industrialized nations under the Kyoto Protocol. Reportedly, the United States has invested nearly $29 billion since 2001 in climate-related science and technology programs.

"We estimate that the U.S. has invested more in climate change science than the rest of the world combined," Bodman said.

In Congress, Chairman of the Senate Energy Committee Jeff Bingaman, a New Mexico Democrat said, "This U.N. report is only the latest in a series of signals that increase the urgency of our efforts to deal with global warming," Bingaman said. "Today I am again urging the President to show leadership and work with Congress to implement a mandatory, market-based cap and trade program to address this challenge." "The consequences so clearly spelled out in this report, and many others, compel us to act now," he said.

Responsible environmental groups generally welcomed the IPCC's information in hopes that it may prompt swift action to limit global warming.

"The good news is that the political climate in Washington is changing as well." "Congress needs to enact comprehensive emission limits that will steadily reduce global warming pollution. We have an opportunity to fix this problem, but only if we act before it’s too late."

On Tuesday, 44 Greenpeace activists scaled the Eiffel Tower in Paris to hang banners proclaiming, "It's Not Too Late."

"The more we know, the worse it is," said Greenpeace climate campaigner Stephanie Tunmoore. "We're in Paris to urge the governments of the world to act, while there's still time. To date, the world's governments have done far too little to face up to the reality of climate change and to combat it."

Conservative U.S. think tanks brought out an arsenal of arguments to counter the IPCC findings. The Center for Science and Public Policy produced a report claiming that greenhouse gas emissions are rising faster in European countries which are bound by the Kyoto Protocol than in the United States, which has rejected the international treaty in 25 June 1997 with the US Senate passage of the Byrd-Hagel Resolution (the vote was 95-0).

   [NOTE: The Kyoto Protocol WAS REJECTED by the U.S. Senate on 25 June 1997, with the US Senate passage of the Byrd-Hagel Resolution (the vote was 95-0). However, President Clinton did sign the agreement as a symbolic gesture. In 2012, the U.S. Senate continues to oppose the UN Kyoto Protocol energy commitments. U.S. Senators also oppose and do not respond to the accurate parts of UN IPCC scientific reporting. The U.S. House members say nothing about everything unless you are in the correct 9 digit zip code.
   In the 1990s, the UN effort to curb global warming temperature increase was covertly hijacked by political special interests intent upon keeping up investments in global hydrocarbon economies. On the surface the Kyoto Protocol and IPCC reporting appears helpful, but in reality much of the UN reporting and all of the high-level UN “negotiations” are counter productive to reducing global warming greenhouse gases or reducing global temperature increase; as witnessed by the 20-years and 17 rounds of UNFCCC "climate change" negotiations that has produced no global warming reductions.
   The 1990s U.S. political machinery (and others) intentionally undermined the process of saving human races from complete destruction at 2050-2099 CE. While politicians and special interests have been undermining real global warming responses; the covert political leadership was staging huge criminal profits capers with paper trading carbon-cap-and-trade scams and the construction of under productive/limited output renewable green energy. Of great investigative U.S. interests is the political federal and state funded alternative renewable green energy funding game. --DGE]        

National Center for Policy Analysis Senior Fellow H. Sterling Burnett said the new IPCC "shows less expected warming and lower estimated sea level rise than previous reports."

"We can expect this news to be lost among dramatic claims of impending disaster by politicians and environmental lobbyists alike," said the conservative, whose main point is that the United States must not join the Kyoto Protocol.

"You'd never know it from watching the news, but every time the IPCC releases a new report, future warming is reduced and the impacts are less severe and more distant," Burnett said.

But at the Center for Global Development in Washington, which works to reduce global poverty and inequality, senior fellow David Wheeler warned that a recent World Bank study of sea level rise to which he contributed, found that "even a one meter rise will force 60 million people to relocate."
"We confront a stark reality here," Wheeler said. "Millions of poor people will be displaced by sea-level rise that has been caused by the affluent West. When this happens, current international turbulence may seem placid by comparison."

Corporate Reaction

The DuPont corporation, one of the 10 companies in the newly formed U.S. Climate Action Partnership, called again today on the federal government to enact climate change legislation to create a national cap on carbon dioxide emissions and a market in carbon credits.

DuPont Vice President and Chief Sustainability Officer Linda Fisher said, "Climate change is a serious global issue that must be addressed through concerted global action. We believe that the science on climate change is sufficiently strong and the risks serious enough to merit a timely action."

"We believe that voluntary measures, while constructive, are not sufficient to address an issue of this magnitude by themselves," Fisher said. "The challenge is global and requires broad and coordinated action across all sectors of the economy."

Politicians saw economic and political opportunity in the need to combat climate change. They are closely associated with company manufactures materials for photovoltaic solar panels and fuel cells and a new breathable roofing membrane that creates an energy saving seal around a home.

   [NOTE: Multinational Playground for Political and Special Interest Corruption - Carbon trading markets across the world were valued at 96 billion euros (US$122.63 billion) in 2011, up 4 percent on 2010. The carbon markets’ shuffle of carbon credits. Major multinational carbon market funds appear to be sourced from U.S. federal funding. Although the carbon markets are huge, none of the carbon trading has resulted in any REDUCTION of global warming temperature increase. Left progressive Democrats “stimulated” the U.S. economy with an expensive ‘American Recovery and Reinvestment Act’ (ARRA 2009) that included over $90 billion in unproductive “climate change” alternative renewable energy green investments. Yucca Mountain project is necessary for the U.S. clean nuclear fuel cycle. Although construction is competed, Yucca Mountain was stopped by the U.S. Senate political machinery of left Democrat neo communists. Nuclear energy is the only energy available that is capable of replacing hydrocarbon energy that might prevent carbon budget infrastructure lock-in. --DGE]

The world's largest and most profitable petroleum giant, acknowledged today, "Many global ecosystems, especially the polar areas, are showing signs of warming. CO2 [carbon dioxide] emissions have increased during this same time period - and emissions from fossil fuels and land use changes are one source of these emissions." "Because the risks to society and ecosystems could prove to be significant, it is prudent now to develop and implement strategies that address the risks, keeping in mind the central importance of energy to the economies of the world."

The company said it is working to curb global warming through "partnerships with auto and engine makers on programs that could significantly reduce vehicle emissions, conducting internal research on potential for hydrogen-fuelled vehicles, investing in energy efficiency in our facilities, and working with organizations such as the European Union and Stanford University on groundbreaking research to reduce greenhouse gas emissions."

International Reaction

Newly appointed UN Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon said today that climate change will be one of his "top priorities" over the next five years of his term.

"The report highlights the scientific consensus regarding the quickening and threatening pace of human-induced climate change," said Ban. "The global response therefore needs to move much more rapidly as well, and with more determination."

"Protecting the global environment is largely beyond the capacity of individual countries," Ban said in a video message to the Conference for Global Ecological Governance in Paris. "The natural arena for such action is the United Nations."

Ban said the world is witnessing an "assault on the global environment" that risks undermining the many advances human society has made in recent decades. "It is undercutting our fight against poverty. It could even come to jeopardize international peace and security," he said.
Last month, Ban called for a special summit of heads of state to address global warming.

"We need clear objectives and strong ecological governance at the global level, a concept that continues to elude us," UN General Assembly President Sheikha Haya Rashed Al Khalifa told conference delegates.

She asserted that the General Assembly is the best forum for the international community to work to combat climate change.

European Environment Commissioner Stavros Dimas called for "an urgent start to international negotiations on a comprehensive new global climate change agreement."

"I am deeply concerned at the accelerating pace and the increasing extent of climate change," Commissioner Dimas said.

"To stabilize global emissions of greenhouse gases," he said, "the next step must be for developed countries to cut their emissions to 30 percent below 1990 [greenhouse gas] levels by 2020, as the Commission proposed last month."

   [NOTE: To reverse global warming there needs to be a implemented a greenhouse gas reduction plan. No nation has a global warming plan, much less an effective plan to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Powerful politicians such as President Obama and within the U.S. Senate have opposed global warming planning necessary to save human races from sure mass suicide 2050-2099 CE. -DGE]   

"We are on the historic threshold of the irreversible," warned French President Jacques Chirac, who convened a meeting today to plan for a new international body to protect the global climate.

"In the face of this urgency, it is no longer the time for half-measures. It is time for a revolution," Chirac said as he opened the conference.

"While climate changes run like a rabbit, world-wide politics move like a snail: either we accelerate or we risk a disaster," said Italy's environment minister, Alfonso Pecoraro Scanio.

The Italian minister called for urgent action to impose a global tax on carbon emissions and create a United Nations organization to deal with climate change.

Canadian Environment Minister John Baird said today that the government accepts the IPCC's findings, and he called on Canadians "to get ready for some tough decisions on reducing greenhouse gas emissions."

Malcolm Turnbull, Australia's new minister of environment and water resources, said the science in the IPCC report "is important, but it's not new."

“We know our Australian climate is volatile we have always been the land of droughts and flooding rains. But while it isn’t possible to say that any particular drought, or flood, is caused by global warming, the overall warming trend means that we must assume that, at least in Southern Australia, we will be living in drier and hotter times," said Turnbull. South Africa's Environmental Affairs Minister Arthinus van Schalkwyk said failure to act would be "indefensible."

In particular, van Schalkwyk said in a statement, "the new IPCC report is a wake-up call to the world’s largest emitter, the United States.”

"We applaud the unilateral climate actions taken by the State of California and others and strongly encourage the federal government of the USA to hear the growing groundswell of opinion in that country, and act on their moral obligation to join the global effort under the Kyoto Protocol and future negotiations to combat climate change," he said.

   [NOTE: After the 2005 promotion-start of wind, solar energy, and ethanol to feed cars, in 2006, the California left Democrat Legislature passed AB 32, the Global Warming Solutions Act (2006). The act later became President Obama’s model for federal global warming law, to be imposed by the left Democrats’ Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). California AB 32 promoted alternative renewable green energy and carbon-cap-and-trade, both of which over the years have proven to be sources of great U.S. and global corruption by politicians and special interests. -DGE]

Indonesian Environment Minister says that his country could lose about 2,000 islands by 2030 due to climate change. Ocean water level rising "is very, very serious," reporters were told Monday at a press conference attended by Yvo de Boer, executive secretary of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).

Witoelar said the science presented by the IPCC shows that sea levels are expected to rise about 89 centimeters (35 inches) by 2030, which means that about 2,000 mostly uninhabited islands would be inundated.

Today, de Boer called for "speedy and decisive international action" to combat global warming.

"The findings, which governments have agreed upon, leave no doubt as to the dangers mankind is facing and must be acted upon without delay," said de Boer. "Any notion that we do not know enough to move decisively against climate change has been clearly dispelled."

Fin

Global Warming Future

The global warming path is clear - Thanks to the abysmal and unforgivable failure of the world’s leadership, 20-years and 17 rounds of UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) "climate change" negotiations have failed to give full effect and deliver a fair, ambitious, and binding GLOBAL WARMING deal for maintaining climate at a livable level. The fate of humanity is in the hands of political machines and Earth’s unyielding geophysical balance.   

If greenhouse gas emissions do not plateau by 2020 and rapidly decline thereafter a sequence of global temperature increase occurs:

  
 +2.0°C: Unless natural and human greenhouse gases peak by 2020 CE, in 2030-2040 CE Earth global warming temperature increase shall exceed +2.0°C limit above preindustrial average temperature. Atmospheric carbon dioxide content exceeds 450 ppm.  
 Groundwater - There has been very little research on the impact of global warming on groundwater, including the question of how climate change will affect the relationship between surface waters and aquifers that are hydraulically connected. Postulated is wipe out of agriculture and cattle ranching occurs as sand dunes and dust bowls appear across five US states, from Texas in the south to Montana in the north. Major to massive dust storms sweep the U.S. Midwest. Saltwater inundation of coastal groundwater stores will expand. Groundwater pollution such as saltwater encroachment associated with over drafting of aquifers or natural leaching from natural occurring deposits are natural sources of pollution.
  Rising sea levels - Rising sea levels accelerate as the Greenland ice sheet tips into irreversible melt, submerging atoll nations and low-lying deltas. In Peru, disappearing Andean glaciers mean 10 million people face water shortages. Warming seas wipe out the Great Barrier Reef and make coral reefs virtually extinct throughout the tropics. Worldwide, a third of all species on the planet face extinction. In the 20th century, sea level rise has been accelerating and over the last decades.    Warming Weather - Temperature, humidity, altitude, ocean currents, and pressure differences fuels the mid-latitude storms affect Earth’s most populated regions. At mid latitudes, conditions are hot and humid. At the poles the air is cold and dry; with a little extra heat, water vapor, and Arctic Regional methane clathrate breakdown creates a great temperature raise. Remedial global warming action has become ineffectual to prevent catastrophic temperature increase.
Rain forest turns to desert - The Amazonian rain forest burns in a firestorm of catastrophic ferocity, covering South America with ash and smoke. Once the smoke clears, the interior of Brazil has become desert, and huge amounts of extra carbon have entered the atmosphere, further boosting global warming. The entire Arctic ice cap disappears in the summer months, leaving the North Pole ice-free for the first time in 3 million years. Water supplies run short in California as the Sierra Nevada snow pack melts away. Tens of millions displaced as the Kalahari Desert expands across southern Africa.
 +4.0°C to +4.4°C: Post 2050-2055 CE, scientists warn only one-tenth of the world’s people might survive to 2099 CE. Students now enrolled in schools and universities face this future.
  WATER - Rapidly rising temperatures in the Arctic Region (like Siberia) sea and land permafrost in the melt zone, releasing vast quantities of methane (CH4) and carbon dioxide (CO2) producing a temperature rise. Melting ice caps and sea level rises have displace more than 100 million people, particularly in Bangladesh, the Nile Delta, and Shanghai. Heat waves and drought make much of the sub-tropics uninhabitable: large-scale migration even takes place within Europe, where deserts are growing in southern Spain, Italy, and Greece. More than half of wild species wiped out, in the worst mass extinction since the end of the dinosaurs. Agriculture collapses in Australia.     Decreasing water availability and increasing drought in mid-latitudes and semi-arid low latitudes. Groundwater is increasingly over drafted and surface water is in critical short supply in some locations.
 ECOSYSTEMS – There are major extinctions around the globe. Coral mortality is spreading due to ocean acidification and surface/mid-depth ocean warming. Terrestrial biosphere tends toward a net carbon source, as ~40% of ecosystems affected.  
 FOOD - All production of cereals decrease. There is increased ocean acidification, increased water hypoxia, and a devastating decreases in fish biomass. Food chain disruptions occur.
 COAST – There is increased damage from floods and storms, with about 30% loss of coastal wetlands. Additional 2 to 15 million people are at risk of coastal flooding each year. There is increased loss of groundwater storage capacity from saltwater inundation into coastal aquifers. “500-year floods” and storm surges occur once every 25 to 240 years while "100-year" flood/storm surge events occur every 3-20 years.  
 HEALTH – There are increased health burdens from malnutrition, diarrhoeal, cardio-respiratory, and infectious diseases with increased morbidity and mortality from heat waves, floods, and droughts.  Substantial increased burden on health services.
 ECONOMIC INVESTMENTS - Investment in the world economy is like being a frog in a pot of slowly heated water. The point at which the frog dies is understood. The question is how much will the the investment advisers and media keep turning up the heat under uninformed investors.
 SOCIAL STABILITY – Society’s social structure will increasingly breakdown as life support systems break down under the demands of increased population, increased climate change, increased regional temperatures, decreased food supplies, and increased life support distribution issues.  
 SINGLE EVENTS - Long-term commitment to several meters of sea-level rise due to ice sheet loss, leading to reconfiguration of coastlines worldwide and inundation of low-lying areas. It is to be noted that the (<10%) likelihood in the 21st century Meridional Overturning Circulation (MOC) shutdown may still be significant given the high consequences of an abrupt shutdown. MOC shutdown includes adverse effects on food production and terrestrial vegetation, changes in fisheries and effects on oceanic carbon dioxide uptake and oceanic oxygen concentrations, an increased warming of southern hemisphere high latitudes and tropical drying.  Weather change patterns are also associated with MOC and Thermohaline Circulation (THC) activity.
 +5.4°C: This global temperature increase is reached prior to 2099 1.1-meter (3.6 feet) rise of sea level by 2099. Only a very small fraction of the 9-10 billion could continue to exist at the Polar Regions.     
 +6.0°C: Long-term effects on global warming “climate change” are largely "irreversible" for more than millions of years. Anthropogenic and natural global warming greenhouse gas concentrations previously exceeded critical temperature stabilization “trip points.” Human races have been extinguished. After this point no one is around to care about what happens next.  

U.S. Global Warming Politics

In 1988, James Hansen, director of NASA Goddard Institute of Space Studies, testified before the U.S. Senate that, based on computer models and temperature measurements, he was “99 percent” certain “...the [human-caused] greenhouse effect has been detected and it is changing our climate now.” His statement was widely covered by the media and first brought the term “global warming” to the general public attention. Typical of Senate politicians they ignored the scientific warning and there were no political responses to global warming temperature increase. The only response the U.S. Senate provided was to undermine global efforts to respond respond to the peril that global warming poses. Disruptive and skilled gangs were and still are organized to discredit global warming reality.    

ON February 2007, South Africa's Environmental Affairs said failure to act upon global warming would be "indefensible." Global warming failure to act was not only indefensible, failure to act by political machinery leadership has created a situation that is criminal in intent to destroy human civilization in order to receive profits from multinational government supported “carbon cap and trade” and alternative renewable green energy. UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon’s remarks:

"For most of the last century, economic growth was fuelled by what seemed to be a certain truth: the abundance of natural resources.  We mined our way to growth.  We burned our way to prosperity.  We believed in consumption without consequences. Those days are gone.  In the twenty-first century, supplies are running short and the global thermostat is running high.  Climate change is also showing us that the old model is more than obsolete.  It has rendered it extremely dangerous.  Over time, that model is a recipe for national disaster.  It is a global suicide pact. ..."  World Economic Forum session on redefining sustainable development, in Switzerland, 28 January 2011.

In the 1960s-2010s, global warming was known to be a growing problem caused by massive use of hydrocarbon energies (coal, oil, natural gas) expelling global warming gases since 1750 CE. Self serving politicians ignored the global warming scientific advice and set a course to keep the U.S. dependent upon a hydrocarbon economy.

There are only two sources of clean energy that might curb enough global warming to save the human races: nuclear reactor energy and hydroelectric energy.  

In the U.S., suitable hydroelectric sites either contain constructed dams or the politicians gave up public water rights to expand 1970s commercial development and to prevent water and electrical use with dam-construction. Water dam construction continues to be opposed by environmentalist and lawyers. That dam opposition gave the politicians their excuses to restrict surface water development, sell the land and water rights for district growth, development, and profits.  

Since the 1970s, to encourage expansion of the existing global domestic hydrocarbon economies of coal, oil, and natural gas. U.S. nuclear reactor energy has been opposed by politicians. Not only did the untoward politicians oppose nuclear expansion, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) stopped issuing new licences for nuclear facilities since 1978 CE. As politicians, lawyers and political parrots, NRC members for the last 30-years has been decommissioning nuclear reactors.   

In the 1990s special political interest took over UN responses to global warming, which resulted in 20-years and 17 UN “climate change” meetings during which nothing was accomplished that had anything to due with global warming. Than in 2005 CE, the left Democrats activated left progressive political “grassroots” support of alternatives to energy and continued to close down U.S. nuclear energy. In December 2009 CE, at Denmark UN COP-15 meeting, President Obama promoted a transfer of wealth scheme that has derailed global responses to global warming. European-U.S. neo communist 2011 CE shutdown of Germany nuclear energy with a “Atomics Law.” In the place of nuclear energy the German-U.S. politicians promoted dependence upon alternatives to energy. However, in fact, U.S. and Germany politicians expanded dependence upon the economy of coal, oil, natural gas.

Alternatives to energy was just a political front for USD $100s of billions shift to domestic and international political corruption. Stopping global warming temperature increase involves many trillions of dollars over many years and many elections. With corruption “adapting” to global warming temperature increase, political corruption within the global warming industry is going to remain an expensive political fixture for a long time.

In 2009, to add to preventing further global/U.S. nuclear development, President Obama’s political machinery took over the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) membership and also shut down the completed Yucca Mountain geologic nuclear repository. In effect, the U.S. neo communist left Democrats (with help from some congressional Republicans) have politically nationalized U.S. energy and stopped the global effort to reduce global warming temperature increase.

With many political claims of “safety,” resulting from the 1970s politics, nuclear plant construction costs skyrocketed from a reactor estimated at $660 million to $8.87 billion. The congressional political machinery approach to eliminating U.S. nuclear energy is to make nuclear facilities so expensive for “safety” reasons that nuclear energy cannot compete in the energy market with cheaper coal, oil, and natural gas. Over the decades to eliminate nuclear energy as a energy competitor, as costs for hydrocarbon energy increase, the NRC members imposed more costly and unnecessary nuclear “safety” requirements. Therefor, there was never a timely global switch to nuclear energy that is necessary to save human races from 2050-2099 CE destruction.     

Phasing out nuclear energy was typical of U.S. politics after the 1979 CE Three Mile Island accident. Since 1979, NRC members have been building a political government nuclear energy energy “regulated monopoly” by denying nuclear construction with NRC members’ unwarranted and costly “safety” demands. For more than 30-years, the NRC members job was to decommission nuclear energy sights for high level politicians.

According to the U.S. Department of Energy, the last reactor built was the "River Bend" plant in Louisiana. Its construction began in March of 1977 CE. The last plant to begin commercial operation is the "Watts Bar" plant in Tennessee, which came online in 1996 CE. Although new nuclear reactors have been built in this country within the last three decades the NRC members have not issued a license to build a new reactor since 1978 CE. The reactors that have opened in the last decades were approved prior to 1978 CE. There are currently 104 operating nuclear reactors at 64 plants across the country. Half of the nuclear reactors are over 30-years old. February 09, 2012, NRC members have issued the COL license to Plant Vogtle in Georgia, which is a too little, too late, and too much of a political act on the part of the NRC member politicians and lawyers and President Obama.

As a share of total U.S. energy: Total U.S. energy: nuclear electric is 8%, conventional hydroelectric power 2.7%, coal 23%, natural gas 23%, and petroleum 40%. Nuclear energy produces about 20% of U.S. electrical energy. The core global warming task is to reduce global energy share of coal, natural gas, and petroleum, to be replaced with hydrocarbon free nuclear and hydroelectric energy.   

Neither President Obama nor the Republican candidates or the U.S. Congress have established a viable national or multinational response plan to counter global warming temperature increase. A response plan for global warming would take about ten-years to develop. Earth does not have ten-years, it only has five years till 2017 CE to stop building hydrocarbon-energy infrastructure.   

Global hydrocarbon infrastructure lock-in occurs around 2017 CE, and it takes about 3-4 years to build a large nuclear facility. How is the U.S. going to produce enough clean nuclear energy soon enough to cap and reduce carbon emissions so that human races are saved from total destruction 2050-2099 CE?  

The start of any Republican or Democrat global warming recovery plan is to expand U.S. nuclear energy. To properly expand U.S. nuclear energy it is necessary to replace the politics of the NRC members with an experienced panel of three military nuclear officers and one presidential appointee. To meet Earth’s 2017 CE carbon budget infrastructure criteria it is required to quickly expand U.S. and global nuclear capacity. To quickly expand U.S. nuclear capacity it is necessary that the existing NRC memberships be replaced with leaders who are experienced with organization skills, military nuclear design, construction, and operation. Not doing so results in the destruction of 9 billion people.

Global warming is a political and economic force involving global trillions to dollars of energy change. Who will win the coming elections based upon their global warming solutions? Political greed and corruption is too large to be effectively opposed--political corruption has sucked the life out of this world. The lives of more than 9 billion people in 2050-2099 CE are of little concern to the current anti-response political machines and special interest forces.

The first step to problem resolution is recognition of the problem. Enough world leaders have yet to acknowledge global warming as a problem.

The first applied step to global warming success is a new NRC membership makeup of three senior military nuclear representatives and one President appointed representative. Shifting to a military nuclear structure for expanding commercial nuclear reactors will provide much needed professional U.S. clean energy direction. Nuclear energy is the only energy source that might produce enough clean energy to prevent human races destruction.

Unless there is change, all those who are not yet born, and those who are now children and young adults under the age of 30-years, shall die 2050-2099 CE, ending the 160 thousand year journey of mankind.