By David G. Eselius
Mr. President, this briefing identifies the progress of global warming temperature increase and the very high probability that increased global warming greenhouse gases shall terminate all human life this century.
INTERGLACIAL PERIODS
Historically for more than 600,000 years before the 1750 start of the industrial age, Earth’s temperature was regulated by at least two greenhouse gases found in many ice core samples: carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4)—as presented on GRAPH “600,000+ years To 1750 AD - Graph of Temperature (delta notation), Methane (CH4), and Carbon Dioxide (CO2)”
The graph identifies very high correlations between carbon dioxide (CO2) in RED, methane (CH4) in BLUE, and temperature in BLACK. Current date to the left while earlier date to the right. The middle BLACK line represents the hydrogen isotope ratio of the ice. Hydrogen isotope ratio (Symbol: Greek delta notation) is a good air temperature proxy for the ice core record.
The Earth has experienced cycles of temperature changes resulting in ice ages separated by warm periods called interglacial periods approximately every 100,000 years. An interglacial period is a geological interval of warmer global average temperature lasting thousands of years that separates consecutive glacial periods within an ice age. These climatic periods are primarily driven by regular ‘wobbles’ in the Earth’s orbit, which affects the amount of solar radiation reaching the Earth.
From the onset of interglacial periods, the warming takes about 5000 years to complete. Currently, Earth's 'wobble' placed earth at a peak warming interglacial period. Coincident with current onset interglacial period there are natural increased temperatures. Now added to the warming period are increased human (anthropomorphic) greenhouse emissions increasing global warming.
The start of the industrial age was 1750 and is considered the starting point of increased natural and human global warming greenhouse gases.
The past 11,000 years (the Holocene geological epoch) is marked by much smaller global temperature changes, typically up to 1–1.5°C over a long time. Greenhouse gas concentrations were also relatively stable until the large and rapid increases that began about 200 years ago as a result of human emissions. The concentration of carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) is now far higher than for at least the past 800,000 years and most likely higher than for the last 20 million years.
Significant warming begins in the Antarctic. Several hundred years later the warming causes the carbon dioxide (CO2) increase, mainly through ocean processes. The Northern Hemisphere Arctic region de-glaciation follows the CO2 and methane (CH4) increases. Therefore, increases in CO2/CH4 contribute amplification (positive feedback) throughout most of global warming.
The receding ice sheets, receding tundra, and ocean current warming cause increased CO2/CH4 feedback. The observed temperature changes and rates of change during the interglacial periods cannot be simulated without the observed changes in CO2 and CH4 and ice/permafrost extent.
The presented graph “600,000+ years To 1750 AD - Graph of Temperature (°C), Methane (CH4), and Carbon Dioxide (CO2)” identifies normal Earth temperature changes resulting from greenhouse gases CO2, CH4, and Earth “wobble.” It is from the 600,000+ years (i.e. Quaternary Period and Pliocene Epoch) that all current life forms have evolved over time.
All current life forms exist resulting from Earth’s temperature excursions over the past 600,000+ years. Most life forms will die from projected temperatures; the rate of temperature change is too great for life forms to adapt and temperatures are going higher than previously noted for more than 800,000 years (possibly higher than for more than 20 million years).
1750 to PRESENT GROWTH OF TEMPERATURE, CO2, CH4, and POPULATIONS
Mr. President, resulting from 1750 to present natural and human emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) and receding ice/tundra, Earth’s temperature is to exced the highest temperatures experienced for the past 800,000 years. Earth’s temperature determines how many and if human populations can continue to exist.
Current population (~6.7 billion people) using a vast amount of energy fossil fuel (coal, oil, natural gas) and deforestation have resulted in exceeding temperature regulation of the interglacial periods. Populations, greenhouse gases, and global temperatures are increasing while potable water reserves are in decline. Prior to 2050, the human populations exceed 9 billion people, which results in significant increased energies used.
Mr. President, we have a “1750 AD to 2050 AD Graph of Temperature (delta notation), Methane (CH4), Carbon Dioxide (CO2), and Population” that explains the relationship of greenhouse gases, global temperature, and population to show you. 1750 AD to 2050 AD energy demand is also identified.
Mr. President, it is suggested when the correct global warming information is provided, the U.S. take a technical and economic lead in resolving global warming temperature reduction. The next scheduled UN “climate change” meeting is at the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) COP 17 meeting hosted by Durban, South Africa, from November 28 to December 9, 2011.
Mr. President, the human races shall terminate 2050-2099 if there is not now a reduction of natural and human greenhouse gas emissions.
Mr. President, with the 2010 understanding of global warming, to have any reasonable 75% chance of keeping the global warming temperature rise below +2°C — global carbon emissions (CO2) need to peak global greenhouse (GHG) gas equivalent emissions (CO2eq) by 2015 to 2020 and fall at least 16% worldwide by 2030 (based on 1990 AD levels). Additional global human and natural GHG emission-reductions are necessary beyond 2050 towards a zero carbon economy by the end of the century. To remain below a +1.5°C threshold requires greater reductions of human global carbon emissions (CO2).
Thank you Mr. President.
Mr. President, this briefing identifies the progress of global warming temperature increase and the very high probability that increased global warming greenhouse gases shall terminate all human life this century.
INTERGLACIAL PERIODS
Historically for more than 600,000 years before the 1750 start of the industrial age, Earth’s temperature was regulated by at least two greenhouse gases found in many ice core samples: carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4)—as presented on GRAPH “600,000+ years To 1750 AD - Graph of Temperature (delta notation), Methane (CH4), and Carbon Dioxide (CO2)”
The graph identifies very high correlations between carbon dioxide (CO2) in RED, methane (CH4) in BLUE, and temperature in BLACK. Current date to the left while earlier date to the right. The middle BLACK line represents the hydrogen isotope ratio of the ice. Hydrogen isotope ratio (Symbol: Greek delta notation) is a good air temperature proxy for the ice core record.
The Earth has experienced cycles of temperature changes resulting in ice ages separated by warm periods called interglacial periods approximately every 100,000 years. An interglacial period is a geological interval of warmer global average temperature lasting thousands of years that separates consecutive glacial periods within an ice age. These climatic periods are primarily driven by regular ‘wobbles’ in the Earth’s orbit, which affects the amount of solar radiation reaching the Earth.
From the onset of interglacial periods, the warming takes about 5000 years to complete. Currently, Earth's 'wobble' placed earth at a peak warming interglacial period. Coincident with current onset interglacial period there are natural increased temperatures. Now added to the warming period are increased human (anthropomorphic) greenhouse emissions increasing global warming.
The start of the industrial age was 1750 and is considered the starting point of increased natural and human global warming greenhouse gases.
The past 11,000 years (the Holocene geological epoch) is marked by much smaller global temperature changes, typically up to 1–1.5°C over a long time. Greenhouse gas concentrations were also relatively stable until the large and rapid increases that began about 200 years ago as a result of human emissions. The concentration of carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) is now far higher than for at least the past 800,000 years and most likely higher than for the last 20 million years.
Significant warming begins in the Antarctic. Several hundred years later the warming causes the carbon dioxide (CO2) increase, mainly through ocean processes. The Northern Hemisphere Arctic region de-glaciation follows the CO2 and methane (CH4) increases. Therefore, increases in CO2/CH4 contribute amplification (positive feedback) throughout most of global warming.
The receding ice sheets, receding tundra, and ocean current warming cause increased CO2/CH4 feedback. The observed temperature changes and rates of change during the interglacial periods cannot be simulated without the observed changes in CO2 and CH4 and ice/permafrost extent.
The presented graph “600,000+ years To 1750 AD - Graph of Temperature (°C), Methane (CH4), and Carbon Dioxide (CO2)” identifies normal Earth temperature changes resulting from greenhouse gases CO2, CH4, and Earth “wobble.” It is from the 600,000+ years (i.e. Quaternary Period and Pliocene Epoch) that all current life forms have evolved over time.
All current life forms exist resulting from Earth’s temperature excursions over the past 600,000+ years. Most life forms will die from projected temperatures; the rate of temperature change is too great for life forms to adapt and temperatures are going higher than previously noted for more than 800,000 years (possibly higher than for more than 20 million years).
1750 to PRESENT GROWTH OF TEMPERATURE, CO2, CH4, and POPULATIONS
Mr. President, resulting from 1750 to present natural and human emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) and receding ice/tundra, Earth’s temperature is to exced the highest temperatures experienced for the past 800,000 years. Earth’s temperature determines how many and if human populations can continue to exist.
Current population (~6.7 billion people) using a vast amount of energy fossil fuel (coal, oil, natural gas) and deforestation have resulted in exceeding temperature regulation of the interglacial periods. Populations, greenhouse gases, and global temperatures are increasing while potable water reserves are in decline. Prior to 2050, the human populations exceed 9 billion people, which results in significant increased energies used.
Mr. President, we have a “1750 AD to 2050 AD Graph of Temperature (delta notation), Methane (CH4), Carbon Dioxide (CO2), and Population” that explains the relationship of greenhouse gases, global temperature, and population to show you. 1750 AD to 2050 AD energy demand is also identified.
Mr. President, it is suggested when the correct global warming information is provided, the U.S. take a technical and economic lead in resolving global warming temperature reduction. The next scheduled UN “climate change” meeting is at the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) COP 17 meeting hosted by Durban, South Africa, from November 28 to December 9, 2011.
Mr. President, the human races shall terminate 2050-2099 if there is not now a reduction of natural and human greenhouse gas emissions.
Mr. President, with the 2010 understanding of global warming, to have any reasonable 75% chance of keeping the global warming temperature rise below +2°C — global carbon emissions (CO2) need to peak global greenhouse (GHG) gas equivalent emissions (CO2eq) by 2015 to 2020 and fall at least 16% worldwide by 2030 (based on 1990 AD levels). Additional global human and natural GHG emission-reductions are necessary beyond 2050 towards a zero carbon economy by the end of the century. To remain below a +1.5°C threshold requires greater reductions of human global carbon emissions (CO2).
Thank you Mr. President.
